Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Youngstown State’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Youngstown State’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 6:25 · Kentucky up 7CJ Baxter Jr. runs 5 yards for a touchdownYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q1, 6:25 · Kentucky 14, Youngstown State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playC.Baxter rush left for 5 yards gain to the YSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 11:30 · Kentucky up 14Kenny Minchey finds Mikkel Skinner for a 10-yard touchdownYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q2, 11:30 · Kentucky 21, Youngstown State 0Mikkel Skinner's first career receiving touchdownMikkel Skinner's first career receiving touchdownK.Minchey pass complete short left to M.Skinner caught at YSU12, for 10 yards to the YSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 5:55 · Youngstown State down 21B. Brungard fumbles but keeps the ballYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q2, 5:55 · Youngstown State 0, Kentucky 210-21score after the play0-21score after the playB.Brungard rush left for 4 yards loss to the UK38 fumbled by B.Brungard at UK38 recovered by YSU L.Wyche-El at UK39 (I.McMillian)▶Watch from this play- Q2, 1:51 · Kentucky up 21CJ Baxter Jr. finds Willie Rodriguez for a 2-yard touchdownYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q2, 1:51 · Kentucky 28, Youngstown State 0Kentucky scored with 1:51 left in the halfKentucky scored with 1:51 left in the halfWillie Rodriguez 2 yd pass from CJ Baxter (Adam Zouagui Kick)▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 0:20 · Youngstown State down 28Beau Brungard finds Lynn Wyche-El for a 6-yard touchdownYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q2, 0:20 · Youngstown State 7, Kentucky 28Youngstown State scored with 0:20 left in the halfYoungstown State scored with 0:20 left in the halfB.Brungard pass complete short middle to L.Wyche-El caught at UK00, for 6 yards to the UK00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 8:19 · Kentucky up 21Kenny Minchey finds Prince Jean for a 26-yard touchdownYoungstown State at Kentucky, week 1Q3, 8:19 · Kentucky 35, Youngstown State 7Prince Jean's first career receiving touchdownPrince Jean's first career receiving touchdownK.Minchey pass complete short left to P.Jean caught at YSU29, for 26 yards to the YSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Youngstown State lost at South Dakota State after being 60% to win; the closest win was against North Dakota, down to 6%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Youngstown State during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Youngstown State is worth +5.3 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 69th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (2-2 home, 0-12 away). Interval ±12.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Youngstown State has beaten the number by +3.8 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±6.0 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Stambaugh Stadium seats 20,630 and has averaged 43% full (8,796, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 514 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 49 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of Youngstown State’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.35; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.14. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.43 raw vs. 0.04 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Youngstown State
Most similar programs · Youngstown StateReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.