cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Clayton Tune /Houston

Clayton Tune

QB · Houston · Sr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLArizona — drafted 2023, Rd 5, Pick 5, #139 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ArizonaEntering 4th NFL season

#139Rd 5 · Pick 5
ArizonaEntering 4th NFL season

QB · HOUSTON · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Clayton Tune

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 220 lb
  • Carrollton, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#54

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2021

Houston · QB

2022

Houston · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2023 · Rd 5, Pick 5 · #139 overall · Arizona

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2022
3,5462021
4,0742022

+15%

Modest growth (15%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#827 national
CFB
College
Houston
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #139
Arizona &middot; 2023

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 220 lb
HometownCarrollton, TX
Primary teamHouston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 827 recruit
Composite rating 0.8601 HighSchool
Signed with Houston 2018
Origin Hebron Carrollton, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8601 No. 827 recruit | HighSchool | Houston

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#54Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#94Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Houston

Composite

0.8601

#827 national

NFL Draft

2023 · Rd 5, Pick 5

#139 overall · Arizona

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Clayton Tune

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Clayton Tune

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Clayton Tune's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Houston, he has 4,074 passing yards and 40 touchdown passes, but he also adds 547 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #54 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 54.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 4,074 40 TD | 10 INT | #2/382 (100th pct)
Completion rate 67.2% 334/497 completions | #93/383 (76th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.2 Explosiveness through the air | #80/382 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
334 99th
ATT
497 99th
CMP%
67.2% 76th
Y/A
8.2 79th

Passing Production

YDS
4,074 100th
TD
40 100th
INT
10 8th

Rushing

CAR
128 92nd
YDS
547 93rd
YPC
4.3 70th
TD
5 86th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Houston11-2HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2022Houston8-5HC: Dana Holgorsen · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022Houston33449767.2%4,0748.24010158.6----
2021Houston28742168.2%3,5468.43010157.7----
Career2 loaded seasons62191867.6%7,6208.37020158.2----
SeasonTeam
2022Houston1285474.35--
2021Houston1051541.52--
Career2 loaded seasons2337013.07--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 547 5 rush TD | #29/408 (93rd pct)
Usage 54.0% 92.0% pass share | 15.2% rush share | #50/428 (89th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.50 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #6/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 4,074 #2/382 100th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 40 #2/407 100th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 334 #3/383 99th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.2% #93/383 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.2 #80/382 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 547 #29/408 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.50 #6/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 474 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 54.0% #50/428 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 497 #6/407 99th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 10 #377/407 8th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 128 #34/408 92nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 55 #39/391 90th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #59/408 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #125/407 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 92.0% #47/428 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 66.1% #70/428 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 63.6% #81/428 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 60.5% #18/428 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 48.3% #46/428 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 44.7% #70/428 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 15.2% #101/428 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.27 #58/140 59th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 75 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #237/258 9th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Fritz

Pass share

41.4%

377 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

1 coach
2021
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2022
Dana Holgorsen
Houston

Played his entire career under Dana Holgorsen.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCarrollton, TX
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2022)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2022 All-AAC all_conference Houston | AAC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Houston QB4 #54 #94 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Houston QB4 #69 #83 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 Houston American Athletic QB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Carrollton, TX
2021 Houston American Athletic QB 4 No. 3 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Carrollton, TX