Next game: vs Alabama
Alabama’s best edge on LSU is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
LSU offense against Alabama defense
Alabama offense against LSU defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.49 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 180 / 256 | 70.3 | 2171 #16 FBS | 8.5 | 17 #19 FBS | 8 | 157.2 | 67 | 81.7 | 7.9 | 3.8 | |
Yards by week → Scrambler· Money-downMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. saves his best for the money downs In the Heisman race — our Heisman model ranks this player #6 right now. This week's matchup — QB Leavitt extends plays on the move until something opens up. Manning is the one who pushes it downfield on every look. Season receipt Rush usage22.0% 51th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Completion %71.0% 91th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sam Leavitt's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| +0.86 EPA/play | 11 | 7 | 14 / 32 | 43.8 | 235 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 115.8 | — | 55.5 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | 7 / 10 | 70 | 95 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 149.8 | — | 41.6 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.16 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 149 | 659 #37 FBS | 4.4 | 6 #55 FBS | 46 | 17.0 | 11.6 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. Impact starter — 149 carries and 30 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than nearly every FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jones wins in space out of the backfield. Smothers is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share16.8% 87th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / carry4.7 bottom 31th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dilin Jones's full player page | ||||||||||
| +0.19 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 33 | 202 | 6.1 | 1 | 46 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| -0.34 EPA/play | 23 | 5 | 21 | 166 | 7.9 | 2 | 46 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.09 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 36 | 634 #34 FBS | 17.6 | 7 #17 FBS | 70 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Money-downStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. lives on the sticks and moves the chains 36 catches and 1 pass attempt in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Harris beats you over the top. Coleman is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception18.0 90th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jackson Harris's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.69 EPA/play | 6 | 8 | 37 | 487 | 13.2 | 2 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Money-downRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. lives on the sticks and moves the chains Starter — 37 catches and 4 carries in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Watkins wins underneath on volume and route precision. Coleman is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume37 84th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Winston Watkins's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.27 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 27 | 284 | 10.5 | 1 | 53 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 27 catches and 5 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Wilson moves the chains on third down. Coleman is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception11.7 bottom 30th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate3.7% bottom 22th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Eugene Wilson's full player page | ||||||||
| Move TE · +1.26 EPA/play | 7 | 4 | 19 | 272 | 14.3 | 2 | 24 | |
Yards by week → Move TELined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield. 29 of 166 TEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Yards / reception14.7 85th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.3 99th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Trey'Dez Green's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +1.45 EPA/play | 83 | 4 | 12 | 127 | 10.6 | 2 | 23 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. This week's matchup — WR Jr. moves the chains on third down. Coleman is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception10.3 bottom 18th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.4 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Corey Barber Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| +0.03 EPA/play | 1 | 4 | 8 | 89 | 11.1 | 0 | 18 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.43 EPA/play | 82 | 5 | 6 | 82 | 13.7 | 2 | 41 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.43 EPA/play | 44 | 3 | 6 | 76 | 12.7 | 1 | 22 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.70 EPA/play | 88 | 5 | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 1 | 25 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finisher | 1 | 8 | 33 | 18 | 13 #4 FBS | 9 #3 FBS | 1 |
FinisherTurns pressure into sacks — when he gets there, he finishes. Impact starter — 33 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 10 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Pressure-to-sack conversion0.9 99th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Princewill Umanmielen's full player page | |||||||
| Speed Rusher | 29 | 8 | 23 | 12 | 9.5 #23 FBS | 4.5 #60 FBS | 5 |
Speed rusherBends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor. 23 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 19 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Sack rate19.6% 86th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jordan Ross's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 99 | 8 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 23 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate17.4% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Deuce Geralds's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 90 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Stephiylan Green's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 97 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Dylan Carpenter's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 47 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Malik Blocton's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 96 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate40.0% 99th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dominick McKinley's full player page | |||||||
| 48 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 95 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 55 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 41 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 8 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View TJ Dottery's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 42 | 8 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 42 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2024 class View Davhon Keys's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 7 | 4 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2023 class View Whit Weeks's full player page | |||||||||
| 35 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 31 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perimeter Tackler | 11 | 7 | 33 | 7 #20 FBS | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Perimeter tacklerTargeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter. 33 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume33 92th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View P.J. Woodland's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.5% bottom 43th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Ty Benefield's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 28 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.0% bottom 31th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jhase Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | — | 8 | 24 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Tamarcus Cooley's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 5 | 8 | 24 | 6 #43 FBS | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate25.0% 86th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DJ Pickett's full player page | |||||||
| 13 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 80 | 8 | 9/11 | 81.8 | 40/40 | 67 | 49 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 90 | 8 | 25 | 951 | 38 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.27 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 6 | 59 | 9.8 | 0 | 27 |
Biggest plays from LSU’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in LSU’s games this season, whoever made them.
Overtime, 0:00 · Kentucky down 7, takes the leadCJ Baxter Jr. runs 1 yard for a touchdownLSU at Kentucky, week 6Overtime, 0:00 · Kentucky 35, LSU 34Overtime touchdown for KentuckyOvertime touchdown for KentuckyC.Baxter rush left for 1 yard gain to the LSU00 touchdown K.Minchey rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
Q3, 3:05 · LSU down 10Sam Leavitt finds Winston Watkins for a 26-yard touchdownLSU at Ole Miss, week 3Q3, 3:05 · LSU 21, Ole Miss 24▲24%LSU’s chance to win, 14% to 38%▲24%LSU’s chance to win, 14% to 38%S.Leavitt pass complete deep right to W.Watkins Jr. caught at OM00, for 26 yards to the OM00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 6:14 · Ole Miss breaks the tieTrinidad Chambliss runs 14 yards for a touchdownLSU at Ole Miss, week 3Q4, 6:14 · Ole Miss 32, LSU 24Ole Miss answered right backOle Miss answered right backT.Chambliss rush left for 14 yards gain to the LSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN J.Lindsey rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play- Q4, 0:58 · LSU down 8Jaylon Braxton intercepts Sam LeavittLSU at Ole Miss, week 3Q4, 0:58 · LSU 24, Ole Miss 32▼23%LSU’s chance to win, 24% to 1%▼23%LSU’s chance to win, 24% to 1%S.Leavitt pass intercepted by J.Braxton at OM00 broken up by K.Franklin, Touchback▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 2:00 · Ole Miss up 3Kewan Lacy runs 5 yards for a touchdownLSU at Ole Miss, week 3Q1, 2:00 · Ole Miss 10, LSU 0▲21%Ole Miss’s chance to win, 59% to 80%▲21%Ole Miss’s chance to win, 59% to 80%K.Lacy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LSU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 13:06 · Kentucky down 3, takes the leadKentucky scores a touchdownLSU at Kentucky, week 6Q2, 13:06 · Kentucky 14, LSU 1055Punt return touchdown55Punt return touchdownPunt return touchdownG.Chadwick punt 37 yards to the UK45 B.Coffman return 55 yards to the LSU00 touchdown. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
LSU lost at Kentucky after being 93% to win; the closest win was at Auburn, down to 38%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave LSU during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · LSU
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · LSUTJ Dottery leads LSU with 60 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+13 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
LSU fields an elite offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
LSU reads strongest in passing EPA allowed (top 2%) and EPA allowed (top 4%); the crux lives in red-zone defense, where LSU sits at the 35th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
LSU is worth +6.8 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile of 133 programs
82% at home, 51% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (42-9 home, 20-19 away). Interval ±3.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, LSU has beaten the number by +2.2 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±5.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Tiger Stadium (LA) seats 102,321 and has averaged 99% full (101,231, 33 games reported). Visitors cover a median 307 miles to get here since 2018 — 36th-shortest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 28% of the 2026 roster (30 of 107 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 59 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Dilin Jones and Harlem Berry split the carries (147/179 vs 32/179) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Harlem Berry produces in bigger chunks.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Winston Watkins (WR) and Trey'Dez Green (TE) split the targets (51/75 vs 24/75) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Trey'Dez Green produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How LSU actually scores
86th percentile quality, 9th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
LSU’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 84th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 75th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does LSU hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
86th percentile success on standard downs, 98th on passing downs — little dropoff between the two — a schedule-independent identity.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
LSU by half
1st-half offense ranks 84th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 86th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of LSU’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.27; 92nd percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.10. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.42 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), LSU’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 260-play sample) — mid-pack, 119 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), LSU’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.5% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 194-play sample) — mid-pack, 49 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 29% recovered, vs. ~48% expected.
2 of 7 forced fumbles recovered; 5 of 8 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in at a normal clip: 18% of disrupted passes intercepted, close to ~18% league-wide.
7 interceptions of 40 disrupted passes (33 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Roughly even on flags: 48 penalties committed vs. 44 drawn on opponents.
386 penalty yards committed vs. 387 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · LSU
Most similar programs · LSUReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 63°, between 51° and 75° in about 7 in 10 games (38 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 66°, and 8 in 10 ran between 44° and 84° (44 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.