cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Henry Hesson /Miami (OH)

Henry Hesson

QB · Miami (OH) · Sr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

596 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · -6 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Miami (OH)

Returning around him

  • 48% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Miami (OH) player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (16 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83

QB · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN

Henry Hesson

  • 4
  • #12
  • 6-2 | 197 lb
  • Plainfield, IN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

23

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1872

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
37.02022
16.02023
5962025

+1511%

Up 1511% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2051 national
CFB
College
Miami (OH)
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements6-2 | 197 lb
HometownPlainfield, IN
Primary teamMiami (OH)

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2051 recruit
Composite rating 0.8181 HighSchool
Signed with Miami (OH) 2021
Origin Avon Avon, IN, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8181 No. 2051 recruit | HighSchool | Miami (OH)

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1872Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2262Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Miami (OH)

Composite

0.8181

#2051 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Henry Hesson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Henry Hesson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
596Pass yards
4Pass TDs
3INT
Per game
119.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,550Pass yards
10Pass TDs
8INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 596): needs 300.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 596): needs 425.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.9/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Henry Hesson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami (OH), the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1872 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 35.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 596 4 TD | 3 INT | #171/382 (55th pct)
Completion rate 39.8% 39/98 completions | #363/383 (5th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.1 Explosiveness through the air | #254/382 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
39 51st
ATT
98 60th
CMP%
39.8% 5th
Y/A
6.1 34th

Passing Production

YDS
596 55th
TD
4 61st
INT
3 43rd

Rushing

CAR
22 52nd
YDS
-6 12th
YPC
-0.3 16th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 4L 38-41vs UNLV8/17134107.967.8
Wk 5W 38-0vs Lindenwood13/21208209.921.5Season-high 208 yds
Wk 12L 3-24vs Toledo11/38147033.99.73 INTs — rough day
Wk 13W 37-20@ Buffalo0/20000.01.1
Wk 15L 13-23@ Western Michigan7/20107105.410.6
Total39/98596435.422.1
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Miami (OH)6-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Miami (OH)11-3HC: Chuck Martin · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025Miami (OH)7-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)399839.8%5966.14398.2----
2023Miami (OH)5862.5%162.00079.3----
2022Miami (OH)2540.0%377.400102.2----
Career3 loaded seasons4611141.4%6495.84397.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)22-6-0.30--
2023Miami (OH)3-13-4.30--
2022Miami (OH)2178.50--
Career3 loaded seasons27-2-0.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -6 0 rush TD | #359/408 (12th pct)
Usage 35.8% 64.7% pass share | 6.9% rush share | #160/428 (63rd pct)
Passing WEPA +0.14 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #174/200 (14th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 596 #171/382 55th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 4 #159/407 61st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 39 #187/383 51st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 39.8% #363/383 5th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.1 #254/382 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -6 #359/408 12th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.14 #174/200 14th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 86 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 35.8% #160/428 63rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 98 #164/407 60th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 3 #234/407 43rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 22 #198/408 52nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #232/391 41st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -0.3 #344/407 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 64.7% #155/428 64th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 51.6% #138/428 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 47.0% #162/428 62nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 34.0% #144/428 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 29.8% #162/428 62nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 28.2% #189/428 56th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.9% #230/428 46th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g1631.07.21.0
Road2g53.50.52.70.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g1041.05.00.0
Losses3g1290.75.71.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g1711.58.90.0
Weeks 8+3g84.70.33.11.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

23Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (82nd). Concern: completion % (0th).

Interceptions#23 / 183 · 82nd pct
3pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#149 / 183 · 19th pct
-6rush
Yards / att#150 / 183 · 16th pct
6.1pass
Pass TDs#154 / 183 · 13th pct
4pass
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass yards#169 / 183 · 8th pct
596pass
Completion %#183 / 183 · 0th pct
39.8%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.140
23th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.14Below (<p25) (n=94)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Henry HessonMiami (OH)Nick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 66% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 61% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 59% sim
Interceptions
82
Hesson
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
56
Lindsey
Fumbles lost
66
Hesson
66
Vattiato
18
Fife
91
Lindsey
Rush yards
19
Hesson
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
1
Lindsey
Yards / att
16
Hesson
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
16
Lindsey
Pass TDs
13
Hesson
64
Vattiato
45
Fife
72
Lindsey
Rush TDs
9
Hesson
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
59
Lindsey
Pass yards
8
Hesson
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
61
Lindsey
Completion %
0
Hesson
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
56
Lindsey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to JT Shrout’s 2022 season.

JT Shrout

61%match

Colorado · 2022

#2

Ben Finley

Akron · 2025

54%
#3

Thomas Gotkowski

Miami (OH) · 2025

47%
#4

Alex Padilla

Iowa · 2021

44%
#5

Ben Finley

Akron · 2024

43%

Matches JT on

Height

Differs from JT on

Weight (lower)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Completion % (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ethan Crawford’s path through Southern Miss.

Ethan Crawford

70%match

Southern Miss · 2024

#2

Thomas Gotkowski

Miami (OH) · 2025

70%
#3

Parker Awad

New Mexico State · 2024

69%
#4

AJ Mayer

Arkansas State · 2022

66%
#5

John Busha

Air Force · 2024

66%

Matches Ethan on

Yards per attempt
Completion %

Differs from Ethan on

Height (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cade McNamara's senior season at Iowa (2023).

Cade McNamara

34%match

Iowa · 2023

All-Big Ten
#2

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi

Colorado State · 2025

28%
#3

Logan Fife

New Mexico State · 2025

25%
#4

Cooper Legas

Tulsa · 2024

25%
#5

AJ Swann

App State · 2025

18%

Matches Cade on

Height

Differs from Cade on

Completion % (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chuck Martin

Pass share

43.4%

367 pass / 478 run

Plays / game

60.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2023
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2025
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)

Played his entire career under Chuck Martin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPlainfield, IN
Height6'2"
Weight197 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami (OH) QB4 #1872 #2262 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Miami (OH) QB4 #675 #506 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Miami (OH) QB4 #1502 #1694 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 Miami (OH) QB4 #2184 #2253 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN
2024 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN
2023 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN
2022 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN
2021 Miami (OH) Mid-American QB 4 No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN