Elizabeth City State University · Next-Season Outcome Band
Fanbase Health Index · Elizabeth City State University · low confidence
D2 Program Prestige · Elizabeth City State UniversityThe HomeEComing celebration
Annual community gathering with parade, band, and alumni returning to Elizabeth City
Elizabeth City State University4-6Hope-Doping·Offseason
Elizabeth City State is the North Carolina HBCU whose HomeEComing celebration is woven into the fabric of the community, where the Vikings play for pride and parade.
Standard GapA historic HBCU with deep community roots and the powerful HomeEComing t…
Fans here believe no chip against the outside. The motivation is internal: prove that Elizabeth City State football can be a vehicle for Viking pride and homecoming joy, not a source of frustration.
low signal
Approaching
30 days
until kickoff · at North Carolina Central · Sat Sep 5 · 22:00 UTC
The experience
Elizabeth City State is the North Carolina HBCU whose HomeEComing celebration is woven into the fabric of the community, where the Vikings play for pride and parade.
The Vikings sharpen their axes.
Elizabeth City State University · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Floor 2-10
Base 4-8
Ceiling 7-5
floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
base4-8Mid-table finish.
ceiling7-5Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.
Recent Form · last 10 games
Mixed
Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.
Streak W3Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6
The forecast
Opens Sep 5
vs North Carolina Central · away
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
The Pulse on Elizabeth City State University
—
The Vikings sharpen their axes.
What moved it — fall camp · last 14 days
Camp
Fall camp open — install + scrimmage cycle
ongoing
Kickoff
Season opener in 16 days
kickoff
"Go Elizabeth City State"
— Elizabeth City State University fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal
Fanbase Health Index · Elizabeth City State University · low confidence
Growing (52)
DecliningStableGrowingSurging
On-Field — 4-6 (40% win rate)52
Player stats — 2025 season
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Elizabeth City State University · 2025 schedule & results4-6Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 44%.
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | #396 | #399 | — | @Chowan | L 14–28 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | #355 | #172 | — | @Hampton | L 20–27 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | #346 | #335 | — | Johnson C Smith | L 17–21 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | #367 | #280 | — | Fayetteville State | L 8–51 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | #399 | #354 | — | Livingstone | W 39–27 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | #387 | #277 | — | Virginia Union | L 18–37 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | #391 | #301 | — | @Virginia St | L 20–24 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | #386 | #428 | — | @Lincoln (PA) | W 62–14 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | #368 | #370 | — | @Bowie State | W 28–27 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | #362 | #443 | — | Bluefield State | W 70–30 | 4-6 | 4-4 |
Schedule mirage
How much of Elizabeth City State University's number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.20; 26th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.00. The widest gap came in week 21: 0.20 raw vs. 0.00 adjusted.
Home-Field Advantage · Elizabeth City State University · 2018-present
Strong
34% home win rate vs 23% on the road. margin runs +8.0 better at home. Roebuck Stadium seats 3,500.
Home8-15Away6-20
Venue texture
73°F average kickoff temp; 13% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 23 home games with weather data.
D2 Program Prestige · Elizabeth City State University
Mid-Major Contender
All-Time Record
15-41
since 2007 · 10 seasons · .267 win rate
HOME
8-15
AWAY
6-24
NEUTRAL
1-2
2000s
2010s
2020s
CIAA Standing · 2025
5th in the CIAA
Elizabeth City State University sits 5th of 12 in the CIAA at 4-4. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson C Smith | 8-1 |
| 2 | Virginia Union | 8-1 |
| 3 | Fayetteville State | 6-1 |
| 4 | Virginia St | 5-3 |
| 5 | Elizabeth City State | 4-4 |
| 6 | Livingstone | 3-4 |
| 7 | Winston-Salem State | 3-5 |
| 8 | Bluefield State | 2-5 |
| 9 | Shaw | 2-5 |
| 10 | Bowie State | 2-6 |
| 11 | St. Augustine's | 0-0 |
| 12 | Lincoln (PA) | 0-8 |
Program memory
What this program never forgets
Most weeks vanish. These didn’t.
Moment of the Year · Elizabeth City State University · 2025
Moment of the Year · Elizabeth City State University · 2025Won 62-14 at Lincoln (PA)
Week 9 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.
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