cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Trey Smith /Purdue

Trey Smith

DE · Purdue · So · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

12 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

NOW IN NFLKansas City — drafted 2021, Rd 6, Pick 42, #226 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Kansas CityEntering 6th NFL season

#226Rd 6 · Pick 42
Kansas CityEntering 6th NFL season

DE · PURDUE · BIG TEN

Trey Smith

  • 2
  • #23
  • 6-4 | 255 lb
  • Ocoee, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14853

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1115 national
CFB
College
Purdue
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #226
Kansas City &middot; 2021

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class2
Jersey23
Measurements6-4 | 255 lb
HometownOcoee, FL
Primary teamPurdue

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1115 recruit
Composite rating 0.8436 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2015
Origin Madison Central Madison, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2015 3-star | 0.8436 No. 1115 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14853Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15071Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8436

#1115 national

NFL Draft

2021 · Rd 6, Pick 42

#226 overall · Kansas City

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Trey Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Trey Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
12Tackles
1Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
22Tackles
1.9Tackles for loss
1.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 12): needs 11.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 12): needs 14.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 0.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.5/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Trey Smith is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Purdue's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14853 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 12 8 solo | #2651/4942 (46th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
12 46th
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-0vs Ball State110.00.00
Wk 2W 34-17vs Southern Illinois110.00.00
Wk 6L 27-43vs Illinois310.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 7L 20-27@ Minnesota000.00.00
Wk 9L 24-27vs Rutgers321.01.00
Wk 11L 10-34vs Ohio State100.00.00
Wk 12L 13-49@ Washington330.00.00
Total1281.01.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Purdue1-11HC: Ryan Walters · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Purdue2-10HC: Barry Odom · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue1281.01.0------
2024Purdue221.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons14102.01.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 12 #2651/4942 46th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.80.20.20.0
Road2g1.50.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g1.00.00.00.0
Losses5g2.00.20.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.20.00.00.0
Weeks 8+3g2.30.30.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

35Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (9th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles#2651 / 2975 · 9th pct
12defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Trey SmithPurdueMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 45% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 45% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 45% sim
Sacks
63
Smith
80
Parker
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
QB hurries
55
Smith
88
Parker
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
Tackles for loss
28
Smith
87
Parker
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
Solo tackles
21
Smith
96
Parker
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
Passes defended
18
Smith
18
Parker
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
Tackles
9
Smith
98
Parker
99
Fletcher
98
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to David Santiago’s 2025 season.

David Santiago

86%match

Michigan State · 2025

#2

Abdul Carter

Penn State · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 3
83%
#3

Hunter Clegg

BYU · 2025

81%
#4

Sylvain Yondjouen

Georgia Tech · 2021

81%
#5

Solomon Byrd

Wyoming · 2021

NFL Rd 7
80%

Matches David on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Zakaih Saez's sophomore season at Oregon State (2025).

Zakaih Saez

94%match

Oregon State · 2025

#2

Joe Barna

Illinois · 2025

85%
#3

David Santiago

Michigan State · 2025

82%
#4

Ethan Day

North Texas · 2025

81%
#5

David Afogho

Bowling Green · 2025

80%

Matches Zakaih on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Barry Odom

Pass share

52.0%

404 pass / 373 run

Plays / game

64.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

348 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2025
Barry Odom
Purdue
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Ryan Walters → Barry Odom. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOcoee, FL
Height6'4"
Weight255 lb
Class2
PositionDE
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2020)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2020 All-SEC all_conference Tennessee | SEC OL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Purdue DE2 #14853 #15071 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Purdue Big Ten DE 2 No. 23 | 6-4 | 255 lb | Ocoee, FL
2024 Purdue Big Ten DE 2 No. 23 | 6-4 | 255 lb | Ocoee, FL