cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jamal Morris /Virginia

Jamal Morris

QB · Virginia · Sr · #4

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Jamal Morris is a cornerstone for Virginia — measured against the line he joined.

3,000PASS YDS16PASS TD245RUSH YDS

PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP

+53

perception vs production percentile · 2025

Read the story so far

Jamal Morris arrived as a 4-star prospect, the No.346 recruit nationally. He lines up at QB for Virginia.

On the field, the headline is 3,000 pass yds, with 16 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Anthony Colandrea (3-star).

The number to watch: +53 — produces above perception · pctl gap.

QB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromAnthony Colandrea 3★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Virginia

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +8 net (30 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia · Last season: 11-3 (AP #20) · Talent rank #62 · 2026 recruiting class #58

QB · VIRGINIA · ACC

Jamal Morris

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 192 lb
  • Highland Park, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

59

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass yards at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#714

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
6952021
1452022
1,5282023
3,0002025

+332%

Up 332% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#346 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 192 lb
HometownHighland Park, TX
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 346 recruit
Composite rating 0.8967 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2019
Origin Fort Bend Bush Richmond, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.8967 No. 346 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#714Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#564Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3000 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3000).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.8967

#346 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jamal Morris

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jamal Morris

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 14g
3,000Pass yards
16Pass TDs
9INT
Per game
214.3Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Final
3,000Pass yards
16Pass TDs
9INT

✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,000.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Jamal Morris's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Virginia, he has 3,000 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes, but he also adds 245 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #714 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 45.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 346 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,000 16 TD | 9 INT | #37/382 (91st pct)
Completion rate 64.7% 282/436 completions | #134/383 (65th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.9 Explosiveness through the air | #186/382 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
282 96th
ATT
436 97th
CMP%
64.7% 65th
Y/A
6.9 52nd

Passing Production

YDS
3,000 91st
TD
16 85th
INT
9 12th

Rushing

CAR
64 77th
YDS
245 82nd
YPC
3.8 63rd
TD
5 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina19/27264209.867.3Clean 2-TD game
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State30/43257116.080.6
Wk 3W 55-16vs William & Mary13/19149107.834.4
Wk 4W 48-20vs Stanford23/313804012.396.2Season-high 380 yds
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State26/35229236.592.63 INTs — rough day
Wk 6W 30-27@ Louisville19/31149104.850.2
Wk 8W 22-20vs Washington State15/25179007.235.8
Wk 9W 17-16@ North Carolina20/35200115.714.6
Wk 10W 31-21@ California24/36262007.373.2
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest3/619003.223.3
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke23/35316229.084.7
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech21/35182005.275.2
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke21/40216225.428.6
BowlW 13-7@ Missouri25/38198005.278.2
Total282/43630001696.859.6
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021TCU5-7HC: Gary Patterson · Run-heavy
2022TCU13-2HC: Sonny Dykes · Run-leaning
2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia28243664.7%3,0006.9169130.5----
2023TCU13220265.3%1,5287.6125143.5----
2022TCU182766.7%1455.410124.0----
2021TCU507665.8%6959.130155.6----
Career4 loaded seasons48274165.0%5,3687.23214136.4----
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia642453.85--
2023TCU452495.53--
2022TCU6244.00--
2021TCU25833.31--
Career4 loaded seasons1406014.39--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 245 5 rush TD | #73/408 (82nd pct)
Usage 45.3% 86.6% pass share | 8.6% rush share | #114/428 (74th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.33 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #57/200 (72nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,000 #37/382 91st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 16 #63/407 85th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 282 #16/383 96th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 64.7% #134/383 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.9 #186/382 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 245 #73/408 82nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.33 #57/200 72nd pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 430 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 45.3% #114/428 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 436 #13/407 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 9 #359/407 12th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 64 #96/408 77th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 42 #61/391 85th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #59/408 86th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.8 #153/407 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 86.6% #88/428 80th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 60.6% #106/428 75th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 49.8% #147/428 66th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 44.5% #73/428 83rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 42.9% #127/428 71st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 38.1% #118/428 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 8.6% #183/428 57th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.40 #8/140 95th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 52 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home8g2021.47.20.6
Road6g2300.86.30.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins11g2281.27.30.5
Losses3g1641.04.91.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g2321.67.50.6
Weeks 8+7g1960.76.10.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

59Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Strength: pass yards (80th). Concern: interceptions (21st).

Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Pass yards#37 / 183 · 80th pct
3000pass
Rush TDs#53 / 183 · 68th pct
5rush
Completion %#59 / 183 · 67th pct
64.7%pass
Rush yards#64 / 183 · 65th pct
245rush
Pass TDs#63 / 183 · 64th pct
16pass
Yards / att#103 / 183 · 42nd pct
6.9pass
Interceptions#135 / 183 · 22nd pct
9pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.330
56th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.33Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.4Elite (≥p90) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jamal MorrisVirginiaJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 87% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 85% simRocco BechtIowa State· 81% sim
Fumbles lost
91
Morris
66
French
66
Mateer
66
Becht
Pass yards
80
Morris
77
French
76
Mateer
69
Becht
Rush TDs
68
Morris
74
French
81
Mateer
81
Becht
Completion %
67
Morris
62
French
49
Mateer
38
Becht
Rush yards
65
Morris
72
French
79
Mateer
46
Becht
Pass TDs
64
Morris
77
French
58
Mateer
64
Becht
Yards / att
42
Morris
63
French
57
Mateer
68
Becht
Interceptions
22
Morris
32
French
10
Mateer
22
Becht

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Frank Harris’s 2023 season.

Frank Harris

72%match

UTSA · 2023

All-AAC
#2

Jack Abraham

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA
63%
#3

Owen McCown

UTSA · 2024

67%
#4

Jaylen Raynor

Arkansas State · 2025

64%
#5

Brady McBride

Texas State · 2020

57%

Matches Frank on

Total pass EPA (college ability)

Differs from Frank on

TD rate (lower)
Weight (lower)
Rush usage (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Bronco Mendenhall
Virginia
2022
Tony Elliott
Virginia
era →
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Coaching transition mid-career: Bronco Mendenhall → Tony Elliott. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHighland Park, TX
Height6'0"
Weight192 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Texas QB4 #714 #564 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 TCU QB4 #124 #202 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 TCU QB4 #111 #54 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 TCU QB4 #271 #311 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 192 lb | Highland Park, TX
2024 North Texas American Athletic QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 192 lb | Highland Park, TX
2023 TCU Big 12 QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 192 lb | Highland Park, TX
2022 TCU Big 12 QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 192 lb | Highland Park, TX
2021 TCU Big 12 QB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 192 lb | Highland Park, TX