cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Amari Daniels /Texas A&M

Amari Daniels

RB · Texas A&M · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

216 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 41 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas A&M for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Texas A&M

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 10 Texas A&M players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (19 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas A&M · Last season: 11-2 (AP #7) · Talent rank #8 · 2026 recruiting class #9

RB · TEXAS A&M · SEC

Amari Daniels

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-8 | 197 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

25

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 65th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1537

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
1192021
2002022
5322023
2162025

+82%

Up 82% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#243 national
CFB
College
Texas A&M
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-8 | 197 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamTexas A&M

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 243 recruit
Composite rating 0.9131 HighSchool
Signed with Texas A&M 2021
Origin Miami Central Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9131 No. 243 recruit | HighSchool | Texas A&M

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1537Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1453Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas A&M

Composite

0.9131

#243 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Amari Daniels

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

100

Grounded Optimism

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +100 · "Miami Hurricanes secure their spot in the College Football Playoff after survivi"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Amari Daniels

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
216Rush yards
41Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
21.6Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
280.8Rush yards
53Carries
1Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 216): needs 178/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 216): needs 261.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 216): needs 428/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 6.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Amari Daniels's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas A&M, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1537 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 243 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 237 216 rush | 21 rec | #328/735 (56th pct)
Rush TD 1 41 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 5.3 Per-rush efficiency | #228/735 (69th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
41 54th
YDS
216 56th
YPC
5.3 69th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
21 31st
YPR
10.5 81st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA393.007
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State6183.009
Wk 3W 41-40@ Notre Dame144.004
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn12423.507
Wk 6W 31-9vs Mississippi State351.703
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida252.503
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas144.004
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU4235.8013
Wk 13W 48-0vs Samford910611.8141Season-high 106 yds
BowlL 3-10vs Miami
Total412164.4141
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Texas A&M8-4HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
2022Texas A&M5-7HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
2023Texas A&M7-6HC: Elijah Robinson · Balanced
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M412165.31--
2023Texas A&M1055325.16--
2022Texas A&M362005.60--
2021Texas A&M201196.01--
Career4 loaded seasons2021,0675.38--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas A&M22110.50--
2023Texas A&M141027.30--
2022Texas A&M210.50--
2021Texas A&M----------
Career4 loaded seasons181246.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 21 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 6.4% 10.8% rush share | #471/738 (36th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.08 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #247/362 (32nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 216 #328/735 56th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.3 #228/735 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 21 #379/548 31st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.08 #247/362 32nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 31 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.4% #471/738 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 41 #341/739 54th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 41 #225/733 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.5 #104/548 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 10.8% #459/738 38th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 7.2% #467/738 37th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.5% #479/738 35th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.3% #505/738 32nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.1% #393/738 47th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.4% #488/738 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.7% #536/738 28th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g26.44.20.1
Road3g10.34.60.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g24.04.40.1
Losses1g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g11.92.90.0
Weeks 8+3g44.37.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

25Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (1st).

Yards / carry#118 / 349 · 65th pct
5.3rush
Long run#196 / 349 · 43rd pct
41rush
Rec yards#293 / 338 · 13th pct
21rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rush yards#322 / 349 · 8th pct
216rush
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Carries#342 / 349 · 2nd pct
41rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.08Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Amari DanielsTexas A&MJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 54% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 49% simTae MeadowsTroy· 49% sim
Yards / carry
65
Daniels
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
43
Daniels
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Rec yards
13
Daniels
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Rush TDs
13
Daniels
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Rush yards
8
Daniels
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Receptions
5
Daniels
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Carries
2
Daniels
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to DeAndre Torrey’s 2020 season.

DeAndre Torrey

66%match

North Texas · 2020

#2

Frank Gore Jr.

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA
65%
#3

Jawon Hamilton

Eastern Michigan · 2021

68%
#4

Jamious Griffin

Oregon State · 2022

68%
#5

Kelley Joiner Jr.

South Florida · 2021

61%

Matches DeAndre on

Weight
Height
Yards / carry

Differs from DeAndre on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Demetric Felton’s path through UCLA.

Demetric Felton

100%match

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
#2

Joshua Samuel

Austin Peay · 2022

93%
#3

Raheem Blackshear

Virginia Tech · 2021

90%
#4

Rodney Fields Jr.

Oklahoma State · 2025

89%
#5

Kaegun Williams

San Diego State · 2021

89%

Matches Demetric on

Yards per carry

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Houston's graduate season at Marshall (2024).

Jordan Houston

68%match

Marshall · 2024

#2

Eli Sanders

USC · 2025

64%
#3

Nate Noel

Missouri · 2024

All-Sun Belt
59%
#4

Jaquez Moore

Duke · 2025

58%
#5

Kevorian Barnes

TCU · 2025

55%

Matches Jordan on

Weight
Height
Yards / carry

Differs from Jordan on

Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Elko

Pass share

45.8%

407 pass / 482 run

Plays / game

68.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

286 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M
2022
Jimbo Fisher
Texas A&M
2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
era →
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jimbo Fisher, Elijah Robinson, and Mike Elko. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height5'8"
Weight197 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M RB4 #1537 #1453 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas A&M RB4 #291 #336 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Texas A&M RB4 #1454 #1585 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Texas A&M RB4 #892 #716 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas A&M SEC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 197 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Texas A&M SEC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 197 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Texas A&M SEC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 197 lb | Miami, FL
2022 Texas A&M SEC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 197 lb | Miami, FL
2021 Texas A&M SEC RB 4 No. 5 | 5-8 | 197 lb | Miami, FL