Austin Peay

2-1

UAC · Governors Stadium · 10,100 · 6,850 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat West Florida · our model 65% Austin Peay · a number, not a pick

LastW 63–7 vs Morehead State · Sat Sep 12 · Chris Parson 260 pass yds, 3 TD, 17 rush yds

Nextat West Florida · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Pen-Air Field · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Austin Peay · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 21% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–1 home, 3–11 away). Interval ±16.2.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Austin Peay has beaten the number by +3.0 more at home than away over 44 games — inside the ±10.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Governors Stadium seats 10,100 and has averaged 64% full (6,418, 14 games reported). Visitors cover a median 208 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1–1Away3–11Edge+9.5 ±16.2Visitor trip208 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.171
86th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.140
68th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.121
95th
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.050
23rd
Stuff Rate (D) 0.232
77th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.184
50th
Line Yards (O) 3.195
86th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.388
86th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.497
68th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.429
86th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.342
68th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.281
41st
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Austin Peay

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

72°F average kickoff temp; 26% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 31 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages v1.0 “Let's Go Peay!”
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