cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joseph Bearns III /Charlotte

Joseph Bearns III

TE · Charlotte · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

44 REC YDS · 9 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Charlotte for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Charlotte

Returning around him

  • 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135

TE · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Joseph Bearns III

  • 4
  • 6-1 | 280 lb
  • Huntingtown, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

8

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 21st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3506

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
8.02023
17.02024
44.02025

+450%

Up 450% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1426 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements6-1 | 280 lb
HometownHuntingtown, MD
Primary teamCharlotte

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1426 recruit
Composite rating 0.8415 HighSchool
Signed with Maryland 2021
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8415 No. 1426 recruit | HighSchool | Maryland

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3506Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4034Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Maryland

Composite

0.8415

#1426 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joseph Bearns III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joseph Bearns III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
44Rec yards
9Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
7.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
95.3Rec yards
20Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 44): needs 93.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 44): needs 136.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 9): needs 7.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 9): needs 10.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joseph Bearns III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Charlotte, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3506 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 9 1 rec TD | #199/475 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 44 4.9 per catch | #288/475 (40th pct)
Scrimmage yards 44 Total offensive yardage | #288/475 (40th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
9 58th
YDS
44 40th
YPR
4.9 9th
TD
1 71st

Rushing

CAR
1 51st
TD
0 69th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 3-20vs North Carolina242.004
Wk 3W 42-35vs Monmouth3196.3115Season-high 19 yds
Wk 4L 17-28vs Rice11111.0011
Wk 6L 26-54@ South Florida199.009
Wk 13L 3-35@ Georgia122.002
Wk 14L 0-27@ Tulane1-1-1.00-1
Total9444.9115
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Balanced
2023Charlotte3-9HC: Biff Poggi · Run-leaning
2024Charlotte5-7HC: Biff Poggi · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Charlotte9444.91--
2024Charlotte11717.00--
2023Charlotte382.70--
2022Maryland----------
Career4 loaded seasons13695.31--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.2% 5.2% pass-game share | #282/468 (40th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 9 #199/475 58th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 44 #288/475 40th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 4.9 #431/475 9th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 5.2% #282/468 40th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 1 #30/59 51st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 0 #20/62 69th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 15 #324/475 32nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.0% #116/468 75th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.1% #113/468 76th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.2% #200/468 57th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 2.4% #284/468 40th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 1.5% #354/468 25th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.2% #328/468 30th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.6% #29/468 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g2.011.36.40.3
Road3g1.03.33.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g3.019.06.31.0
Losses5g1.25.04.60.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.810.87.10.2
Weeks 8+2g1.00.50.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

8Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rush TDs#14 / 33 · 30th pct
0rush
Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Rush yards#28 / 33 · 12th pct
0rush
Long catch#172 / 175 · 2nd pct
15rece
Yards / catch#175 / 175 · 1st pct
4.9rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
44rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
9rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Joseph Bearns IIICharlotteBryce CaufieldOregon State· 61% simHayden HansenFlorida· 57% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 53% sim
Rush TDs
30
III
Rec TDs
21
III
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Rush yards
12
III
Long catch
2
III
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
1
III
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Rec yards
0
III
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
III
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Miller’s 2025 season.

Trey Miller

31%match

Louisiana · 2025

#2

Masen Wake

BYU · 2021

34%
#3

Sav'ell Smalls

Colorado · 2024

24%
#4

Masen Wake

BYU · 2022

19%
#5

Damarcus Thomas

South Alabama · 2022

15%

Matches Trey on

Reception volume

Differs from Trey on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Yards / reception (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jere Getzinger Jr.'s senior season at Eastern Michigan (2023).

Jere Getzinger Jr.

50%match

Eastern Michigan · 2023

#2

Tanner Arkin

Illinois · 2024

All-Mountain West
50%
#3

Antwain Littleton II

Temple · 2024

47%
#4

Joshua Simon

South Carolina · 2023

All-Conference USA
46%
#5

Michael Brescia

Western Michigan · 2025

45%

Differs from Jere on

Weight (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tim Albin

Pass share

51.4%

379 pass / 358 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.9%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Peter Rossomando
Charlotte
2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
era →
2024
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025
Tim Albin
Charlotte
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Peter Rossomando, Biff Poggi, and Tim Albin. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHuntingtown, MD
Height6'1"
Weight280 lb
Class4
PositionTE

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Charlotte TE4 #3506 #4034 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Charlotte TE4 #5281 #5935 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Maryland TE4 #3293 #3100 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Maryland TE4 #3122 #2934 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Charlotte American Athletic TE 4 6-1 | 280 lb | Huntingtown, MD
2024 Charlotte American Athletic TE 4 6-1 | 280 lb | Huntingtown, MD
2023 Charlotte American Athletic TE 4 6-1 | 280 lb | Huntingtown, MD
2022 Maryland Big Ten TE 4 6-1 | 280 lb | Huntingtown, MD
2021 Maryland Big Ten TE 4 6-1 | 280 lb | Huntingtown, MD