cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler Allgeier /BYU

Tyler Allgeier

RB · BYU · So · #25

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLAtlanta — drafted 2022, Rd 5, Pick 8, #151 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

AtlantaEntering 5th NFL season

#151Rd 5 · Pick 8
AtlantaEntering 5th NFL season

RB · BYU · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Tyler Allgeier

  • 2
  • #25
  • 5-11 | 220 lb
  • Fontana, CA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#41

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R15 · POTY finalist

Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R15 POTY finalist · 2020

2020

BYU · RB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

2021

BYU · RB

NFL Draft 2022 · Rd 5, Pick 8 · #151 overall · Atlanta

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2020–2021
1,1312020
1,6062021

+42%

Up 42% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#3659 national
CFB
College
BYU
2020–2021
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #151
Atlanta &middot; 2022

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey25
Measurements5-11 | 220 lb
HometownFontana, CA
Primary teamBYU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 3659 recruit
Composite rating 0.7397 HighSchool
Signed with BYU 2018
Origin Kaiser Fontana, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 2-star | 0.7397 No. 3659 recruit | HighSchool | BYU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#41Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#39Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to BYU

Composite

0.7397

#3659 national

NFL Draft

2022 · Rd 5, Pick 8

#151 overall · Atlanta

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler Allgeier

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler Allgeier

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyler Allgeier is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,606 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 0 return yards for BYU. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #41 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 35.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2021 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2021 season snapshot | final

2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,805 1,606 rush | 199 rec | #3/735 (100th pct)
Rush TD 23 276 carries | #3/739 (100th pct)
Yards/carry 5.8 Per-rush efficiency | #139/735 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2021 Season · Final

2021 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
276 100th
YDS
1,606 100th
YPC
5.8 81st
TD
23 100th

Receiving

REC
28 93rd
YDS
199 89th
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020BYU10-1HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced
2021BYU10-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2021BYU2761,6065.823--
2020BYU1501,1317.513--
Career2 loaded seasons4262,7376.436--
SeasonTeam
2021BYU281997.10--
2020BYU1417412.40--
Career2 loaded seasons423738.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 28 199 rec yds | #39/552 (93rd pct)
Usage 35.7% 59.8% rush share | #3/738 (100th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.44 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #1/362 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,606 #3/735 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 23 #3/739 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.8 #139/735 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 28 #39/552 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 199 #60/548 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.44 #1/362 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 271 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 35.7% #3/738 100th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 276 #3/739 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 67 #72/733 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 46 #55/540 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.1 #261/548 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 59.8% #4/738 100th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 44.1% #1/738 100th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 37.5% #6/738 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 32.4% #3/738 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 31.1% #1/738 100th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 30.7% #36/738 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 8.3% #50/738 93rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalani Sitake

Pass share

43.5%

401 pass / 520 run

Plays / game

65.8

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

270 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2020–2021

1 coach
2020
Kalani Sitake
BYU
2021
Kalani Sitake
BYU

Played his entire career under Kalani Sitake.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFontana, CA
Height5'11"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 BYU RB2 #41 #39 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2020 BYU RB2 #3 #3 4.5% 63.4% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2021 BYU FBS Independents RB 2 No. 25 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Fontana, CA
2020 BYU FBS Independents RB 2 No. 25 | 5-11 | 220 lb | Fontana, CA