cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Eli Stowers /Vanderbilt

Eli Stowers

TE · Vanderbilt · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

765 REC YDS · 61 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Philadelphia — Rd 2, Pick 22, #54 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Philadelphia2026 NFL rookie season

#54Rd 2 · Pick 22
Philadelphia2026 NFL rookie season

TE · VANDERBILT · SEC

Eli Stowers

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-4 | 235 lb
  • Corinth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

82

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#326

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R14 Unanimous All-American · 2025

2023

New Mexico State · TE

2024

Vanderbilt · TE

2025

Vanderbilt · TE

R14 · Unanimous All-American

Elite

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 2, Pick 22 · #54 overall · Philadelphia

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
3662023
6382024
7652025

+109%

Up 109% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#171 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #54
Philadelphia &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-4 | 235 lb
HometownCorinth, TX
Primary teamVanderbilt

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 171 recruit
Composite rating 0.9267 HighSchool
Signed with Texas A&M 2021
Origin Guyer Denton, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9267 No. 171 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#326Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#455Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Honors Badge 0.7% Honors Badge Recognized on a major honors list (Heisman, All-American, Davey O'Brien, Maxwell, Walter Camp, Nagurski, Biletnikoff). Held by 0.7% of the 2025 pool. Recognized on: All-America (AFCA).
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (765).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Named Consensus All-American — recognized on 3+ of the 5 NCAA-recognized selector lists.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas A&M

Composite

0.9267

#171 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 2, Pick 22

#54 overall · Philadelphia

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Eli Stowers

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "In this episode of Locked on Bama, hosts Luke Robinson and Jimmy Stein analyze A"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "Vandy TE Eli Stowers a former Texas HS high jump champ is having a remarkable da"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Eli Stowers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
765Rec yards
61Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
63.8Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
828.8Rec yards
66Receptions
4Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 765.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 765): needs 235/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 61.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 61): needs 19/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Eli Stowers already has 15 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #326 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 171 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 61 4 rec TD | #2/475 (100th pct)
Receiving yards 765 12.5 per catch | #1/475 (100th pct)
Scrimmage yards 767 Total offensive yardage | #1/475 (100th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
61 100th
YDS
765 100th
YPR
12.5 79th
TD
4 95th

Rushing

CAR
2 68th
YDS
2 43rd
YPC
1.0 40th
TD
0 69th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Charleston Southern48621.5041
Wk 2W 44-20@ Virginia Tech4297.3110
Wk 3W 31-7@ South Carolina34515.0024
Wk 4W 70-21vs Georgia State57314.6048
Wk 5W 55-35vs Utah State66811.3127
Wk 6L 14-30@ Alabama3227.308
Wk 8W 31-24vs LSU33210.7014
Wk 9W 17-10vs Missouri34214.0019
Wk 10L 31-34@ Texas714620.9267Season-high 146 yds
Wk 11W 45-38vs Auburn1212210.2029
Wk 13W 45-17vs Kentucky6366.0016
Wk 14W 45-24@ Tennessee56412.8037
Total6176512.6467
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Vanderbilt7-6HC: Clark Lea · Run-heavy
2025Vanderbilt10-3HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt6176512.54--
2024Vanderbilt4963813.05--
2023New Mexico State3536610.52--
Career3 loaded seasons1451,76912.211--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 11.0% 21.5% pass-game share | #3/468 (100th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #27/475 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 61 #2/475 100th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 765 #1/475 100th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #27/475 95th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.5 #103/475 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 21.5% #3/468 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 4 #23/50 56th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 2 #20/59 68th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 2 #31/53 43rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #33/53 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 0 #20/62 69th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 67 #11/475 98th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 17.8% #1/468 100th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.9% #2/468 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.7% #7/468 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 11.0% #2/468 100th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 8.6% #6/468 99th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 8.5% #7/468 99th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.3% #43/468 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

UNANIMOUS AA

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

UNANIMOUS AA · Rung 14 of 16

Why he’s here

Unanimous All-American — 1st team on all five NCAA-recognized selectors.

What moves him up

The only step up is a Player-of-the-Year invite.

What moves him down

Losing a selector drops this to Consensus.

Accolade streams

Status

Recognized on the Mackey list (1).

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g5.665.612.60.1
Road5g4.461.212.70.6

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g5.159.712.30.2
Losses2g5.084.014.11.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.253.812.80.3
Weeks 8+6g6.073.712.40.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

82All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (99th). Strength: receptions (99th).

Rec yards#1 / 175 · 100th pct
765rece
Receptions#2 / 175 · 99th pct
61rece
Long catch#11 / 175 · 94th pct
67rece
Rec TDs#27 / 175 · 80th pct
4rece
Yards / catch#38 / 175 · 77th pct
12.5rece
Rush yards#18 / 33 · 42nd pct
2rush
Rush TDs#14 / 33 · 30th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Eli StowersVanderbiltDylan WadeUCF· 94% simDae'Quan WrightOle Miss· 91% simJeremiah HasleyDuke· 89% sim
Rec yards
100
Stowers
93
Wade
98
Wright
88
Hasley
Receptions
99
Stowers
93
Wade
90
Wright
91
Hasley
Long catch
94
Stowers
100
Wade
92
Wright
88
Hasley
Rec TDs
80
Stowers
89
Wade
89
Wright
95
Hasley
Yards / catch
77
Stowers
74
Wade
98
Wright
63
Hasley
Rush yards
42
Stowers
42
Wright
Rush TDs
30
Stowers
30
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dalton Kincaid’s 2022 season.

Dalton Kincaid

83%match

Utah · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 26
#2

Eli Stowers

Vanderbilt · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 22
71%
#3

Jack Endries

California · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 7
66%
#4

Brock Bowers

Georgia · 2022

Mackey1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 13
65%
#5

Ben Sinnott

Kansas State · 2023

All-Big 12NFL Rd 2 · Pk 21
63%

Matches Dalton on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Class year

Differs from Dalton on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Sam LaPorta's junior season at Iowa (2022).

Sam LaPorta

78%match

Iowa · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 3
#2

Brock Bowers

Georgia · 2023

MackeyConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 13
76%
#3

Elijah Higgins

Stanford · 2022

NFL Rd 6
75%
#4

Will Mallory

Miami · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
75%
#5

Malachi Fields

Virginia · 2023

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
75%

Matches Sam on

Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Sam on

TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clark Lea

Pass share

50.4%

400 pass / 394 run

Plays / game

61.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

274 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2024
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2025
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt

Played his entire career under Clark Lea.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCorinth, TX
Height6'4"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

15 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2025)

11 first-team selectors

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Mackey

2025 season

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-America

12 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 Campbell position_award Vanderbilt | Campbell winner | TE
2025 Mackey position_award Vanderbilt | Mackey winner | TE
2025 All-SEC all_conference Vanderbilt | SEC TE
2025 All-America (USA Today) all_america USA Today TE
2025 All-America (SI) all_america SI TE
2025 All-America (PFF) all_america PFF TE
2025 All-America (ESPN) all_america ESPN TE
2025 All-America (CBS) all_america CBS TE
2025 All-America (The Athletic) all_america The Athletic TE
2025 All-America (WCFF) all_america WCFF TE
2025 All-America (SN) all_america SN TE
2025 All-America (FWAA) all_america FWAA TE
2025 All-America (AP) all_america AP TE
2025 All-America (AFCA) all_america AFCA TE
2025 All-America (Consensus) all_america Vanderbilt | Consensus --

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Vanderbilt TE4 #326 #455 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 New Mexico State TE4 #886 #1004 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Texas A&M TE4 #3580 #3515 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Vanderbilt SEC TE 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Corinth, TX
2024 Vanderbilt SEC TE 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Corinth, TX
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA TE 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Corinth, TX
2022 Texas A&M SEC TE 4 No. 9 | 6-4 | 235 lb | Corinth, TX