Justin Hardy

WR · East Carolina 2014 · #2

Last confirmed: East Carolina, 2014. No 2026 box-score games on record.

6′0″ · Vanceboro, NC

Justin Hardy: WR · East Carolina · #2.

Players he’s like

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Michael GallupColorado State · 2017 · 77% season match
Devin DuvernayTexas · 2019 · 76% season match
Nelson SpruceColorado · 2014 · 73% season match
Nelson AgholorUSC · 2014 · 73% season match
Amari CooperAlabama · 2014 · 68% season match

Justin Hardy

WR · East Carolina · #2

Wins underneath on volume and route precision. A game that shows it: 188 receiving yards and 15 receptions against Cincinnati — Week 12, 2014.

How he plays

Play style

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

News and fans

No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.

Where to follow him

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2014	East Carolina	121	1,494	12.3	10
Career		121	1,494	12.3	10

Season	Team
2014	East Carolina	1	7	95
Career		1	7	95

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2014 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 52-7vs North Carolina Central	8	87	10.9	2	20	160-yard receiving day
Wk 2	L 23-33@ No. 21 South Carolina	11	133	12.1	0	23	133-yard receiving day
Wk 3	W 28-21@ No. 17 Virginia Tech	4	47	11.8	0	18
Wk 4	W 70-41vs North Carolina	6	92	15.3	0	24
Wk 6	W 45-24vs SMU	8	120	15.0	3	38	3 TD catches
Wk 7	W 28-17@ South Florida	10	114	11.4	0	20
Wk 9	W 31-21vs UConn	14	186	13.3	1	30	186-yard receiving day
Wk 10	L 10-20@ Temple	4	35	8.8	0	13
Wk 12	L 46-54@ Cincinnati	15	188	12.5	1	31	Season-high 188 yds
Wk 13	W 34-6vs Tulane	9	104	11.6	0	22
Wk 14	W 49-32@ Tulsa	9	88	9.8	1	20
Wk 15	L 30-32vs UCF	12	140	11.7	1	30	140-yard receiving day
Bowl	L 20-28@ Florida	11	160	14.5	1	66
Total		121	1494	12.3	10	66

Signature game

Bowl · 2014

L 20-28

vs Florida · neutral site

11 rec · 160 yds · 1 TD

With S. Carden — 427 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT · QBR 31.0 · W. Gregory — 44.5 yards per punt · 6 punts · 3 inside the 20

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 1 · Florida · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA +4.00Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 66 yds to the Fla 4 for a
Week 15 · UCF · 2nd and 17 · Q2 · EPA +3.76Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 30 yds to the UCF 41 for a
Week 12 · Cincinnati · 3rd and 13 · Q2 · EPA +3.50Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 17 yds to the Cincy 40 for a
Week 9 · UConn · 3rd and 13 · Q1 · EPA +3.33Carden to Hardy: a 13-yard touchdown pass.
Week 12 · Cincinnati · 3rd and 9 · Q4 · EPA +3.30Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 18 yds for a TD CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Holding (Zach Edwards) declined, (Warren Harvey KICK)
Week 1 · North Carolina Central · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +3.24Justin Hardy pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 41 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)

4 more plays

Week 6 · SMU · 3rd and 5 · Q1 · EPA +3.09Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 21 yds to the SMU 41 for a
Week 4 · North Carolina · 2nd and 11 · Q3 · EPA +3.02Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 24 yds to the NCaro 37 for a
Week 9 · UConn · 2nd and 10 · Q1 · EPA +2.99Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 28 yds to the ECaro 49 for a
Week 9 · UConn · 1st and 15 · Q4 · EPA +2.97Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 30 yds to the UConn 35 for a

Teams and coaches

2014East Carolina8-5HC: Ruffin McNeill · Pass-leaning, fast tempo

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

12 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (100th percentile). Strength: rec yards (99th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Catch rate#223 / 713 · 69th pct

72.1%

Explosive rate#230 / 713 · 67th pct

13.3%

EPA / target#266 / 713 · 63rd pct

0.57

TD rate#274 / 713 · 62nd pct

5.5%

Yards / catch#326 / 713 · 54th pct

12.3

Box-score rates (7)

Receptions#2 / 556 · 100th pct

121

Rec yards#4 / 556 · 99th pct

1494

Rec TDs#19 / 556 · 96th pct

Rush TDs#21 / 270 · 85th pct

Long catch#139 / 556 · 75th pct

Yards / catch#309 / 556 · 44th pct

12.3

Rush yards#177 / 270 · 34th pct

Season trend

EPA / target— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Catch rate— first qualifying season

TD rate— first qualifying season

Yards / catch— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2014 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home6g	9.5	122	13.0	1.2
Road6g	8.8	101	11.1	0.3

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	8.3	108	13.0	0.9
Weeks 8+6g	10.5	124	11.3	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2014 season

Head Coach

Ruffin McNeill

Pass share

59.6%

633 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

81.7

13 games

Team sack rate

4.7%

682 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Awards

Player standing · 2014

Impact starter

121 catches, 4 pass attempts and 1 carry in 13 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Justin Hardy

Players he’s like

How he plays

News and fans

Where to follow him

Career stats

Game log

Signature game

Signature plays

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Awards

Impact starter

Five seasons at East Carolina, drafted

2015