cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Aedan Seiuli /Nevada

Aedan Seiuli

DB · Nevada · Jr · #46

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETENevada 2024 — college career complete

DB · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST

Aedan Seiuli

  • 3
  • #46
  • 6-3 | 207 lb
  • Spanish Fork, UT

CFB Zeitgeist DB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#13689

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1959 national
CFB
College
Nevada
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class3
Jersey46
Measurements6-3 | 207 lb
HometownSpanish Fork, UT
Primary teamNevada

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1959 recruit
Composite rating 0.8219 HighSchool
Signed with Nevada 2021
Origin Maple Mountain Spanish Fork, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8219 No. 1959 recruit | HighSchool | Nevada

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13689Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13839Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Nevada

Composite

0.8219

#1959 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Aedan Seiuli

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Aedan Seiuli

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
12Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
78Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 12): needs 6.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 12): needs 8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Aedan Seiuli is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Nevada's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13689 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 2.0 TFL

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 45 30 solo | #729/4942 (85th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
45 85th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 0-69@ BYU850.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 3L 3-23@ Hawai'i440.00.00
Total1290.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Nevada8-4HC: Vai Taua · Pass-heavy
2022Nevada2-10HC: Ken Wilson · Balanced
2023Nevada2-10HC: Ken Wilson · Run-leaning
2024Nevada3-10HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Nevada45302.01.0------
2023Nevada22150.00.01----
2022Nevada310.00.0------
2021Nevada1--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons71462.01.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 45 #729/4942 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Road2g6.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Losses2g6.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-72g6.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Pass share

42.6%

306 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

59.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

251 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

3 coaches
2021
Vai Taua
Nevada
2022
Ken Wilson
Nevada
era →
2023
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2024
Jeff Choate
Nevada
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Vai Taua, Ken Wilson, and Jeff Choate. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpanish Fork, UT
Height6'3"
Weight207 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey46

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Nevada DB3 #13689 #13839 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Nevada DB3 #15460 #15609 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Nevada DB3 #14598 #14715 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Nevada DB3 #11948 #11766 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Nevada Mountain West DB 3 No. 46 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Spanish Fork, UT
2023 Nevada Mountain West DB 3 No. 46 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Spanish Fork, UT
2022 Nevada Mountain West DB 3 No. 46 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Spanish Fork, UT
2021 Nevada Mountain West DB 3 No. 46 | 6-3 | 207 lb | Spanish Fork, UT