cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Harlan Dixon /Louisiana Tech

Harlan Dixon

RB · Louisiana Tech · So · #23

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSLouisiana Tech 2022 alumnus

RB · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA

Harlan Dixon

  • 2
  • #23
  • 6-1 | 210 lb
  • Slidell, LA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3812

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2022
1122021
36.02022

-68%

Sharp dropoff (-68%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1379 national
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey23
Measurements6-1 | 210 lb
HometownSlidell, LA
Primary teamLouisiana Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1379 recruit
Composite rating 0.8444 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Slidell Slidell, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8444 No. 1379 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 5, 2022
Season Move Context
2023 Louisiana Tech -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3812Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4337Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8444

#1379 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Harlan Dixon

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Harlan Dixon

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Harlan Dixon's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisiana Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3812 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 52 36 rush | 16 rec | #560/735 (24th pct)
Rush TD 0 8 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 4.5 Per-rush efficiency | #383/735 (48th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
8 25th
YDS
36 24th
YPC
4.5 48th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
1 16th
YDS
16 26th
YPR
16.0 96th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 20-48@ UTSA5153.007Season-high 15 yds
Total5153.007
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Skip Holtz · Balanced
2022Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2022Louisiana Tech8364.50--
2021Louisiana Tech251124.50--
Career2 loaded seasons331484.50--
SeasonTeam
2022Louisiana Tech11616.00--
2021Louisiana Tech3113.70--
Career2 loaded seasons4276.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 1 16 rec yds | #467/552 (16th pct)
Usage 4.9% 9.2% rush share | #546/738 (26th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 36 #560/735 24th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.5 #383/735 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 1 #467/552 16th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 16 #408/548 26th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 4.9% #546/738 26th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 8 #558/739 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 8 #609/733 17th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #277/540 49th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 16.0 #21/548 96th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 9.2% #516/738 30th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.3% #427/738 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.0% #553/738 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.0% #563/738 24th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.8% #467/738 37th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #600/738 19th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.1% #495/738 33rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Road1g15.03.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Losses1g15.03.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-71g15.03.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Cumbie

Pass share

37.1%

311 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Skip Holtz
Louisiana Tech
2022
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Skip Holtz → Sonny Cumbie. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSlidell, LA
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Louisiana Tech RB2 #3812 #4337 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Louisiana Tech RB2 #2778 #3187 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 2 No. 23 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Slidell, LA
2021 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 2 No. 23 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Slidell, LA