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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keaontay Ingram /USC

Keaontay Ingram

RB · USC · Sr · #28

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLArizona — drafted 2022, Rd 6, Pick 23, #201 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ArizonaEntering 5th NFL season

#201Rd 6 · Pick 23
ArizonaEntering 5th NFL season
View college career stats ↓

RB · USC · PAC-12

Keaontay Ingram

  • 4
  • #28
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Carthage, TX

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#172

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#164 national
CFB
College
USC
2021
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #201
Arizona &middot; 2022

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey28
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownCarthage, TX
Primary teamUSC

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 164 recruit
Composite rating 0.9324 HighSchool
Signed with Texas 2018
Origin Carthage Carthage, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 4-star | 0.9324 No. 164 recruit | HighSchool | Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination USC 2021
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility TBD Jan 15, 2021
Season Move Context
2021 Texas -> USC 3-star | 0.8800 | TBD

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#172Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#228Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas

Composite

0.9324

#164 national

NFL Draft

2022 · Rd 6, Pick 23

#201 overall · Arizona

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keaontay Ingram

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keaontay Ingram

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keaontay Ingram's story is about how role and output meet each other. For USC, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #172 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 164 recruit

2021 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2021 season snapshot | final

2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,067 911 rush | 156 rec | #50/735 (93rd pct)
Rush TD 5 156 carries | #115/739 (85th pct)
Yards/carry 5.8 Per-rush efficiency | #139/735 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2021 Season · Final

2021 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
156 92nd
YDS
911 93rd
YPC
5.8 81st
TD
5 85th

Receiving

REC
22 89th
YDS
156 84th
YPR
7.1 53rd
TD
0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021USC4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2021USC1569115.85--
Career1 loaded season1569115.85--
SeasonTeam
2021USC221567.10--
Career1 loaded season221567.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 22 156 rec yds | #63/552 (89th pct)
Usage 23.0% 49.3% rush share | #64/738 (91st pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.30 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #9/362 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 911 #50/735 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #115/739 85th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.8 #139/735 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 22 #63/552 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 156 #88/548 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.30 #9/362 98th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 154 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 23.0% #64/738 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 156 #62/739 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 53 #147/733 80th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #114/540 79th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.1 #261/548 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 49.3% #17/738 98th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 26.8% #65/738 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.9% #72/738 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 24.5% #50/738 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.3% #76/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.9% #97/738 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.1% #150/738 80th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback—
awaiting
CPOE—
awaiting
Success rate—
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)—
awaiting
aDOT—
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy—
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack—
awaiting
3rd-down EPA—
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate—
awaiting
Play-action EPA—
awaiting
Scramble EPA—
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate—
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lincoln Riley

Pass share

50.4%

420 pass / 414 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

313 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021

1 coach
2021
Donte Williams
USC

Played his entire career under Donte Williams.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCarthage, TX
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 USC RB4 #172 #228 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2021 USC Pac-12 RB 4 No. 28 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Carthage, TX