Battle for the Belt

See both programs’ full 91-year Zeitgeist History, side by side →
Next meeting: Sat Nov 14 · time TBA, 10 days away.

Troy leads the all-time series 10-4. They've met 14 times since 2012. Troy once took 6 straight.

Current season

Vegas win totals and transfer-portal swing right now, plus what fans are actually saying — not history, this year.

Transfer portal
-20
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: -56
Transfer portal
-10
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: -41

Stature & the series, 2012–2025

Both programs’ standing over time, each line named at its end, with every meeting beneath — read down to see who was bigger and who won. (Stature is each program’s season-by-season standing on the Zeitgeist List, 1936–present — one score blending on-field performance, program achievement, and roster talent.)

program stature over timeSouth AlabamaTroyevery meeting (bar height = margin; dark: South Alabama won, gray: Troy won)2020

The identity war

Troy has been the more pass-heavy program more often than not.

Across 15 seasons of real play-level data (2012–2026), South Alabama led 2 and Troy led 13.

more passmore runSouth AlabamaTroy201220142016201820202022202420262019Troy 19.3 ptsTroy won 37-13
Source team_season_stats (CFBD season totals) · pass rate = passAttempts ÷ (passAttempts + rushingAttempts)

The biggest win was Troy by 29 in 2020. The biggest crowd, 30,837, was in 2016.

The coaching duels

The draft ledger

Every NFL Draft pick either program has produced since the modern era began, decade by decade.

Draft picks
4-27
Troy leads
1st-rounders
0-2
Since
1967
First CFBD-carried draft class
South AlabamaTroy
1970s0-3
1980s0-1
1990s0-5
2000s0-9
2010s1-6
2020s3-3

Best picks, either side

2005DeMarcus Ware Defensive End · Dallas CowboysRd 1, pick 11#11 overall
2008Leodis McKelvin Cornerback · Buffalo BillsRd 1, pick 11#11 overall
2017Gerald Everett Tight End · Los Angeles RamsRd 2, pick 12#44 overall
2003Osi Umenyiora Defensive End · New York GiantsRd 2, pick 24#56 overall
2009Sherrod Martin Cornerback · Carolina PanthersRd 2, pick 27#59 overall
2011Jerrel Jernigan Wide Receiver · New York GiantsRd 3, pick 19#83 overall
1992Leonard Wheeler Defensive Back · Cincinnati BengalsRd 3, pick 28#84 overall
2017Antonio Garcia Offensive Tackle · New England PatriotsRd 3, pick 21#85 overall

Recent meetings

Gate premium

South Alabama1.37×its own average home crowd
Troy1.16×its own average home crowd
2025Troy31-24
2024South Alabama25-9
2023Troy28-10
2022Troy10-6
2021Troy31-24
2020Troy29-0
2019Troy37-13
2018Troy38-17
2017South Alabama19-8Troy — Troy favored by 18.0
2016Troy28-21
2015South Alabama24-18
2014South Alabama27-13
2013Troy34-33South Alabama — decided by 1
2012Troy31-10

Every meeting since 2018, play by play

Each line is South Alabama’s chance to win through that meeting. South Alabama is 0-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

2025Troy 31-24South Alabama lost 24-31 at Troy. Chance to win started at 47%, low under 1%, high 63%.
2024South Alabama 25-9South Alabama won 25-9 vs Troy. Chance to win started at 72%, low 63%, high 99%.Busy
2023Troy 28-10South Alabama lost 10-28 at Troy. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 60%.Busy
2022Troy 10-6South Alabama lost 6-10 vs Troy. Chance to win started at 60%, low under 1%, high 61%.
2021Troy 31-24South Alabama lost 24-31 at Troy. Chance to win started at 43%, low 2%, high 56%.
2020Troy 29-0South Alabama lost 0-29 vs Troy. Chance to win started at 38%, low under 1%, high 39%.
2019Troy 37-13South Alabama lost 13-37 at Troy. Chance to win started at 10%, low under 1%, high 23%.
2018Troy 38-17South Alabama lost 17-38 vs Troy. Chance to win started at 24%, low under 1%, high 24%.