CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 68th percentile.
Trebor Pena
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
552 REC YDS · 49 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Penn State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Penn State · editorial
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15
WR · PENN STATE · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 68th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#167
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Syracuse · WR
—
2022
Syracuse · WR
—
2023
Syracuse · WR
—
2024
Syracuse · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Penn State · WR
—
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025Up 700% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8426 | No. 1434 recruit | HighSchool | Syracuse |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Syracuse -> Penn State | 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Syracuse
Composite
0.8426
#1434 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
75
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
552
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#171 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 552 yards on 49 receptions.
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=49 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at Clemson — 100 receiving_yards_total
Result W 22-10
The week the volume broke through — put up 100 yds at Clemson.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Trebor Pena already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Returns
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 46-11vs Nevada | 7 | 74 | 10.6 | 0 | 18 | Season-high 100 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 34-0vs Florida International | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 3 | W 52-6vs Villanova | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-30vs Oregon | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 6 | L 37-42@ UCLA | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 7 | L 21-22vs Northwestern | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 8 | L 24-25@ Iowa | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-38@ Ohio State | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 11 | L 24-27vs Indiana | 6 | 99 | 16.5 | 0 | 43 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-10@ Michigan State | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 13 | W 37-10vs Nebraska | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 14 | W 40-36@ Rutgers | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 0 | 23 | |
| Bowl | W 22-10@ Clemson | 5 | 100 | 20.0 | 1 | 73 | |
| Total | 49 | 552 | 10.3 | 2 | 73 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | 49 | 552 | 11.3 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Syracuse | 84 | 941 | 11.2 | 9 | -- |
| 2023 | Syracuse | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Syracuse | 22 | 203 | 9.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Syracuse | 2 | 69 | 34.5 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 157 | 1,765 | 11.2 | 12 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | 11 | 69 | 16 | 71 | -- |
| 2024 | Syracuse | 12 | 72 | -- | 120 | -- |
| 2023 | Syracuse | -- | -- | -- | 9 | -- |
| 2022 | Syracuse | 2 | 8 | 331 | 182 | -- |
| 2021 | Syracuse | 1 | 17 | 421 | 131 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 26 | 166 | 768 | 513 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 49 | #123/1110 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 552 | #177/1107 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.3 | #609/1106 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 16 | #192/238 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 71 | #81/224 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 19.7% | #96/1137 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 69 | #43/397 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 16 | #93/346 | 73rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 11 | #43/407 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.3 | #118/393 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 73 | #75/1105 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 16.0 | #164/236 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.9 | #91/222 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 8 | #91/237 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.5% | #198/1137 | 83rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.9% | #69/1137 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.6% | #105/1137 | 91st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 9.6% | #114/1137 | 90th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.0% | #164/1137 | 86th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.8% | #326/1137 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.7% | #67/1137 | 94th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.9 | 47.6 | 11.5 | 0.1 |
| Road6g | 3.7 | 36.5 | 8.9 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 4.3 | 55.3 | 13.1 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 3.2 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.6 | 43.1 | 11.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 4.0 | 41.7 | 9.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: long catch (87th). Strength: rush yards (86th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam Ross’s 2023 season.
Cam Ross
Cam Ross
Dominic Lovett
Jacob Bernard
Jake Bailey
Matches Cam on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Max Tomczak’s path through Youngstown State.
Max Tomczak
Antwan Davis
Osirus Mitchell
Jordan Brown
Neno Lemay
Matches Max on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
James Franklin
Pass share
42.0%
339 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
62.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
230 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under James Franklin.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-ACC
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-ACC | all_conference | Syracuse | ACC | WR |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Syracuse | WR4 | #167 | #227 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Syracuse | WR4 | #3749 | #3725 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Syracuse | WR4 | #1760 | #1925 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Syracuse | WR4 | #1813 | #2002 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Penn State | Big Ten | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Ocean Township, NJ |
| 2024 | Syracuse | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Ocean Township, NJ |
| 2023 | Syracuse | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Ocean Township, NJ |
| 2022 | Syracuse | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Ocean Township, NJ |
| 2021 | Syracuse | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 8 | 5-10 | 186 lb | Ocean Township, NJ |