Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Richmond’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Richmond’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 10:44 · NC State up 7Jayden Scott runs 65 yards for a touchdownRichmond at NC State, week 2Q1, 10:44 · NC State 14, Richmond 06565-yard touchdown run6565-yard touchdown run65-yard touchdown runJ.Scott rush middle for 65 yards gain to the RICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 1:01 · NC State up 14Jayden Scott runs 7 yards for a touchdownRichmond at NC State, week 2Q1, 1:01 · NC State 21, Richmond 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playJ.Scott rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RICH00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 11:33 · NC State up 21CJ Bailey runs 1 yard for a touchdownRichmond at NC State, week 2Q2, 11:33 · NC State 28, Richmond 028-0score after the play28-0score after the playC.Bailey rush right for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 10:39 · Richmond down 28Jackson Vick intercepts Ashten SnelsireRichmond at NC State, week 2Q2, 10:39 · Richmond 0, NC State 287Richmond’s turnover led to a touchdown7Richmond’s turnover led to a touchdownRichmond’s turnover led to a touchdownA.Snelsire pass intercepted by J.Vick at NCSU30 J.Vick return for loss of 1 yard to the NCSU29, out of bounds at NCSU29▶Watch from this play- Q2, 6:23 · NC State up 35CJ Bailey finds Preston Douglas for a 15-yard touchdownRichmond at NC State, week 2Q2, 6:23 · NC State 42, Richmond 0Preston Douglas's first career receiving touchdownPreston Douglas's first career receiving touchdownC.Bailey pass complete short right to P.Douglas caught at RICH04, for 15 yards to the RICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 0:24 · NC State up 42Will Wilson runs 1 yard for a touchdownRichmond at NC State, week 2Q2, 0:24 · NC State 49, Richmond 0NC State scored with 0:24 left in the halfNC State scored with 0:24 left in the halfW.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RICH00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Richmond Spiders lost at Holy Cross after being 77% to win; the closest win was at Lafayette, down to 4%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Richmond Spiders during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Richmond Spiders is worth +7.6 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile of 133 programs
40% at home, 17% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-3 home, 2-10 away). Interval ±13.7.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Richmond Spiders has beaten the number by +3.3 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
E. Claiborne Robins Stadium seats 8,217 and has averaged 70% full (5,754, 16 games reported). Visitors cover a median 207 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Richmond Spiders’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.02; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.10 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Historical echo
Richmond Spiders’s slide has precedent — and the closest programs clawed back.
Programs whose stature fell in the same shape. The grey line is their decline; the color is what came next for them.
An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.