Heisman / Players / Jamarion Miller /Alabama

Jamarion Miller

RB · Alabama · Sr · #26

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Miller ran 130 carries for 504 yards last season, but the 2026 job is already being questioned.

504RUSH YDS3RUSH TD130CARRIES

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-66

perception vs production percentile · 2025

The room sees a 87th-percentile name; the tape grades at the 21st — is the buzz ahead of the production?

Read the story so far

Miller carried the ball 130 times for 504 yards and three touchdowns in 2025, stepping into a role vacated by Jalen Milroe's departure. The numbers were functional, not commanding. His perception-above-tape score sits 66 percentile points below his raw production, a gap that scouts and fans alike have noticed. Heading into 2026, the central question around Alabama's backfield is not depth but succession: how long before Riley takes the first-team reps and keeps them.

The carries are Miller's for now, but the clock on that arrangement started the moment Riley signed.

RB successioncontinuity

Inherited fromJalen Milroe 4★
Pushed byKevin Riley 4★
How many games until Kevin Riley (4★) takes the job from Jamarion Miller?

Why nowThe RB job is the open question heading into 2026.

season totals
perception vs production percentile · 2025
throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Alabama for 2026As of Jun 22, 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Alabama for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Alabama

Returning around him

43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3

RB · ALABAMA · SEC

Jamarion Miller

4
#26
5-10 | 221 lb
Tyler, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 54th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#59

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →

Aura tax +66aura tax

Fans rank this player in the 87th percentile of RBs; the tape says 21st — more hype than the tape.

Aura — fan perception87th pctl

Production — on-field21st pctl

n=21 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_rushing

In Their Words 48 windows · 2025 fan posts

lower×324.7leg×216.5alabama×44.3jam×5195.7

“Alabama RB Jam Miller (lower leg injury) is questionable for the SEC championship. As expected, Georgia C Drew Bobo (foot) is out.”

bluesky_curated · fan post, verbatim

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025

2232022

2012023

6682024

5042025

+126%

Up 126% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

Recruit

★★★★

#87 national

CFB

College

Alabama

2022–2025

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB

Class4

Jersey26

Measurements5-10 | 221 lb

HometownTyler, TX

Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 87 recruit

Composite rating 0.9628 HighSchool

Signed with Alabama 2022

Origin Tyler Legacy Tyler, TX, USA

Class	Profile	Context
2022	4-star \| 0.9628	No. 87 recruit \| HighSchool \| Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file

Latest destination -- --

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD

Season	Move	Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16

Current nowcast#59Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#40Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

Program Benchmark 5.5%

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9628

#87 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

Belief Meter

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 17 mentions

Confidence MEDIUM

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence map

Own fans · n=17
Rivals · n=1
National · n=6

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.070

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #55 of 66

Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 17th

Why it matters

#55 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.070 EPA/carry on 122 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.070 (17th)

HIGH · n=122 cohort 66

Also strong
Rushing yards (total)#54 / 69
Yards per carry#65 / 69

Signature Moment

Week 6 vs Vanderbilt — 136 rushing_yards_total

Result W 30-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 136 yds vs Vanderbilt.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game

Through 11g

504Rush yards

130Carries

3Rush TDs

Per game

45.8Rush yards

12Carries

0Rush TDs

Projected (13g)

595.6Rush yards

154Carries

4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 504): needs 123/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 504): needs 248/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 504): needs 498/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 6/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 8.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jamarion Miller's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #59 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load 20.5% Overall usage share

Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 87 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 613 504 rush | 109 rec | #161/735 (78th pct)

Rush TD 3 130 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)

Yards/carry 3.9 Per-rush efficiency | #516/735 (30th pct)

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

Rushing

CAR

130 87th

YDS

504 78th

YPC

3.9 30th

3 73rd

Receiving

REC

19 86th

YDS

109 72nd

YPR

5.7 34th

0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 5	W 24-21@ Georgia	16	46	2.9	0	7
Wk 6	W 30-14vs Vanderbilt	22	136	6.2	1	22	Season-high 136 yds
Wk 7	W 27-24@ Missouri	20	85	4.3	0	12
Wk 8	W 37-20vs Tennessee	12	15	1.3	1	6
Wk 9	W 29-22@ South Carolina	10	26	2.6	0	7
Wk 11	W 20-9vs LSU	8	13	1.6	0	7
Wk 12	L 21-23vs Oklahoma	9	27	3.0	0	8
Wk 13	W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois	11	62	5.6	1	24
Wk 14	W 27-20@ Auburn	15	83	5.5	0	20
Bowl	W 34-24@ Oklahoma	7	11	1.6	0	7
Bowl	L 3-38@ Indiana	—	—	—	—	—
Total		130	504	3.5	3	24

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced

2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy

2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning

2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced

Season	Team
2025	Alabama	130	504	3.9	3	--
2024	Alabama	145	668	4.6	7	--
2023	Alabama	41	201	4.9	1	--
2022	Alabama	33	223	6.8	2	--
Career	4 loaded seasons	349	1,596	4.6	13	--

Season	Team
2025	Alabama	19	109	5.7	0	--
2024	Alabama	16	155	9.7	1	--
2023	Alabama	4	73	18.2	1	--
2022	Alabama	1	-1	-1.0	0	--
Career	4 loaded seasons	40	336	8.4	2	--

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 19 109 rec yds | #78/552 (86th pct)

Usage 20.5% 37.8% rush share | #84/738 (89th pct)

Rushing WEPA +0.07 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #263/362 (28th pct)

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Rushing	Rushing yards	504	#161/735	78th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rush TD	3	#204/739	73rd pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing	Yards / carry	3.9	#516/735	30th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receptions	19	#78/552	86th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving yards	109	#153/548	72nd pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Value	Rushing WEPA	+0.07	#263/362	28th pct	Opponent-adjusted rushing value \| 122 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage	Role share	20.5%	#84/738	89th pct	Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing	Carries	130	#95/739	87th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rushing LONG	24	#347/733	53rd pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving LONG	14	#323/540	40th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Yards / catch	5.7	#360/548	34th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving TD	0	#169/552	70th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage	Rush share	37.8%	#72/738	90th pct	Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage	1st-down usage	25.2%	#80/738	89th pct	Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Standard-down usage	24.4%	#83/738	89th pct	Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage	2nd-down usage	22.8%	#68/738	91st pct	Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Passing-down usage	11.3%	#150/738	80th pct	Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage	3rd-down usage	8.4%	#267/738	64th pct	Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Pass share	6.3%	#108/738	86th pct	Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security	Fumbles lost	0	#1/256	100th pct	Turnoversvs FBS RB

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home5g	50.6	3.5	0.6
Road6g	41.8	3.4	0.0

Win vs Loss

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Wins9g	53.0	3.5	0.3
Losses2g	13.5	3.0	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-75g	55.6	3.8	0.2
Weeks 8+6g	37.7	3.3	0.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

45Mid-pack

8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: yards / carry (11th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct

0fumb

Receptions#77 / 338 · 75th pct

19rece

Carries#95 / 349 · 73rd pct

130rush

Rec yards#141 / 338 · 58th pct

109rece

Rush yards#161 / 349 · 54th pct

504rush

Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct

3rush

Long run#282 / 349 · 19th pct

24rush

Yards / carry#303 / 349 · 12th pct

3.9rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

wepa_rushing0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)Low (p25–p50) (n=184)Low (p25–p50) (n=362)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics

Jamarion MillerAlabamaKamari MoultonIowa· 74% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 73% simTJ HardenSMU· 73% sim

Fumbles lost

87
Miller

49
McGowan

87
Harden

Receptions

75
Miller

63
Moulton

75
McGowan

75
Harden

Carries

73
Miller

86
Moulton

85
McGowan

87
Harden

Rec yards

58
Miller

53
Moulton

67
McGowan

54
Harden

Rush yards

54
Miller

84
Moulton

76
McGowan

80
Harden

Rush TDs

38
Miller

62
Moulton

94
McGowan

87
Harden

Long run

19
Miller

33
Moulton

11
McGowan

62
Harden

Yards / carry

12
Miller

62
Moulton

29
McGowan

37
Harden

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cam Porter’s 2022 season.

Cam Porter

69%match

Northwestern · 2022

Malachi Thomas

Virginia Tech · 2023

68%

Re'Mahn Davis

Vanderbilt · 2021

66%

Cam Porter

Northwestern · 2023

66%

Leshon Williams

Iowa · 2022

65%

Matches Cam on

Total rush EPA (college ability)

Weight

Yards / carry

Differs from Cam on

Receiving share (higher)

Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Body’s path through Alabama State.

Andrew Body

97%match

Alabama State · 2025

Brandon High

California · 2025

97%

Tucker Gregg

Georgia State · 2022

All-Sun Belt

96%

Lew Nichols

Central Michigan · 2022

92%

Narii Gaither

Gardner-Webb · 2023

90%

Matches Andrew on

Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Isaiah Jacobs's senior season at UAB (2024).

Isaiah Jacobs

72%match

UAB · 2024

Marcus Major

Oklahoma · 2023

69%

Al-Jay Henderson

Buffalo · 2025

All-MAC

67%

Donovan Edwards

Michigan · 2024

67%

Jo'quavious Marks

Mississippi State · 2023

66%

Matches Isaiah on

Yards / carry

Receiving share

Differs from Isaiah on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Rush TD rate (higher)

Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches

2022

Nick Saban

Alabama

2023

Nick Saban

Alabama

2024

Kalen DeBoer

Alabama

era →

2025

Kalen DeBoer

Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

HometownTyler, TX

Height5'10"

Weight221 lb

Class4

PositionRB

Jersey26

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2024	Alabama	RB4	#59	#40	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W16 snapshot \| SEC
2023	Alabama	RB4	#541	#372	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W19 snapshot \| SEC
2022	Alabama	RB4	#426	#289	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2025	Alabama	SEC	RB	4	No. 26 \| 5-10 \| 221 lb \| Tyler, TX
2024	Alabama	SEC	RB	4	No. 26 \| 5-10 \| 221 lb \| Tyler, TX
2023	Alabama	SEC	RB	4	No. 26 \| 5-10 \| 221 lb \| Tyler, TX
2022	Alabama	SEC	RB	4	No. 26 \| 5-10 \| 221 lb \| Tyler, TX

Jamarion Miller

R07 · Impact starter

+126%

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

The Room on Jamarion Miller

How rival fanbases talk about Jamarion Miller

Rushing WEPA per carry

What made this player interesting

2025 Season · Final

RB season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

2025 Season · Final

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

The Workhorse

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline