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at Salve Regina
Sat Oct 24 · 12 pm ET
Toppa Field · series 1-3
Massachusetts Institute of Technology 40% to win · our ratings after 5 games
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
3-2NEWMAC · Henry G. Steinbrenner '27 Stadium · 1,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 42-21 vs Coast Guard
Our model gave Massachusetts Institute of Technology 56% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Salve Regina 40%, WPI 55%
Win out 17% · expect 2.7 of 4 more wins
Massachusetts Institute of Technology's chance to win each game left, from our model: Salve Regina 40%, SUNY Maritime 94%, WPI 55%, Norwich 83%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Salve Regina · our model 40% Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 2026 schedule and results3-2Our rank entering each game: #510 to #531
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | #510 | #655 | — | @Nichols | W 35-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #517 | — | — | New England College | W 70-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #521 | #450 | — | @Springfield | L 13-19 | 2-1 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #516 | #527 | — | Merchant Marine | L 7-43 | 2-2 | 0-2 | |
| 6 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | #531 | #532 | — | Coast Guard | W 42-21 | 3-2 | 1-2 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #527 | #505 | @Salve Regina | 12 pm ET40% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #527 | #611 | SUNY Maritime | 12 pm ET94% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @WPI | 12 pm ET55% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Norwich | 12 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Massachusetts Institute of Technology, through 5 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Massachusetts Institute of Technology: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Massachusetts Institute of Technology has won three of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 2026
Range of outcomes · Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 2026Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s most likely regular season is 6-3. 94% of outcomes land from 5-4 to 7-2.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 6%; 5 wins 32%; 6 wins 45%; 7 wins 17%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 5 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-2
Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 8 in the NEWMAC
Heart rate0-1rarely closein one-score games (1 of 5)7th most one-score games of 8 in the NEWMAC
Margin+15.4comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 8 in the NEWMAC
Measured from 5 games · ranks are among NEWMAC teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
MIT is the Engineers — elite STEM minds playing Division III football since 1881, proving that the world's most rigorous engineering curriculum and competitive football coexist.
Title DroughtSince 1950 · 76 yrs
Fans here believe no chip — MIT plays for pride in intellectual and athletic excellence, for the satisfaction of engineering success applied to football.
Game day
The experience
MIT is the Engineers — elite STEM minds playing Division III football since 1881, proving that the world's most rigorous engineering curriculum and competitive football coexist.
Playoff path
Massachusetts Institute of Technology sits 5th in the NEWMAC and 91st of 245 in the CFB Zeitgeist — outside the at-large picture — the path runs through the conference title.
NEWMAC · 2026
| Team | Conf | Overall | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merchant Marine | 4-0 | 6-0 | 72.9 |
| 2 | Springfield | 3-0 | 5-1 | 66.9 |
| 3 | WPI | 2-1 | 4-2 | 56.4 |
| 4 | Salve Regina | 1-2 | 4-2 | 58.8 |
| 5 | MIT | 1-2 | 3-2 | 54.8 |
| 6 | Coast Guard | 1-2 | 3-3 | 48.3 |
| 7 | Norwich | 1-2 | 3-3 | 48.0 |
| 8 | SUNY Maritime | 0-4 | 2-5 | 43.4 |
54.8 CFB Zeitgeist#91 of 245 D352.6 strength of schedule
Win the NEWMAC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.
Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2026 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
The 2026 season · 3-2
Signature win 70-0 over New England College; toughest day 7-43 against Merchant Marine.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site