cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cam Williams /Michigan State

Cam Williams

EDGE · Michigan State · Sr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

13 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Edge · Michigan State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Michigan State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -18 net (28 in / 46 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #38 · 2026 recruiting class #57

EDGE · MICHIGAN STATE · BIG TEN

Cam Williams

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-5 | 253 lb
  • Loganville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15026

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#100 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-5 | 253 lb
HometownLoganville, GA
Primary teamMichigan State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 100 recruit
Composite rating 0.8467 JUCO
Signed with Georgia State 2023
Origin Mississippi Gulf Coast C.C. Jackson, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8467 No. 100 recruit | JUCO | Georgia State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15026Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15115Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Georgia State

Composite

0.8467

#100 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cam Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cam Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
13Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
19Tackles
2.9Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 13): needs 16.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 13): needs 21.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.4/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.4/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cam Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan State's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15026 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 13 6 solo | #2550/4942 (48th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
13 48th
SOLO
6 43rd
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 42-40vs Boston College210.50.00
Wk 4L 31-45@ USC221.00.00
Wk 6L 27-38@ Nebraska110.00.01
Wk 7L 13-38vs UCLA300.50.50Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 8L 13-38@ Indiana210.00.00
Wk 9L 20-31vs Michigan110.00.00
Wk 10L 20-23@ Minnesota100.00.00
Wk 12L 10-28vs Penn State100.00.00
Wk 14W 38-28vs Maryland000.00.00
Total1362.00.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Jacksonville State9-4HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan State1362.00.51----
2023Jacksonville State1761.51.01----
Career2 loaded seasons30123.51.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 13 #2550/4942 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 6 #2592/4584 43rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.40.20.10.0
Road4g1.50.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g1.00.20.00.0
Losses7g1.60.20.10.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.00.50.10.2
Weeks 8+5g1.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (11th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#2550 / 2975 · 13th pct
13defe
Solo tackles#2560 / 2975 · 12th pct
6defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Cam WilliamsMichigan StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 49% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 47% simTJ DotteryOle Miss· 47% sim
QB hurries
72
Williams
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
55
Dottery
Sacks
51
Williams
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
74
Dottery
Passes defended
48
Williams
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
67
Dottery
Tackles for loss
47
Williams
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
83
Dottery
Tackles
13
Williams
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
98
Dottery
Solo tackles
12
Williams
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
97
Dottery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nyjalik Kelly’s 2025 season.

Nyjalik Kelly

93%match

UCF · 2025

#2

Tyce Westland

Wyoming · 2025

85%
#3

Ovie Oghoufo

Texas · 2022

85%
#4

Kyle Kennard

Georgia Tech · 2022

NFL Rd 4
84%
#5

Kofi Asare

Florida · 2025

84%

Matches Nyjalik on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Brendan Mott's junior season at Kansas State (2023).

Brendan Mott

94%match

Kansas State · 2023

#2

Malcolm Lee

Kansas · 2022

90%
#3

Dean Miller

Kansas · 2025

90%
#4

Aaron Lewis

Rutgers · 2022

89%
#5

John Waggoner

Iowa · 2022

89%

Matches Brendan on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jonathan Smith

Pass share

49.7%

378 pass / 382 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

303 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mel Tucker
Michigan State
2025
Jonathan Smith
Michigan State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mel Tucker → Jonathan Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLoganville, GA
Height6'5"
Weight253 lb
Class4
PositionEDGE
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia State EDGE4 #15026 #15115 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Jacksonville State EDGE4 #10223 #10170 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Troy EDGE4 #11733 #11634 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan State Big Ten EDGE 4 No. 44 | 6-5 | 253 lb | Loganville, GA
2024 Georgia State Sun Belt EDGE 4 No. 44 | 6-5 | 253 lb | Loganville, GA
2023 Jacksonville State Conference USA EDGE 4 No. 44 | 6-5 | 253 lb | Loganville, GA
2021 Troy Sun Belt EDGE 4 No. 44 | 6-5 | 253 lb | Loganville, GA