cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Adam Randall /Clemson

Adam Randall

RB · Clemson · Sr · #8

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Adam Randall is a cornerstone for Clemson — measured against the line he joined.

814RUSH YDS10RUSH TD168CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.15

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 173 plays

Read the story so far

He lines up at RB for Clemson.

On the field, the headline is 814 rush yds, with 10 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Phil Mafah (4-star).

The number to watch: +0.15 — rushing value · wepa.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromPhil Mafah 4★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 173 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Baltimore — Rd 5, Pick 34, #174 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season

#174Rd 5 · Pick 34
Baltimore2026 NFL rookie season

RB · CLEMSON · ACC

Adam Randall

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-2 | 230 lb
  • Myrtle Beach, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#448

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
0.02022
44.02024
8142025

+0%

Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Clemson
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #174
Baltimore &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-2 | 230 lb
HometownMyrtle Beach, SC
Primary teamClemson

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#448Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#422Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (814).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 34

#174 overall · Baltimore

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Adam Randall

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Adam Randall - Football 2025-26 &nbsp;&nbsp; Clemson University Athletics"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "ESPN fawns over one Virginia Tech football transfer and it's not who fans would "RivalsNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Longest active streaks of games w/a TD (P4 non-QBs): Antwan Raymond, Rut - 8 Jor"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Adam Randall

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 36 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#439 / 531
  • Yards per reception#514 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 at North Carolina — 2 receiving_tds

Result W 38-10

The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td at North Carolina.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
814Rush yards
168Carries
10Rush TDs
Per game
62.6Rush yards
13Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
814Rush yards
168Carries
10Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 814.

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 10.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Adam Randall is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 814 rushing yards, 36 catches, and 213 return yards for Clemson. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #448 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 24.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 213 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,068 814 rush | 254 rec | #64/735 (91st pct)
Rush TD 10 168 carries | #33/739 (96th pct)
Yards/carry 4.8 Per-rush efficiency | #326/735 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
168 93rd
YDS
814 91st
YPC
4.8 56th
TD
10 96th

Receiving

REC
36 97th
YDS
254 95th
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
3 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 10-17vs LSU5163.217
Wk 2W 27-16vs Troy211125.3130
Wk 3L 21-24@ Georgia Tech15805.3130
Wk 4L 21-34vs Syracuse161308.1039Season-high 130 yds
Wk 6W 38-10@ North Carolina8303.809
Wk 7W 41-10@ Boston College10363.618
Wk 8L 24-35vs SMU10292.9012
Wk 10L 45-46vs Duke16895.6217
Wk 11W 24-10vs Florida State15483.2012
Wk 12W 20-19@ Louisville151057.0246
Wk 13W 45-10vs Furman221.003
Wk 14W 28-14@ South Carolina241024.3113
BowlL 10-22vs Penn State11353.219
Total1688144.31046
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Clemson11-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Run-leaning
2023Clemson9-4HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced, fast tempo
2024Clemson10-4HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Clemson7-6HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson1688144.810--
2024Clemson44411.00--
2023Clemson----------
2022Clemson1--0.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1738585.010--
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson362547.13--
2024Clemson161559.72--
2023Clemson2225011.40--
2022Clemson1012812.80--
Career4 loaded seasons847879.45--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 36 254 rec yds | #15/552 (97th pct)
Usage 24.0% 42.3% rush share | #57/738 (92nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.15 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #126/362 (65th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 814 #64/735 91st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 10 #33/739 96th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.8 #326/735 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 36 #15/552 97th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 254 #27/548 95th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.15 #126/362 65th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 173 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 24.0% #57/738 92nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 168 #50/739 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 46 #191/733 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #95/540 83rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.1 #261/548 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #5/552 99th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 213 #35/200 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 23.7 #38/199 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 9 #34/206 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 42.3% #49/738 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 27.8% #58/738 92nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 27.0% #62/738 92nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 24.2% #53/738 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.6% #37/738 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 16.7% #43/738 94th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 10.1% #30/738 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #250/256 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g57.64.10.6
Road5g70.64.81.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g62.14.00.7
Losses6g63.24.70.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g62.74.60.7
Weeks 8+6g62.54.00.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

70Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (95th). Strength: rec yards (92nd). Concern: fumbles lost (2nd).

Receptions#15 / 338 · 95th pct
36rece
Rec yards#26 / 338 · 92nd pct
254rece
Rush TDs#33 / 349 · 89th pct
10rush
Carries#50 / 349 · 86th pct
168rush
Rush yards#64 / 349 · 82nd pct
814rush
Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct
46rush
Yards / carry#189 / 349 · 45th pct
4.8rush
Fumbles lost#195 / 201 · 2nd pct
3fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Adam RandallClemsonAntwan RaymondRutgers· 87% simKendrick RaphaelCalifornia· 87% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 86% sim
Receptions
95
Randall
71
Raymond
94
Raphael
85
Henderson
Rec yards
92
Randall
89
Raymond
91
Raphael
79
Henderson
Rush TDs
89
Randall
95
Raymond
95
Raphael
72
Henderson
Carries
86
Randall
98
Raymond
97
Raphael
90
Henderson
Rush yards
82
Randall
96
Raymond
88
Raphael
79
Henderson
Long run
51
Randall
60
Raymond
32
Raphael
43
Henderson
Yards / carry
45
Randall
58
Raymond
18
Raphael
18
Henderson
Fumbles lost
2
Randall
14
Raymond
14
Raphael
14
Henderson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brian Robinson Jr.’s 2021 season.

Brian Robinson Jr.

69%match

Alabama · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 34
#2

Jakobi Buchanan

Army · 2020

58%
#3

Keyvone Lee

UNLV · 2025

67%
#4

Chaton Mobley

Middle Tennessee · 2020

62%
#5

Christopher Brown Jr.

California · 2021

59%

Matches Brian on

Yards / carry
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Brian on

Receiving share (higher)
Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Braylon Braxton's senior season at Marshall (2024).

Braylon Braxton

72%match

Marshall · 2024

All-Sun Belt
#2

TJ Harden

SMU · 2025

67%
#3

Dylan McDuffie

Kansas · 2023

All-MAC
64%
#4

CJ Donaldson

Ohio State · 2025

67%
#5

Jeff Sims

Nebraska · 2023

61%

Matches Braylon on

Class year
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Braylon on

Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dabo Swinney

Pass share

53.8%

474 pass / 407 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2023
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2024
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2025
Dabo Swinney
Clemson

Played his entire career under Dabo Swinney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMyrtle Beach, SC
Height6'2"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Clemson RB4 #448 #422 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Clemson RB4 #1471 #1231 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Clemson RB4 #1119 #743 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Clemson ACC RB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2024 Clemson ACC RB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2023 Clemson ACC RB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC
2022 Clemson ACC RB 4 No. 8 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Myrtle Beach, SC