cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cornell Evans /Buffalo

Cornell Evans

DT · Buffalo · Jr · #99

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

14 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Buffalo for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Buffalo for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Buffalo

Returning around him

  • 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #112 · 2026 recruiting class #92

DT · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN

Cornell Evans

  • 3
  • #99
  • 6-1 | 290 lb
  • Baltimore, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12195

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2099 national
CFB
College
Buffalo
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class3
Jersey99
Measurements6-1 | 290 lb
HometownBaltimore, MD
Primary teamBuffalo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2099 recruit
Composite rating 0.8011 HighSchool
Signed with Buffalo 2022
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8011 No. 2099 recruit | HighSchool | Buffalo

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12195Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12408Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Buffalo

Composite

0.8011

#2099 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cornell Evans

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cornell Evans

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
14Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
23Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 13.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 17.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cornell Evans is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Buffalo's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12195 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 14 3 solo | #2476/4942 (50th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
14 50th
SOLO
3 28th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 10-23@ Minnesota100.00.00
Wk 3W 31-28@ Kent State100.00.00
Wk 5L 17-20vs UConn100.00.00
Wk 6W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan210.00.00
Wk 9L 16-24vs Akron110.00.00
Wk 10W 28-3@ Bowling Green211.01.01
Wk 13L 20-37vs Miami (OH)400.50.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 14L 26-31vs Ohio200.00.00
Total1431.51.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Buffalo3-9HC: Maurice Linguist · Balanced
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Buffalo1431.51.01----
2024Buffalo1430.50.52----
2023Buffalo210.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons3072.01.53----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 14 #2476/4942 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 3 #3280/4584 28th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.00.10.00.0
Road3g1.30.30.30.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g1.70.30.30.3
Losses5g1.80.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.20.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g2.20.40.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

41Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (1st).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Tackles#2476 / 2975 · 16th pct
14defe
Solo tackles#2892 / 2975 · 2nd pct
3defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Cornell EvansBuffaloTyler MartinMassachusetts· 46% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 46% simTJ DotteryOle Miss· 45% sim
Sacks
63
Evans
24
Martin
89
Montgomery
74
Dottery
QB hurries
55
Evans
22
Martin
22
Montgomery
55
Dottery
Passes defended
48
Evans
67
Martin
67
Montgomery
67
Dottery
Tackles for loss
39
Evans
63
Martin
85
Montgomery
83
Dottery
Tackles
16
Evans
98
Martin
99
Montgomery
98
Dottery
Solo tackles
2
Evans
87
Martin
82
Montgomery
97
Dottery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Aeneas Peebles’s 2021 season.

Aeneas Peebles

92%match

Duke · 2021

NFL Rd 6
#2

Dareon Goodrum

Western Kentucky · 2022

91%
#3

Denzel Lowry

Old Dominion · 2023

91%
#4

Nyles Pinckney

Minnesota · 2021

91%
#5

Carlos Allen

Houston · 2024

88%

Matches Aeneas on

Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jason Hammond's junior season at Virginia (2025).

Jason Hammond

87%match

Virginia · 2025

#2

Fitzgerald West Jr.

Louisiana · 2025

84%
#3

Mike Hall

Ohio State · 2023

82%
#4

JJ Hawkins

Marshall · 2024

81%
#5

Donovan Hinish

Notre Dame · 2025

80%

Matches Jason on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Pass share

49.8%

409 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

338 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBaltimore, MD
Height6'1"
Weight290 lb
Class3
PositionDT
Jersey99

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Buffalo DT3 #12195 #12408 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Buffalo DT3 #13425 #13495 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Buffalo DT3 #12746 #12669 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Buffalo Mid-American DT 3 No. 99 | 6-1 | 290 lb | Baltimore, MD
2024 Buffalo Mid-American DT 3 No. 99 | 6-1 | 290 lb | Baltimore, MD
2023 Buffalo Mid-American DT 3 No. 99 | 6-1 | 290 lb | Baltimore, MD
2022 Buffalo Mid-American DT 3 No. 99 | 6-1 | 290 lb | Baltimore, MD