Next game
at Norwich
Sat Oct 24 · 1 pm ET
Sabine Field at Haynes Family Stadium · series 3-1, won the last 3
United States Coast Guard Academy 69% to win · our ratings after 6 games
United States Coast Guard Academy
3-3NEWMAC · Cadet Memorial Field · 4,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 21-42 at MIT
Our model gave United States Coast Guard Academy 44% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Merchant Marine 8%
Win out 1% · expect 1.4 of 4 more wins
United States Coast Guard Academy's chance to win each game left, from our model: Norwich 69%, Springfield 26%, Salve Regina 34%, Merchant Marine 8%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Norwich · our model 69% United States Coast Guard Academy
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
United States Coast Guard Academy · 2026 schedule and results3-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.Our rank entering each game: #522 to #532
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | #522 | #477 | — | New England | W 49-35 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #518 | #483 | — | @Curry | L 35-41 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #515 | #654 | — | @Nichols | W 49-42 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 25 | #526 | #611 | — | WPI | L 17-24 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #538 | #582 | — | SUNY Maritime | W 48-19 | 3-2 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #532 | #531 | — | @MIT | L 21-42 | 3-3 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #546 | #635 | @Norwich | 1 pm ET69% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #546 | #458 | Springfield | 12 pm ET26% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Salve Regina | 12 pm ET34% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Merchant Marine (N) | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for United States Coast Guard Academy, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for United States Coast Guard Academy: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
United States Coast Guard Academy has won two of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · United States Coast Guard Academy · 2026
Range of outcomes · United States Coast Guard Academy · 2026United States Coast Guard Academy’s most likely regular season is 4-6. 91% of outcomes land from 3-7 to 5-5.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
3 wins 14%; 4 wins 44%; 5 wins 33%; 6 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base6-6Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-3
Game feel70shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 8 in the NEWMAC
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)4th most one-score games of 8 in the NEWMAC
Margin+2.7competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 8 in the NEWMAC
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among NEWMAC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Coast Guard is the service academy Bears program — officers in training playing football for the discipline, camaraderie, and honor of the service, and who in 2025 nearly captured the NEWMAC title before falling just short.
Title DroughtSince 1950 · 76 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — Coast Guard plays for honor: the honor of service, the honor of athleticism, the honor of representing the United States Coast Guard at the highest amateur level.
Game day
The experience
Coast Guard is the service academy Bears program — officers in training playing football for the discipline, camaraderie, and honor of the service, and who in 2025 nearly captured the NEWMAC title before falling just short.
Playoff path
United States Coast Guard Academy sits 6th in the NEWMAC and 130th of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NEWMAC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merchant Marine | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.9 |
| 2 | Springfield | 3-0 | 5-1 | 66.9 |
| 3 | WPI | 2-1 | 4-2 | 56.4 |
| 4 | Salve Regina | 1-2 | 4-2 | 58.8 |
| 5 | MIT | 1-2 | 3-2 | 54.8 |
| 6 | Coast Guard | 1-2 | 3-3 | 48.3 |
| 7 | Norwich | 1-2 | 3-3 | 48.0 |
| 8 | SUNY Maritime | 0-4 | 2-5 | 43.4 |
48.3 CFB Zeitgeist#130 of 245 D347.8 strength of schedule
Win the NEWMAC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-3
Signature win 48-19 over SUNY Maritime; toughest day 21-42 against MIT.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site