CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Bert Emanuel Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
74 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 273 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to San Diego State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · San Diego State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78
QB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#1702
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025Up 37% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 1,463/game over remaining 2.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 1,963/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 12.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 15/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 17.5/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Bert Emanuel Jr.'s case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For San Diego State, he has 74 passing yards and 0 touchdown passes, but he also adds 273 rushing yards and 2 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-0vs Stony Brook | 3/4 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | 69.9 | Season-high 37 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 13-36@ Washington State | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-0vs California | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 5 | W 6-3@ Northern Illinois | 1/2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 6.8 | |
| Wk 6 | W 45-24vs Colorado State | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 90.2 | |
| Wk 7 | W 44-10@ Nevada | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-0@ Fresno State | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-7vs Wyoming | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 11 | L 6-38@ Hawai'i | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | |
| Wk 13 | W 25-3vs San José State | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bowl | L 47-49vs North Texas | 4/7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | 99.5 | |
| Total | 9/16 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 45.5 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 9 | 16 | 56.2% | 74 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 95.1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | 19 | 37 | 51.4% | 286 | 7.7 | 3 | 3 | 126.8 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | 4 | 8 | 50.0% | 54 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 106.7 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 32 | 61 | 52.5% | 414 | 6.8 | 3 | 3 | 115.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | 32 | 273 | 8.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | 50 | 220 | 4.4 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | 67 | 496 | 7.4 | 7 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 149 | 989 | 6.6 | 11 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 74 | #288/382 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 9 | #271/383 | 30th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 56.3% | #269/383 | 30th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.6 | #326/382 | 15th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 273 | #68/408 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 3.9% | #360/428 | 16th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 16 | #271/407 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 72 | #10/391 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 32 | #171/408 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 8.5 | #26/407 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.7% | #329/428 | 23rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.6% | #323/428 | 25th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.6% | #359/428 | 16th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.3% | #289/428 | 33rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.4% | #371/428 | 14th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.5% | #377/428 | 12th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 2.3% | #384/428 | 11th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 11.5 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 12.3 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 10.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Central Michigan | QB3 | #1702 | #1942 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | QB3 | #1058 | #1426 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | QB3 | #1391 | #1814 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San Diego State | Mountain West | QB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2024 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2023 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX |
| 2022 | Central Michigan | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX |