cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dorian Thompson-Robinson /UCLA

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

QB · UCLA · Sr · #1

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLCleveland — drafted 2023, Rd 5, Pick 6, #140 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ClevelandEntering 4th NFL season

#140Rd 5 · Pick 6
ClevelandEntering 4th NFL season

QB · UCLA · PAC-12

Dorian Thompson-Robinson

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 205 lb
  • Las Vegas, NV

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#16

1.5% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

1.5%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 3 · Recognized

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R08 Watch-list name · 2021

2021

UCLA · QB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

2022

UCLA · QB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

NFL Draft 2023 · Rd 5, Pick 6 · #140 overall · Cleveland

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2022
2,4092021
3,1532022

+31%

Up 31% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#36 national
CFB
College
UCLA
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 · #140
Cleveland · 2023

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 205 lb
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Primary teamUCLA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 36 recruit
Composite rating 0.9813 HighSchool
Signed with UCLA 2018
Origin Bishop Gorman Las Vegas, NV, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 4-star | 0.9813 No. 36 recruit | HighSchool | UCLA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#16Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#18Where the full season sim points
Win probability1.5%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability51.2%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to UCLA

Composite

0.9813

#36 national

NFL Draft

2023 · Rd 5, Pick 6

#140 overall · Cleveland

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dorian Thompson-Robinson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Dorian Thompson-Robinson's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For UCLA, he has 3,153 passing yards and 27 touchdown passes, but he also adds 647 rushing yards and 12 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #16 1.5% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 52.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 36 recruit

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,153 27 TD | 10 INT | #29/382 (93rd pct)
Completion rate 69.6% 265/381 completions | #70/383 (82nd pct)
Yards/attempt 8.3 Explosiveness through the air | #74/382 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
265 93rd
ATT
381 91st
CMP%
69.6% 82nd
Y/A
8.3 81st

Passing Production

YDS
3,153 93rd
TD
27 96th
INT
10 8th

Rushing

CAR
117 91st
YDS
647 95th
YPC
5.5 81st
TD
12 97th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021UCLA8-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-heavy
2022UCLA9-4HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022UCLA26538169.6%3,1538.32710157.2----
2021UCLA17628362.2%2,4098.5216153.9----
Career2 loaded seasons44166466.4%5,5628.44816155.8----
SeasonTeam
2022UCLA1176475.512--
2021UCLA1306094.79--
Career2 loaded seasons2471,2565.121--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 647 12 rush TD | #20/408 (95th pct)
Usage 52.5% 95.1% pass share | 24.1% rush share | #59/428 (86th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.62 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #1/200 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,153 #29/382 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 27 #16/407 96th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 265 #28/383 93rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 69.6% #70/383 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.3 #74/382 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 647 #20/408 95th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.62 #1/200 100th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 315 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 52.5% #59/428 86th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 381 #37/407 91st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 10 #377/407 8th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 117 #37/408 91st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 68 #13/391 97th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 12 #12/408 97th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.5 #79/407 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 95.1% #24/428 95th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 72.3% #29/428 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 59.5% #113/428 74th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 51.4% #24/428 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 49.7% #35/428 92nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 42.1% #133/428 69th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 24.1% #41/428 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.50 #3/140 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 121 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Deshaun Foster

Pass share

48.9%

358 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

61.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

280 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

1 coach
2021
Chip Kelly
UCLA
2022
Chip Kelly
UCLA

Played his entire career under Chip Kelly.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height6'1"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 UCLA QB4 #16 #18 1.5% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 UCLA QB4 #23 #29 1.2% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 UCLA Pac-12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Las Vegas, NV
2021 UCLA Pac-12 QB 4 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Las Vegas, NV