Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
1/36Inside-5 share
1 of the team's 36 inside-the-5 carries (2.8%).
Chance Nolan
Chance Nolan: QB · Oregon State · #15.
Similar players
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Chance Nolan
Runs when the pocket breaks down. Three seasons in the Oregon State quarterback room to date. One game to point at: 276 passing yards and 25 rushing yards against Montana State — Week 3, 2022.
Style of play
Style of play
Play style
Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.
Fans
No outlet on our list has written about this player by name this season.
Oregon State in the news
- Ra'Shaad Samples' DUII case heads to court
OregonLive Nov 2 - CB cleared to returnOregonLive Oct 26
- Ducks OC Drew Mehringer fired
- Oregon State ends winless streak
Sports Illustrated Oct 23
Where to follow
Career stats
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Oregon State | 66 | 111 | 59.5% | 939 | 8.5 | 7 | 8 | 136.9 | 69 |
| 2021 | Oregon State | 204 | 318 | 64.2% | 2,677 | 8.4 | 19 | 10 | 148.3 | 70 |
| 2020 | Oregon State | 46 | 91 | 50.5% | 537 | 5.9 | 6 | 2 | 117.5 | 38 |
| Career | 316 | 520 | 60.8% | 4,153 | 8.0 | 32 | 20 | 140.5 | 64 |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Oregon State | 16 | 75 | 4.7 | 1 | 15 |
| 2021 | Oregon State | 70 | 286 | 4.1 | 3 | 25 |
| 2020 | Oregon State | 30 | 147 | 4.9 | 1 | 28 |
| Career | 116 | 508 | 4.4 | 5 | 28 |
Game log
Game log · Week-by-week
2022 season · 5 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17vs Boise State | 14/23 | 251 | 2 | 2 | 10.9 | 79.4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 35-32@ Fresno State | 14/27 | 219 | 1 | 0 | 8.1 | 61.7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 68-28vs Montana State | 19/25 | 276 | 4 | 0 | 11.0 | 97.9 | Season-high 276 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 14-17vs No. 7 USC | 17/29 | 167 | 0 | 4 | 5.8 | 48.7 | 4 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 5 | L 16-42@ No. 12 Utah | 2/7 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | |
| Total | 66/111 | 939 | 7 | 8 | 8.5 | — |
Signature game
Week 3 · 2022
W 68-28
vs Montana State · neutral site
Signature plays
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Boise State · 2nd and 7 · Q2 · EPA +4.44Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 74 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a
- Week 1 · Boise State · 2nd and 18 · Q1 · EPA +3.66Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 27 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a
- Week 1 · Boise State · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +3.61Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 47 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
- Week 3 · Montana State · 2nd and 15 · Q2 · EPA +3.45Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 24 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
- Week 3 · Montana State · 3rd and 9 · Q3 · EPA +3.26Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 17 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)
- Week 2 · Fresno State · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +3.24Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 42 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a
4 more plays
- Week 2 · Fresno State · 2nd and 13 · Q4 · EPA +3.23Chance Nolan pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 23 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a
- Week 4 · USC · 4th and 4 · Q1 · EPA +3.11Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 24 yds to the USC 20 for a
- Week 2 · Fresno State · 2nd and 8 · Q4 · EPA +3.02Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 30 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a
- Week 3 · Montana State · 3rd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +2.98Chance Nolan run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a
Passing profile
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
105 of 111 attempts matched to play-by-play
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 105 passing plays (66 completions) against the box score's 111 attempts (66 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
6.22111 of 206 QBsSack rate
1.8%12 of 206 QBsRarely sacked (12 of 206), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (111 of 206).
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 yds52%of completions
34 comp5.3 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds26%of completions
17 comp14.1 yds avg2 TD
Deep
20+ yds23%of completions
15 comp31.7 yds avg3 TD
Overall 59.5% completion on 111 attempts · 15 deep completions averaging 31.7 yds.
Teams and coaches
3 seasons under Jonathan Smith — 19-14 over that span.
2020Oregon State2-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
2021Oregon State7-6HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2022Oregon State10-3HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-heavy
Our ratings
Splits
Home and road splits, scheme and staff
Splits · Per-game
2022 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 209 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 3.0 |
| Road2g | 122 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 188 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 1.6 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jonathan Smith
Pass share
39.2%
323 pass / 502 run
Plays / game
63.5
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Awards
Player standing · 2022
111 pass attempts and 16 carries in 5 games
Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Three seasons at Oregon State
- 2022 Oregon State SmithYear 3 · 5 games
- 2021 Oregon State SmithYear 2 · 12 games
- 2020 Oregon State SmithYear 1 · 4 games
- Before collegeSigned with Oregon State in 2020 as a 3-star junior college recruit out of Saddleback College, No. 30 in the country.
Moves
- Signed with Oregon State in the 2020 class, a 3-star recruit.
How it ended
Three seasons at Oregon State, 4,153 passing yards — the college career is complete.
A stat line in 21 games over three seasons.
2020 4 games
- Signed with Oregon State3-star out of Saddleback College
Coaching lineage · 2020–2022
1 coach2020–2022
Oregon State
Played every college season under Jonathan Smith.