B.J. Baylor

Junior running back for Oregon State. 2021: 1,337 rushing yards, 13 rushing TD, 8 catches.

RB · Oregon State · Jr. · #4

5′11″ · 209 lb · Wharton, TX

CFB Index 76 · #25 of 315 RBsHigh confidenceOregon State 2021 alumnus

The story

3 running back for Oregon State. 2021: 1,337 rushing yards, 13 rushing TD, 8 catches.

The record fills in as he plays.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Four seasons at Oregon State, 1,718 rushing yards — his college career is complete.

Career arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Oregon State

2018–2021

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Coaching lineage · 2018–2021

1 coach

2018–2021

Jonathan Smith

Oregon State

Played his entire career under Jonathan Smith.

2021 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

4 seasons under Jonathan Smith — 16-28 over that span.

2018Oregon State2-10HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced, fast tempo

2019Oregon State5-7HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced

2020Oregon State2-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced

2021Oregon State7-6HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

76All-Conference level #25 of 315?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (95th percentile). Strength: carries (94th percentile). Concern: fumbles lost (13th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Yards / carry#130 / 409 · 68th pct

5.9

TD rate#138 / 409 · 66th pct

5.7%

EPA / carry#172 / 409 · 58th pct

0.21

Explosive rate#173 / 409 · 58th pct

7.9%

Success rate#200 / 409 · 51st pct

45.8%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#16 / 343 · 95th pct

1337

Carries#21 / 343 · 94th pct

227

Rush TDs#22 / 343 · 92nd pct

Long run#61 / 343 · 82nd pct

Yards / carry#60 / 343 · 82nd pct

5.9

Rec yards#170 / 331 · 48th pct

Receptions#198 / 331 · 38th pct

Fumbles lost#177 / 222 · 13th pct

Season trend

EPA / carry— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Success rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Explosive rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Yards / carry— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

TD rate— 2020 cohort too thin to compare (n=17)

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2021 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home6g	122	6.7	1.5
Road6g	87.7	5.0	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-76g	113	6.5	1.5
Weeks 8+6g	96.8	5.2	0.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

JaMarcus Shephard

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2021

Starter

A locked-in starting job.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

76 · #25 of 315 RBs

Career stats

Season	Team
2021	Oregon State	227	1,337	5.9	13	--
2020	Oregon State	27	124	4.6	1	--
2019	Oregon State	30	177	5.9	3	--
2018	Oregon State	24	80	3.3	1	--
Career		308	1,718	5.6	18	--

Season	Team
2021	Oregon State	8	75	9.4	--
2020	Oregon State	5	30	6.0	--
2019	Oregon State	1	6	6.0	--
2018	Oregon State	2	4	2.0	--
Career		16	115	7.2	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 8 · 2021

W 42–34

vs Utah

152 rush yds (19 car) · 1 TD

Edged out Utah at home in a shootout.

With C. Nolan — 208 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 82.6 · 1 rush yds (4 car) · L. Loecher — 46 AVG · 1 IN 20 · 55 LONG

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 2 · Hawai'i · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +5.34B.J. Baylor run for 66 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 8 · Utah · 2&4 · Q2 · EPA +4.81B.J. Baylor run for 68 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · USC · 1&15 · Q3 · EPA +3.63B.J. Baylor run for 40 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Hawai'i · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.81B.J. Baylor run for 30 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 6 · Washington State · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +2.68B.J. Baylor run for 50 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST down
Week 2 · Hawai'i · 3&1 · Q4 · EPA +2.45B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 5 · Washington · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.44B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 1 · Purdue · 1&9 · Q1 · EPA +2.42B.J. Baylor run for 9 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 5 · Washington · 2&2 · Q4 · EPA +2.41B.J. Baylor run for 27 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)
Week 8 · Utah · 1&8 · Q4 · EPA +2.32B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2021 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 21-30@ Purdue	9	24	2.7	2	9
Wk 2	W 45-27vs Hawai'i	18	171	9.5	3	66	Season-high 171 yds
Wk 3	W 42-0vs Idaho	11	69	6.3	2	20
Wk 4	W 45-27@ USC	23	158	6.9	0	40	158-yard day
Wk 5	W 27-24vs Washington	20	111	5.6	2	27
Wk 6	L 24-31@ Washington State	18	145	8.1	0	50
Wk 8	W 42-34vs Utah	19	152	8.0	1	68	152-yard day
Wk 9	L 25-39@ California	13	42	3.2	0	11
Wk 10	L 34-37@ Colorado	22	98	4.5	1	22
Wk 11	W 35-14vs Stanford	23	80	3.5	1	8
Wk 12	W 24-10vs Arizona State	20	150	7.5	0	24	150-yard day
Wk 13	L 29-38@ Oregon	13	59	4.5	1	15
Total		209	1259	5.9	13	68