cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gabe Jacas /Illinois

Gabe Jacas

LB · Illinois · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

44 TACKLES · 11 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by New England — Rd 2, Pick 23, #55 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

New England2026 NFL rookie season

#55Rd 2 · Pick 23
New England2026 NFL rookie season

LB · ILLINOIS · BIG TEN

Gabe Jacas

  • 4
  • #17
  • 6-3 | 275 lb
  • Port Saint Lucie, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6327

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Illinois · LB

2023

Illinois · LB

2024

Illinois · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Illinois · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 2, Pick 23 · #55 overall · New England

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1254 national
CFB
College
Illinois
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #55
New England &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements6-3 | 275 lb
HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Primary teamIllinois

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1254 recruit
Composite rating 0.8500 HighSchool
Signed with Illinois 2022
Origin Fort Pierce Central Fort Pierce, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8500 No. 1254 recruit | HighSchool | Illinois

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6327Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7227Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Illinois

Composite

0.8500

#1254 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 2, Pick 23

#55 overall · New England

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gabe Jacas

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gabe Jacas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
44Tackles
13.5Tackles for loss
11Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
1.1Tackles for loss
0.9Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
14.6Tackles for loss
11.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 44): needs 36/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 44): needs 56/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 11.

✓ Hit 10-sack season · finished with 11.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gabe Jacas is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Illinois's defense, with 11.0 sacks, 13.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6327 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 44 23 solo | #756/4942 (85th pct)
TFL 13.5 Backfield disruption | #36/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 11.0 Pass-rush finish | #9/4972 (100th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
44 85th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
13.5 99th
SACK
11.0 100th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-3vs Western Illinois542.52.012 sacks
Wk 2W 45-19@ Duke111.01.00
Wk 3W 38-0vs Western Michigan200.50.50
Wk 4L 10-63@ Indiana420.00.00
Wk 5W 34-32vs USC410.50.50
Wk 6W 43-27@ Purdue400.50.50
Wk 7L 16-34vs Ohio State420.50.00
Wk 9L 25-42@ Washington430.00.00
Wk 10W 35-13vs Rutgers432.52.002 sacks
Wk 12W 24-6vs Maryland210.50.50
Wk 13L 10-27@ Wisconsin642.52.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 14W 20-13vs Northwestern422.52.002 sacks
Total442313.511.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Illinois8-5HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2023Illinois5-7HC: Bret Bielema · Balanced
2024Illinois10-3HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025Illinois9-4HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Illinois442313.511.01----
2024Illinois713813.08.0------
2023Illinois31224.03.01----
2022Illinois32135.04.0------
Career4 loaded seasons1789635.526.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 44 #756/4942 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 13.5 #36/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 11.0 #9/4972 100th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.61.41.10.1
Road5g3.80.80.70.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g3.21.31.10.1
Losses4g4.50.80.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.80.60.1
Weeks 8+5g4.01.61.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

83All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (98th).

Sacks#9 / 2975 · 100th pct
11.0defe
Tackles for loss#36 / 2975 · 99th pct
13.5defe
QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Tackles#756 / 2975 · 74th pct
44defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Gabe JacasIllinoisOumar DiomandeUConn· 84% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 83% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 83% sim
Sacks
100
Jacas
96
Diomande
89
Campbell
89
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
99
Jacas
93
Diomande
96
Campbell
95
Baranowski
QB hurries
95
Jacas
92
Diomande
88
Campbell
82
Baranowski
Tackles
74
Jacas
99
Diomande
99
Campbell
98
Baranowski
Solo tackles
71
Jacas
100
Diomande
100
Campbell
98
Baranowski
Passes defended
48
Jacas
48
Diomande
48
Campbell
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matayo Uiagalelei’s 2024 season.

Matayo Uiagalelei

63%match

Oregon · 2024

All-Big Ten
#2

Tomon Fox

North Carolina · 2021

54%
#3

Taylor Upshaw

Arizona · 2023

50%
#4

PJ Ramsey

Air Force · 2023

All-Mountain West
49%
#5

Xavier Carlton

California · 2024

All-ACC
44%

Matches Matayo on

Sack rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Differs from Matayo on

Class year (higher)
Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Elijah Roberts's senior season at SMU (2023).

Elijah Roberts

78%match

SMU · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 5
#2

Judge Culpepper

Toledo · 2023

All-MAC
76%
#3

Bradley Weaver

Ohio · 2024

All-MAC
73%
#4

Darius Robinson

Missouri · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 27
68%
#5

Marcus Harris

Auburn · 2023

67%

Matches Elijah on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bret Bielema

Pass share

45.6%

372 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

62.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.0%

292 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2023
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2024
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2025
Bret Bielema
Illinois

Played his entire career under Bret Bielema.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Height6'3"
Weight275 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Illinois | Big Ten DE
2024 All-Big Ten all_conference Illinois | Big Ten DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Illinois LB4 #6327 #7227 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Illinois LB4 #9165 #9932 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Illinois LB4 #4888 #5532 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 275 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2024 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 275 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2023 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 275 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2022 Illinois Big Ten LB 4 No. 17 | 6-3 | 275 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL