cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malakai Williams /Boise State

Malakai Williams

EDGE · Boise State · Sr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

11 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Edge · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

EDGE · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Malakai Williams

  • 4
  • #15
  • 6-5 | 245 lb
  • Chandler, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2503 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class4
Jersey15
Measurements6-5 | 245 lb
HometownChandler, AZ
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2675 recruit
Composite rating 0.7733 HighSchool
Signed with Idaho 2021
Origin Lincoln San Diego, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 2-star | 0.7733 No. 2675 recruit | HighSchool | Idaho
2020 3-star | 0.8100 No. 2503 recruit | HighSchool | Idaho

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Boise State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Idaho -> Boise State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Idaho

Composite

0.7733

#2675 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malakai Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malakai Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
11Tackles
4Tackles for loss
2.5Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
16Tackles
5.8Tackles for loss
3.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 11): needs 17.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 11): needs 22.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 0.9/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 1.9/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Malakai Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.5 sacks | 4.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 11 5 solo | #2749/4942 (44th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 2.5 Pass-rush finish | #393/4972 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
11 44th
SOLO
5 39th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
2.5 92nd
QBH
7 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington000.00.00
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force321.01.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State211.01.00
Wk 7W 41-25vs New Mexico000.00.00
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV200.50.00
Wk 9W 24-3@ Nevada100.50.50
Wk 10L 7-30vs Fresno State221.00.00
Wk 14W 25-24@ Utah State100.00.00
BowlL 10-38@ Washington000.00.00
Total1154.02.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State1154.02.5------
Career1 loaded season1154.02.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 7 Quarterback hurries | #69/1878 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 11 #2749/4942 44th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.5 #393/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 7 #69/1878 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 5 #2793/4584 39th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.20.50.20.0
Road4g1.20.40.40.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g1.30.40.40.0
Losses2g1.00.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.00.40.40.0
Weeks 8+4g1.50.50.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

54Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (96th). Strength: sacks (85th). Concern: tackles (5th).

QB hurries#69 / 2975 · 97th pct
7defe
Sacks#389 / 2975 · 85th pct
2.5defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2694 / 2975 · 8th pct
5defe
Tackles#2749 / 2975 · 6th pct
11defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Malakai WilliamsBoise StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 47% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 46% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 45% sim
QB hurries
97
Williams
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Davey
Sacks
85
Williams
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
63
Davey
Tackles for loss
73
Williams
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
91
Davey
Passes defended
18
Williams
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
18
Davey
Solo tackles
8
Williams
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey
Tackles
6
Williams
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Rusher

Bends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malachi Lawrence’s 2023 season.

Malachi Lawrence

81%match

UCF · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
#2

Vincent Anthony

Duke · 2025

77%
#3

KJ Henry

Clemson · 2021

77%
#4

Malachi Lawrence

UCF · 2025

All-Big 12NFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
76%
#5

Jaylen Harrell

Michigan · 2023

NFL Rd 7
76%

Matches Malachi on

Sack rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Baron's senior season at Tennessee (2023).

Tyler Baron

86%match

Tennessee · 2023

NFL Rd 5
#2

Max Llewellyn

Iowa · 2025

NFL Rd 7
86%
#3

Kenyatta Jackson

Ohio State · 2025

79%
#4

Vincent Anthony

Duke · 2025

78%
#5

Jordan Strachan

South Carolina · 2023

78%

Matches Tyler on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChandler, AZ
Height6'5"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionEDGE
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West EDGE 4 No. 15 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Chandler, AZ