Valparaiso

4-4

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

How scary each game got

Valparaiso lost to Butler after being 88% to win; the closest win was against Drake, down to 25%

50%L2L3L4W5W6L7W8

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Valparaiso during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Valparaiso’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.03; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.02. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.25 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.

0.290.11-0.06Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.290.11-0.06Wk 2Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.176, 71th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.176
71st
Havoc allowed (O) 0.168
28th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.110
70th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.065
62nd
Stuff rate (D) 0.187
38th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.243
5th
Line yards (O) 2.271
1st
Line yards allowed (D) 3.095
21st
Standard-downs success (O) 0.447
27th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.460
42nd
Passing-downs success (O) 0.239
7th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.255
82nd
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
CFB Zeitgeist “Go Beacons.”
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