cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jeremy Smith /Marshall

Jeremy Smith

S · Marshall · Sr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Marshall

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120

S · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Jeremy Smith

  • 4
  • #17
  • 6-0 | 182 lb
  • Highland Springs, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12129

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1819 national
CFB
College
Marshall
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey17
Measurements6-0 | 182 lb
HometownHighland Springs, VA
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1819 recruit
Composite rating 0.8267 HighSchool
Signed with Marshall 2019
Origin Jenkins Savannah, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8267 No. 1819 recruit | HighSchool | Marshall

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12129Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12245Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Marshall

Composite

0.8267

#1819 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jeremy Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jeremy Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
50Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
54Tackles
1.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 50): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 50): needs 50/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jeremy Smith is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Marshall's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 3 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12129 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 50 27 solo | #600/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
50 88th
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
3 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-45@ Georgia210.00.01
Wk 2L 20-21vs Missouri State210.00.00
Wk 3W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky100.00.01
Wk 4W 42-28@ Middle Tennessee430.00.010
Wk 5L 51-54@ Louisiana550.00.00
Wk 7W 48-24vs Old Dominion530.50.010
Wk 8W 40-37vs Texas State420.00.00
Wk 10L 27-44@ Coastal Carolina110.00.00
Wk 11L 23-35vs James Madison511.00.00
Wk 12W 30-18@ Georgia State420.00.011
Wk 13L 24-26@ App State1050.00.00Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 14L 19-24vs Georgia Southern730.00.01
Total50271.50.034
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Marshall7-5HC: Charles Huff · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Marshall9-4HC: Charles Huff · Run-heavy
2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall50271.50.043--
2024Marshall731.00.0------
2023Marshall1171.01.01----
2022Marshall1580.50.03----
2021Marshall741.51.0------
Career5 loaded seasons90495.52.083--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 3 0 pick-six TD | #56/869 (94th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 50 #600/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 3 #56/869 94th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 27 #649/4584 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.00.20.00.3
Road6g4.30.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g3.60.10.00.4
Losses7g4.60.10.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.20.10.00.3
Weeks 8+6g5.20.20.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

56Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (89th). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#56 / 817 · 90th pct
3inte
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#600 / 2975 · 79th pct
50defe
Solo tackles#649 / 2975 · 77th pct
27defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jeremy SmithMarshallTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 87% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 82% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 80% sim
Interceptions
90
Smith
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Passes defended
86
Smith
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Tackles
79
Smith
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Solo tackles
77
Smith
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Forced fumbles
47
Smith
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles for loss
39
Smith
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Smith
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Smith
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tariq Drake’s 2022 season.

Tariq Drake

89%match

Ohio · 2022

All-MAC
#2

Renardo Green

Florida State · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 32
86%
#3

Kempton Shine

Eastern Michigan · 2021

85%
#4

Jalen Mcmurray

Tennessee · 2025

84%
#5

Tyan Milton

UTSA · 2025

83%

Matches Tariq on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Differs from Tariq on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Mcmurray's graduate season at Tennessee (2025).

Jalen Mcmurray

88%match

Tennessee · 2025

#2

Joseph Charleston

Missouri · 2024

86%
#3

JaTravis Broughton

TCU · 2024

77%
#4

Darian Chestnut

Syracuse · 2025

75%
#5

Donyai Taylor

UTSA · 2024

All-AAC
74%

Matches Jalen on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Charles Huff
Marshall
2022
Charles Huff
Marshall
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2024
Charles Huff
Marshall
2025
Tony Gibson
Marshall
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Charles Huff → Tony Gibson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHighland Springs, VA
Height6'0"
Weight182 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall S4 #12129 #12245 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Marshall S4 #12527 #12496 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Marshall S4 #8164 #8051 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Marshall S4 #10021 #9816 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2020 Marshall S4 #945 #838 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Marshall Sun Belt S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA
2024 Marshall Sun Belt S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA
2023 Marshall Sun Belt S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA
2022 Marshall Sun Belt S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA
2021 Marshall Conference USA S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA
2020 Marshall Conference USA S 4 No. 17 | 6-0 | 182 lb | Highland Springs, VA