Northwestern State

Home-field advantage · Northwestern State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Northwestern State is worth +18.6 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs

0% at home, 8% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0–2 home, 1–11 away). Interval ±7.2.

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Northwestern State has beaten the number by −1.3 more at home than away over 41 games — inside the ±8.9 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Harry Turpin Stadium seats 15,971 and has averaged 45% full (7,240, 11 games reported). Visitors cover a median 192 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 35 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.