cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Damari Alston /Auburn

Damari Alston

RB · Auburn · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

128 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 32 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Auburn → Tulsa for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Tulsa

2025Auburn
2026Tulsa

RB · AUBURN · SEC

Damari Alston

  • 4
  • 5-9 | 214 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

9

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 15th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#537

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
85.02022
3202023
2762024
1282025

+51%

Up 51% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#328 national
CFB
College
Auburn
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-9 | 214 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamAuburn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 328 recruit
Composite rating 0.8995 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2022
Origin Woodward Academy Atlanta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8995 No. 328 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulsa 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Auburn -> Tulsa 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#537Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#708Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.8995

#328 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Damari Alston

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Damari Alston

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
128Rush yards
32Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
32Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
416Rush yards
104Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 128): needs 69.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 128): needs 96.9/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 128): needs 152.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Damari Alston's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Auburn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #537 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 328 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 157 128 rush | 29 rec | #402/735 (45th pct)
Rush TD 1 32 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.0 Per-rush efficiency | #489/735 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
32 49th
YDS
128 45th
YPC
4.0 34th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
4 38th
YDS
29 37th
YPR
7.3 56th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-24@ Baylor16845.3111Season-high 84 yds
Wk 4L 17-24@ Oklahoma7253.6015
Wk 5L 10-16@ Texas A&M2105.005
Wk 7L 10-20vs Georgia791.305
Total321283.8115
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Auburn5-7HC: Cadillac Williams · Run-heavy
2023Auburn6-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-heavy
2024Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Balanced
2025Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn321284.01--
2024Auburn522765.33--
2023Auburn643205.02--
2022Auburn14856.10--
Career4 loaded seasons1628095.06--
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn4297.20--
2024Auburn6538.80--
2023Auburn8486.00--
2022Auburn11313.00--
Career4 loaded seasons191437.50--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 4 29 rec yds | #343/552 (38th pct)
Usage 14.0% 24.4% rush share | #203/738 (73rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.15 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #126/362 (65th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 128 #402/735 45th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #489/735 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 4 #343/552 38th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 29 #347/548 37th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.15 #126/362 65th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 34 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.0% #203/738 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 32 #378/739 49th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #465/733 37th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 12 #365/540 33rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.3 #241/548 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 24.4% #192/738 74th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 17.9% #167/738 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.8% #191/738 74th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.5% #76/738 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.5% #288/738 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.8% #410/738 45th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.1% #298/738 60th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home1g9.01.30.0
Road3g39.74.60.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g84.05.31.0
Losses3g14.73.30.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g32.03.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

9Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#282 / 338 · 17th pct
29rece
Yards / carry#292 / 349 · 15th pct
4.0rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Receptions#289 / 338 · 12th pct
4rece
Long run#332 / 349 · 4th pct
15rush
Rush yards#347 / 349 · 1st pct
128rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
32rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.15Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Damari AlstonAuburnTae MeadowsTroy· 47% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 46% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 46% sim
Rec yards
17
Alston
38
Meadows
10
Wright
3
Brunson
Yards / carry
15
Alston
29
Meadows
33
Wright
41
Brunson
Rush TDs
13
Alston
72
Meadows
62
Wright
50
Brunson
Receptions
12
Alston
45
Meadows
32
Wright
2
Brunson
Long run
4
Alston
53
Meadows
49
Wright
73
Brunson
Rush yards
1
Alston
74
Meadows
84
Wright
80
Brunson
Carries
0
Alston
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Hugh Freeze

Pass share

44.7%

360 pass / 445 run

Plays / game

67.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.3%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Cadillac Williams
Auburn
2023
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
era →
2024
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2025
Hugh Freeze
Auburn

Coaching transition mid-career: Cadillac Williams → Hugh Freeze. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height5'9"
Weight214 lb
Class4
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Auburn RB4 #537 #708 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Auburn RB4 #717 #755 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Auburn RB4 #1629 #1843 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Auburn SEC RB 4 5-9 | 214 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 Auburn SEC RB 4 5-9 | 214 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 Auburn SEC RB 4 5-9 | 214 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Auburn SEC RB 4 5-9 | 214 lb | Atlanta, GA