CFB Zeitgeist Score
23
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.
Henry Hesson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
596 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · -6 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Miami (OH)
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83
QB · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
23
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 82nd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#1872
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025Up 1511% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8181 | No. 2051 recruit | HighSchool | Miami (OH) |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Miami (OH)
Composite
0.8181
#2051 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 596): needs 300.5/game over remaining 8.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 596): needs 425.5/game over remaining 8.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 8.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.9/game over remaining 8.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Henry Hesson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami (OH), the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | L 38-41vs UNLV | 8/17 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 | 67.8 | |
| Wk 5 | W 38-0vs Lindenwood | 13/21 | 208 | 2 | 0 | 9.9 | 21.5 | Season-high 208 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 3-24vs Toledo | 11/38 | 147 | 0 | 3 | 3.9 | 9.7 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 13 | W 37-20@ Buffalo | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | |
| Wk 15 | L 13-23@ Western Michigan | 7/20 | 107 | 1 | 0 | 5.4 | 10.6 | |
| Total | 39/98 | 596 | 4 | 3 | 5.4 | 22.1 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | 39 | 98 | 39.8% | 596 | 6.1 | 4 | 3 | 98.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Miami (OH) | 5 | 8 | 62.5% | 16 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 79.3 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Miami (OH) | 2 | 5 | 40.0% | 37 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 102.2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 46 | 111 | 41.4% | 649 | 5.8 | 4 | 3 | 97.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | 22 | -6 | -0.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Miami (OH) | 3 | -13 | -4.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Miami (OH) | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 27 | -2 | -0.1 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 596 | #171/382 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 39 | #187/383 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 39.8% | #363/383 | 5th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.1 | #254/382 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -6 | #359/408 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.14 | #174/200 | 14th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 86 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 35.8% | #160/428 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 98 | #164/407 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 3 | #234/407 | 43rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 22 | #198/408 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #232/391 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -0.3 | #344/407 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 64.7% | #155/428 | 64th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 51.6% | #138/428 | 68th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 47.0% | #162/428 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 34.0% | #144/428 | 67th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 29.8% | #162/428 | 62nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 28.2% | #189/428 | 56th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.9% | #230/428 | 46th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 163 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 1.0 |
| Road2g | 53.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 104 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 129 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 171 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 84.7 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (82nd). Concern: completion % (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to JT Shrout’s 2022 season.
JT Shrout
Ben Finley
Thomas Gotkowski
Alex Padilla
Ben Finley
Matches JT on
Differs from JT on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ethan Crawford’s path through Southern Miss.
Ethan Crawford
Thomas Gotkowski
Parker Awad
AJ Mayer
John Busha
Matches Ethan on
Differs from Ethan on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cade McNamara's senior season at Iowa (2023).
Cade McNamara
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
Logan Fife
Cooper Legas
AJ Swann
Matches Cade on
Differs from Cade on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chuck Martin
Pass share
43.4%
367 pass / 478 run
Plays / game
60.4
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Chuck Martin.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Miami (OH) | QB4 | #1872 | #2262 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Miami (OH) | QB4 | #675 | #506 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Miami (OH) | QB4 | #1502 | #1694 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Miami (OH) | QB4 | #2184 | #2253 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN |
| 2024 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN |
| 2023 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN |
| 2022 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN |
| 2021 | Miami (OH) | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 197 lb | Plainfield, IN |