Nicholls

2-1

Southland · Manning Field at John L. Guidry Stadium · 10,500 · 6,888 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat Sam Houston · our model 31% Nicholls · a number, not a pick

LastW 31–28 vs UT Rio Grande Valley · Sat Sep 12 · Kasai Jones 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 7 tackles

Nextat Sam Houston · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · series 3-11, last win 2018 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Nicholls · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Nicholls is worth +8.5 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs

33% at home, 6% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–2 home, 1–17 away). Interval ±12.5.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Nicholls has beaten the number by +7.7 more at home than away over 49 games — inside the ±9.3 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Manning Field at John L. Guidry Stadium seats 10,500 and has averaged 59% full (6,192, 9 games reported). Visitors cover a median 283 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 39 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1–2Away1–17Edge+8.5 ±12.5Visitor trip283 mi

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Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.164
77th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.210
5th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.085
41st
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.080
86th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.140
32nd
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.297
14th
Line Yards (O) 2.177
14th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 3.494
14th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.358
5th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.539
14th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.293
50th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.298
23rd
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

76°F average kickoff temp; 11% of games had measurable precipitation; 8 mph average wind.

Based on 27 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages synth v1.0 “Go Colonels.”
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