Austin Peay
2-1UAC · Governors Stadium · 10,100 · 6,850 avg in 2026
LastW 63–7 vs Morehead State · Sat Sep 12 · Chris Parson 260 pass yds, 3 TD, 17 rush yds
Nextat West Florida · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Pen-Air Field · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Home-field advantage · Austin Peay · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 21% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–1 home, 3–11 away). Interval ±16.2.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Austin Peay has beaten the number by +3.0 more at home than away over 44 games — inside the ±10.0 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Governors Stadium seats 10,100 and has averaged 64% full (6,418, 14 games reported). Visitors cover a median 208 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Havoc & trenches
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Austin Peay
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
72°F average kickoff temp; 26% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.
Based on 31 home games with weather data.