Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Austin Peay’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Austin Peay’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 6:57 · Austin Peay down 3, takes the leadChris Parson finds Denver Harper for a 24-yard touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q1, 6:57 · Austin Peay 6, Vanderbilt 3Austin Peay took the lead in the first quarterAustin Peay took the lead in the first quarterC. Parson pass to D. Harper for 24 yds, for a TD (N. Guagliano Blocked), kick no good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 14:50 · Vanderbilt up 12J. Broxton returns the punt 27 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q4, 14:50 · Vanderbilt 28, Austin Peay 927Punt return touchdown27Punt return touchdownPunt return touchdownL.Leftrick punt 9 yards to the APSU27 J.Broxton return 27 yards to the APSU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 6:21 · Vanderbilt up 2Blaze Berlowitz runs 7 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q2, 6:21 · Vanderbilt 15, Austin Peay 615-6score after the play15-6score after the playBlaze Berlowitz 7 yd Run (Brock Taylor Kick)▶Watch from this play
Q3, 5:24 · Vanderbilt up 6Sedrick Alexander runs 18 yards for a touchdownAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q3, 5:24 · Vanderbilt 21, Austin Peay 921-9score after the play21-9score after the playS.Alexander rush middle for 18 yards gain to the APSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN B.Berlowitz pass attempt failed▶Watch from this play
Q4, 7:21 · Austin Peay down 19Austin Peay is sackedAustin Peay at Vanderbilt, week 1Q4, 7:21 · Austin Peay 9, Vanderbilt 289-28score after the play9-28score after the playC.Parson sacked for loss of 4 yards to the APSU29 (H.Bray, G.Seabrooks III)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Austin Peay lost to Tarleton State after being 68% to win; the closest win was at West Georgia, down to 14%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Austin Peay during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 21% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-1 home, 3-11 away). Interval ±16.2.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Austin Peay has beaten the number by +2.5 more at home than away over 53 games. That is inside the ±8.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Governors Stadium seats 10,100 and has averaged 66% full (6,692, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 215 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Austin Peay’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.23; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.38 raw vs. 0.09 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Austin Peay
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.