cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Thomas /James Madison

Jacob Thomas

S · James Madison · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

65 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to James Madison for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to James Madison for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · James Madison

Returning around him

  • 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (37 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

James Madison · Last season: 12-2 (AP #19) · Talent rank #127 · 2026 recruiting class #108

S · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Jacob Thomas

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-1 | 212 lb
  • Ashburn, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

80

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9153

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

James Madison · S

2023

James Madison · S

2025

James Madison · S

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
James Madison
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-1 | 212 lb
HometownAshburn, VA
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9153Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8735Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Thomas

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
65Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Final
65Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Thomas is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on James Madison's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9153 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 2 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 65 29 solo | #331/4942 (93rd pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
65 93rd
SOLO
29 88th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
7 96th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State320.00.010
Wk 2L 14-28@ Louisville651.01.02
Wk 4W 31-13@ Liberty510.00.00
Wk 5W 35-10vs Georgia Southern000.00.01
Wk 6W 14-7@ Georgia State830.00.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 7W 24-14vs Louisiana510.00.011
Wk 8W 63-27vs Old Dominion721.01.00
Wk 11W 35-23@ Marshall731.00.00
Wk 12W 58-10vs App State100.00.01
Wk 13W 24-20vs Washington State830.00.00
Wk 14W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina630.00.01
Wk 15W 31-14vs Troy310.00.01
BowlL 34-51@ Oregon650.00.00
Total65293.02.027
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022James Madison8-3HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2023James Madison11-2HC: Damian Wroblewski · Balanced
2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison65293.02.072--
2023James Madison54291.00.06----
2022James Madison220.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons121604.02.0132--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 7 Coverage disruption | #85/2184 (96th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 65 #331/4942 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 7 #85/2184 96th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 32 #203/578 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 29 #559/4584 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 16.0 #267/578 54th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.90.10.10.6
Road6g6.30.30.20.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins11g4.80.20.10.5
Losses2g6.00.50.51.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.70.10.10.6
Weeks 8+6g5.30.30.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

80All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (96th). Strength: tackles (88th).

Passes defended#85 / 2975 · 96th pct
7defe
Tackles#331 / 2975 · 89th pct
65defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Solo tackles#559 / 2975 · 80th pct
29defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jacob ThomasJames MadisonEli BlakeyMiami (OH)· 88% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 87% simAndon ThomasArmy· 84% sim
Passes defended
96
Thomas
98
Blakey
78
McDuffie
91
Thomas
Tackles
89
Thomas
99
Blakey
99
McDuffie
99
Thomas
QB hurries
82
Thomas
82
Blakey
72
McDuffie
82
Thomas
Solo tackles
80
Thomas
99
Blakey
99
McDuffie
100
Thomas
Sacks
80
Thomas
63
Blakey
80
McDuffie
51
Thomas
Interceptions
75
Thomas
75
Blakey
75
McDuffie
Tackles for loss
63
Thomas
77
Blakey
83
McDuffie
73
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marvin Grant’s 2024 season.

Marvin Grant

81%match

Kansas · 2024

#2

Jaquan Brisker

Penn State · 2021

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 16
82%
#3

R.J. Mickens

Clemson · 2024

NFL Rd 6
81%
#4

Eddie Smith

Arkansas State · 2022

80%
#5

Jacob Thomas

James Madison · 2023

78%

Matches Marvin on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Differs from Marvin on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Craig Woodson's senior season at California (2024).

Craig Woodson

86%match

California · 2024

NFL Rd 4
#2

Kitan Oladapo

Oregon State · 2023

NFL Rd 5
86%
#3

Akili Arnold

Oregon State · 2023

86%
#4

Michael Dowell

Miami (OH) · 2023

85%
#5

Cameron Smith

Marshall · 2025

83%

Matches Craig on

Class year
Weight
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Curt Cignetti
James Madison
2023
Damian Wroblewski
James Madison
era →
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Curt Cignetti, Damian Wroblewski, and Bob Chesney. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAshburn, VA
Height6'1"
Weight212 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference James Madison | Sun Belt DB
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference James Madison | Sun Belt DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 James Madison S4 #9153 #8735 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 James Madison S4 #8094 #8044 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 James Madison S4 #10820 #10542 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt S 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 212 lb | Ashburn, VA
2024 James Madison Sun Belt S 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 212 lb | Ashburn, VA
2023 James Madison Sun Belt S 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 212 lb | Ashburn, VA
2022 James Madison Sun Belt S 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 212 lb | Ashburn, VA