Chattanooga

1-2

Southern · Finley Stadium · 20,668 · 6,869 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Wofford · our model 62% Chattanooga · a number, not a pick

LastL 17–22 at Eastern Kentucky · Sat Sep 12 · D.J. Adams 2 INT

Nextvs Wofford · Sat Sep 19 · 6 pm ET · Finley Stadium · series 9-13, last win 2024

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Chattanooga · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Chattanooga is worth +11.2 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs

50% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–1 home, 0–10 away). Interval ±12.3.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Chattanooga has beaten the number by +4.7 more at home than away over 50 games — inside the ±9.5 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Finley Stadium seats 20,668 and has averaged 36% full (7,343, 11 games reported). Visitors cover a median 180 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 37 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1–1Away0–10Edge+11.2 ±12.3Visitor trip180 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.175
86th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.179
14th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.075
32nd
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.100
95th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.193
59th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.143
86th
Line Yards (O) 2.949
41st
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.559
68th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.401
5th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.445
77th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.208
23rd
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.217
77th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Chattanooga’s breakout has happened before — and the 4 closest all held onto theirs.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Pittsburgh 2000–2005
kept climbing
Memphis 1960–1965
held the gain
Florida 1955–1960
kept climbing
North Carolina 1969–1974
kept climbing

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

73°F average kickoff temp; 15% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 27 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages synth v1.0 “Go Mocs.”
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