cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Liam Clifford /Penn State

Liam Clifford

WR · Penn State · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

25 REC YDS · 3 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Penn State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 8 Penn State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (37 in / 48 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15

WR · PENN STATE · BIG TEN

Liam Clifford

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-1 | 206 lb
  • Maineville, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

7

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 39th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1610

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
89.02022
1302023
25.02025

-72%

Sharp dropoff (-72%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#535 national
CFB
College
Penn State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-1 | 206 lb
HometownMaineville, OH
Primary teamPenn State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 535 recruit
Composite rating 0.8785 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin St. Xavier Cincinnati, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8785 No. 535 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1610Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1242Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8785

#535 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Liam Clifford

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Penn State football has a new standard under Matt Campbell, and the conversation"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Liam Clifford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
25Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
65Rec yards
8Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 25): needs 84.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 25): needs 121.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 7.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 9.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Liam Clifford is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1610 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 6 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 3 0 rec TD | #811/1110 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 25 8.3 per catch | #892/1107 (20th pct)
Scrimmage yards 29 Total offensive yardage | #892/1107 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
3 27th
YDS
25 20th
YPR
8.3 18th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
4 30th
YPC
2.0 28th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
6 16th
PR AVG
6.0 36th
RET TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 52-6vs Villanova11111.0011
Wk 6L 37-42@ UCLA
Wk 7L 21-22vs Northwestern
Wk 10L 14-38@ Ohio State2147.0013Season-high 14 yds
BowlW 22-10@ Clemson
Total3259.0013
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State3258.30--
2023Penn State1313010.00--
2022Penn State88911.10--
Career3 loaded seasons2424410.20--
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State24--61
2023Penn State----------
2022Penn State----------
Career3 loaded seasons24--61
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.9% 4.6% pass-game share | #896/1137 (21st pct)
Return yards 6 1 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 3 #811/1110 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 25 #892/1107 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.3 #903/1106 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 6 #190/224 16th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.6% #896/1137 21st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 4 #277/397 30th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #314/346 10th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 2.0 #283/393 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 13 #899/1105 19th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 6.0 #144/222 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 1 #4/27 89th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 1 #182/237 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.0% #560/1137 51st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #582/1137 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.9% #789/1137 31st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.5% #861/1137 24th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #890/1137 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.6% #133/1137 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 1.3% #992/1137 13th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g0.55.511.00.0
Road3g0.74.77.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g0.55.511.00.0
Losses3g0.74.77.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g0.22.811.00.0
Weeks 8+1g2.014.07.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

7Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#204 / 287 · 28th pct
4rush
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#528 / 558 · 5th pct
8.3rece
Long catch#554 / 558 · 1st pct
13rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
25rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Liam CliffordPenn StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 55% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 47% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 45% sim
Rush TDs
39
Clifford
39
III
39
Gibson
39
Cobb
Rush yards
28
Clifford
6
III
76
Gibson
12
Cobb
Rec TDs
7
Clifford
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Cobb
Yards / catch
5
Clifford
9
III
15
Gibson
25
Cobb
Long catch
1
Clifford
16
III
56
Gibson
58
Cobb
Rec yards
0
Clifford
70
III
74
Gibson
87
Cobb
Receptions
0
Clifford
92
III
92
Gibson
98
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

James Franklin

Pass share

42.0%

339 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

230 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
James Franklin
Penn State
2023
James Franklin
Penn State
2025
James Franklin
Penn State

Played his entire career under James Franklin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMaineville, OH
Height6'1"
Weight206 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Penn State WR4 #1610 #1242 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Penn State WR4 #1242 #916 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Penn State WR4 #1258 #958 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Penn State WR4 #2821 #2514 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 206 lb | Maineville, OH
2024 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 206 lb | Maineville, OH
2023 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 206 lb | Maineville, OH
2022 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 206 lb | Maineville, OH
2021 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 206 lb | Maineville, OH