cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Fred Perry /West Virginia

Fred Perry

S · West Virginia · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

78 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to West Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to West Virginia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · West Virginia

Returning around him

  • 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (34 in / 50 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

West Virginia · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #63 · 2026 recruiting class #43

S · WEST VIRGINIA · BIG 12

Fred Perry

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 206 lb
  • Vienna, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

82

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12752

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 206 lb
HometownVienna, GA
Primary teamWest Virginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination West Virginia 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Jacksonville State -> West Virginia 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12752Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12780Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Fred Perry

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Fred Perry

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
78Tackles
10Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
84Tackles
10.8Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 78): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 78): needs 22/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Fred Perry is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on West Virginia's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12752 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 78 51 solo | #167/4942 (97th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
78 97th
SOLO
51 99th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Robert Morris530.00.00
Wk 2L 10-17@ Ohio1062.01.02
Wk 3W 31-24vs Pittsburgh641.01.00
Wk 4L 10-41@ Kansas430.00.00
Wk 5L 14-48vs Utah860.50.00
Wk 6L 24-38@ BYU1061.00.00
Wk 8L 13-45@ UCF210.00.00
Wk 9L 17-23vs TCU531.50.00
Wk 10W 45-35@ Houston1392.01.00Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 11W 29-22vs Colorado741.00.00
Wk 12L 23-25@ Arizona State761.00.01
Wk 14L 0-49vs Texas Tech100.00.00
Total785110.03.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Jacksonville State9-4HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025West Virginia4-8HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025West Virginia785110.03.03----
2023Jacksonville State75494.00.0511
Career2 loaded seasons15310014.03.0811
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 78 #167/4942 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 51 #61/4584 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g5.30.70.20.0
Road6g7.71.00.30.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g7.81.00.50.0
Losses8g5.90.80.10.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.20.80.30.3
Weeks 8+6g5.80.90.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

82All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (97th). Strength: tackles for loss (96th).

Solo tackles#61 / 2975 · 98th pct
51defe
Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
Tackles#167 / 2975 · 94th pct
78defe
Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Fred PerryWest VirginiaColton PharesApp State· 96% simJordan KwiatkowskiCentral Michigan· 96% simMatt RoseStanford· 96% sim
Solo tackles
98
Perry
95
Phares
98
Kwiatkowski
97
Rose
Tackles for loss
96
Perry
96
Phares
99
Kwiatkowski
93
Rose
Tackles
94
Perry
98
Phares
99
Kwiatkowski
99
Rose
Sacks
89
Perry
80
Phares
85
Kwiatkowski
89
Rose
Passes defended
78
Perry
78
Phares
86
Kwiatkowski
78
Rose
QB hurries
72
Perry
72
Phares
72
Kwiatkowski
82
Rose
Forced fumbles
47
Perry
47
Phares
47
Rose

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Catalon’s 2024 season.

Jalen Catalon

90%match

UNLV · 2024

#2

Fred Perry

Jacksonville State · 2023

83%
#3

Eric Monroe

Texas Tech · 2021

83%
#4

Devyn Bobby

Baylor · 2025

82%
#5

Trey Washington

Ole Miss · 2023

82%

Matches Jalen on

PD rate
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyrone Lewis's senior season at Louisiana (2023).

Tyrone Lewis

92%match

Louisiana · 2023

All-Sun Belt
#2

Dalton Johnson

Arizona · 2024

All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
92%
#3

Devyn Bobby

Baylor · 2025

92%
#4

Rod Heard II

Northwestern · 2023

89%
#5

Jeremy Mack Jr.

Old Dominion · 2025

87%

Matches Tyrone on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rich Rodriguez

Pass share

38.7%

327 pass / 517 run

Plays / game

70.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.7%

272 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2025
Rich Rodriguez
West Virginia
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Neal Brown → Rich Rodriguez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownVienna, GA
Height5'11"
Weight206 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Conference USA all_conference Jacksonville State | Conference USA DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State S4 #12752 #12780 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Jacksonville State S4 #9334 #9532 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 West Virginia Big 12 S 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 206 lb | Vienna, GA
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA S 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 206 lb | Vienna, GA
2023 Jacksonville State Conference USA S 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 206 lb | Vienna, GA