cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kadarion Johnson /UTEP

Kadarion Johnson

DT · UTEP · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

55 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTEP for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTEP for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · UTEP

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (21 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTEP · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #101 · 2026 recruiting class #70

DT · UTEP · CONFERENCE USA

Kadarion Johnson

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-1 | 275 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

80

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9836

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UTEP
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-1 | 275 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamUTEP

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9836Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10746Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kadarion Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kadarion Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
55Tackles
10Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.9Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
65Tackles
11.8Tackles for loss
4.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 55): needs 12.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 55): needs 22.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 1.2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 3.2/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kadarion Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UTEP's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 10.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9836 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.5 sacks | 10.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 55 19 solo | #484/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 10.0 Backfield disruption | #103/4972 (98th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
55 90th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
10.0 98th
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 16-28@ Utah State421.50.00
Wk 2W 42-17vs UT Martin500.00.00
Wk 3L 10-27@ Texas800.50.01Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 4L 25-31vs UL Monroe410.50.00
Wk 5L 11-30vs Louisiana Tech200.00.00
Wk 7L 8-19vs Liberty621.00.00
Wk 8W 35-17@ Sam Houston841.00.50
Wk 11L 27-30vs Jacksonville State210.00.00
Wk 12L 24-38@ Missouri State333.02.002 sacks
Wk 13L 31-34vs New Mexico State842.51.002.5 TFL
Wk 14L 31-61@ Delaware520.00.00
Total551910.03.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023UTEP3-9HC: Dana Dimel · Run-leaning
2024UTEP3-9HC: Scotty Walden · Run-leaning
2025UTEP2-10HC: Scotty Walden · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTEP551910.03.51----
2024UTEP39157.53.51----
2023UTEP18100.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons1124417.57.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 55 #484/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 10.0 #103/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.50.70.20.0
Road5g5.61.20.50.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g6.50.50.20.0
Losses9g4.71.00.30.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.80.60.00.2
Weeks 8+5g5.21.30.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

80All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (96th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd).

Tackles for loss#103 / 2975 · 96th pct
10.0defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Tackles#484 / 2975 · 83rd pct
55defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kadarion JohnsonUTEPMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 84% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 83% simOumar DiomandeUConn· 83% sim
Tackles for loss
96
Johnson
95
Baranowski
96
Campbell
93
Diomande
QB hurries
92
Johnson
82
Baranowski
88
Campbell
92
Diomande
Sacks
91
Johnson
89
Baranowski
89
Campbell
96
Diomande
Tackles
83
Johnson
98
Baranowski
99
Campbell
99
Diomande
Solo tackles
62
Johnson
98
Baranowski
100
Campbell
100
Diomande
Passes defended
48
Johnson
48
Baranowski
48
Campbell
48
Diomande

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jabari Taylor’s 2021 season.

Jabari Taylor

92%match

Cincinnati · 2021

#2

Blake Green

South Florida · 2021

89%
#3

Bernard Gooden

LSU · 2025

88%
#4

Adin Huntington

Kent State · 2021

87%
#5

Macyo Williams

Kent State · 2023

87%

Matches Jabari on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Atlias Bell's junior season at Houston (2022).

Atlias Bell

92%match

Houston · 2022

#2

Bernard Gooden

LSU · 2025

91%
#3

Macyo Williams

Kent State · 2023

88%
#4

Jordan Thompson

Rutgers · 2024

88%
#5

Kevin Pointer

Wake Forest · 2022

86%

Matches Atlias on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scotty Walden

Pass share

52.4%

410 pass / 372 run

Plays / game

65.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Dana Dimel
UTEP
2024
Scotty Walden
UTEP
era →
2025
Scotty Walden
UTEP

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Dimel → Scotty Walden. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height6'1"
Weight275 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTEP DT4 #9836 #10746 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 UTEP DT4 #14884 #14955 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTEP Conference USA DT 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 275 lb | Houston, TX
2024 UTEP Conference USA DT 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 275 lb | Houston, TX
2023 UTEP Conference USA DT 4 No. 7 | 6-1 | 275 lb | Houston, TX