cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON

Keegan Davis

DL · Florida International · Sr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

29 TACKLES · 5.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Florida International for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Florida International for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Florida International

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -5 net (16 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Florida International · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #98 · 2026 recruiting class #90

DL · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL · CONFERENCE USA

Keegan Davis

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-4 | 250 lb
  • Port Saint Lucie, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

69

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13117

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Florida International · DL

2023

Florida International · DL

2025

Florida International · DL

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2441 national
CFB
College
Florida International
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-4 | 250 lb
HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Primary teamFlorida International

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2441 recruit
Composite rating 0.8000 HighSchool
Signed with Florida International 2021
Origin Treasure Coast Port St. Lucie, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8000 No. 2441 recruit | HighSchool | Florida International

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13117Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13040Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Florida International

Composite

0.8000

#2441 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keegan Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keegan Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
29Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
5.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Projected (13g)
31Tackles
6.0Tackles for loss
6.0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 29): needs 51/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 29): needs 71/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 5.5): needs 0.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 5.5): needs 4.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keegan Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Florida International's defense, with 5.5 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13117 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 29 17 solo | #1415/4942 (71st pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 5.5 Pass-rush finish | #90/4972 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
29 71st
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
5.5 98th
QBH
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-9vs Bethune-Cookman520.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 2L 0-34@ Penn State210.00.00
Wk 3W 38-28vs Florida Atlantic221.01.00
Wk 4L 16-38vs Delaware000.00.00
Wk 6L 10-51@ UConn542.02.002 sacks
Wk 9L 26-45vs Kennesaw State510.00.00
Wk 10L 21-28@ Missouri State200.50.50
Wk 11W 56-30@ Middle Tennessee000.00.00
Wk 12W 34-27vs Liberty222.02.002 sacks
Wk 13W 27-21vs Jacksonville State110.00.00
Wk 14W 56-16@ Sam Houston440.00.00
BowlL 20-57@ UTSA100.00.00
Total29175.55.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Pass-leaning
2023Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Balanced
2025Florida International7-6HC: Willie Simmons · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida International29175.55.5------
2023Florida International530.00.0------
2022Florida International20104.01.01----
Career3 loaded seasons54309.56.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 29 #1415/4942 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 5.5 #90/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 17 #1252/4584 73rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.50.50.50.0
Road6g2.30.40.40.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.50.50.0
Losses6g2.50.40.40.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.50.50.0
Weeks 8+6g2.30.40.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

69Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (96th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#90 / 2975 · 97th pct
5.5defe
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Solo tackles#1252 / 2975 · 56th pct
17defe
Tackles#1415 / 2975 · 52nd pct
29defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Keegan DavisFlorida InternationalMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 74% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 72% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 71% sim
Sacks
97
Davis
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Baranowski
QB hurries
92
Davis
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
82
Baranowski
Tackles for loss
83
Davis
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
95
Baranowski
Solo tackles
56
Davis
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Tackles
52
Davis
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Baranowski
Passes defended
18
Davis
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Baranowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Aidan Hubbard’s 2024 season.

Aidan Hubbard

90%match

Northwestern · 2024

#2

Javontae Jean-Baptiste

Ohio State · 2022

NFL Rd 7
87%
#3

NaNa Osafo-Mensah

Notre Dame · 2021

82%
#4

Wardalis Ducksworth

Memphis · 2020

80%
#5

Danny Striggow

Minnesota · 2022

79%

Matches Aidan on

Weight
Sack rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cody Stufflebean's senior season at Kansas State (2025).

Cody Stufflebean

86%match

Kansas State · 2025

#2

Cazeem Moore

Virginia · 2025

86%
#3

TJ Guy

Michigan · 2024

86%
#4

Mason Reiger

Wisconsin · 2025

83%
#5

Dominic Oliver

Western Kentucky · 2025

80%

Matches Cody on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Simmons

Pass share

47.3%

428 pass / 476 run

Plays / game

69.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.9%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
2023
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
2025
Willie Simmons
Florida International
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike MacIntyre → Willie Simmons. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPort Saint Lucie, FL
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Conference USA all_conference Conference USA DE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida International DL4 #13117 #13040 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Florida International DL4 #14765 #14935 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Florida International DL4 #13519 #14007 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Florida International DL4 #14448 #14537 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida International Conference USA DL 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2024 Florida International Conference USA DL 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2023 Florida International Conference USA DL 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2022 Florida International Conference USA DL 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL
2021 Florida International Conference USA DL 4 No. 44 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Port Saint Lucie, FL