7th-best Vanderbilt tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
-16.5 pts
#165 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
-41.1 pts
#207 of 208 · less than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed Derek Mason (2014–2020).
Roster construction · portal era
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Portal arrivals
74
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
119
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-45
#99 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 245 lbs
across 60 of 74 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+5.3 lbs
#84 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#14 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (10), GA (6), TN (5), CA (3), LA (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
58.9
position-weighted
Talent lost
59.7
position-weighted
Net
-0.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Nate Johnson (QB) from Utah
Biggest loss: AJ Swann (QB) to LSU
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: David Raih → Joey Lynch · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 41.8% → 35.7% (-6.1 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 64% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Joey Lynch → Tim Beck · 2024the offense leveled up
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 42.7% → 41.6% (-1.0 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 16% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Jesse Minter → Nick Howell · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Nick Howell → co-Steve Gregory · 2024the system held
2-season window either side.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
212 lbs
6′2″ avg · #385 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
201 lbs
5′10″ avg · #606 of 791 · less than most
Wide receiver
196 lbs
6′0″ avg · #238 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
241 lbs
6′5″ avg · #545 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
313 lbs
6′5″ avg · #223 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
285 lbs
6′4″ avg · #363 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
228 lbs
6′2″ avg · #391 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
191 lbs
6′1″ avg · #358 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
200 lbs
6′1″ avg · #100 of 346 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys P via the portal
100%
#1 of 29 stints
Grows Running back from high school
73%
#161 of 208 stints
Grows Linebacker from high school
80%
#170 of 225 stints
Postseason detail2024: Beat Georgia Tech 35–27 Birmingham Bowl2025: Lost to Iowa 27–34 ReliaQuest Bowl
3 NFL Draft picks: Dayo Odeyingbo (2021), Julian Ashby (2025), Eli Stowers (2026)
Coach of the Year: SEC Coach of the Year (2024), SEC Coach of the Year (2025)
2 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Eli Stowers (2025), Diego Pavia (2025)