Kevin Ellison

QB · Georgia Southern 2016 · #4

Last confirmed: Georgia Southern, 2016. No 2026 box-score games on record.

6′0″ · Cornelia, GA

Kevin Ellison: QB · Georgia Southern · #4.

Players he’s like

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Lamar JordanNew Mexico · 2015 · 77% season match
Quinton FlowersSouth Florida · 2015 · 76% season match
John Rhys PlumleeOle Miss · 2019 · 66% season match
Will WorthNavy · 2016 · 60% season match
Kent MyersUtah State · 2015 · 53% season match

Kevin Ellison

QB · Georgia Southern · #4

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up. Kevin Ellison has played for two head coaches in three seasons at Georgia Southern. One game to point at: 203 passing yards and 25 rushing yards against Arkansas State — Week 6, 2016.

How he plays

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

2/28Inside-5 share

2 of the team's 28 inside-the-5 carries (7.1%).

News and fans

No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.

Where to follow him

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2016	Georgia Southern	66	106	62.3%	871	8.2	8	3	150.5	48
2015	Georgia Southern	40	89	44.9%	597	6.7	4	5	104.9	48
2014	Georgia Southern	71	128	55.5%	1,001	7.8	5	3	129.4	59
Career		177	323	54.8%	2,469	7.6	17	11	129.6	53

Season	Team
2016	Georgia Southern	139	678	4.9	7
2015	Georgia Southern	114	712	6.2	8
2014	Georgia Southern	172	1,096	6.4	12
Career		425	2,486	5.8	27

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2016 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 54-0vs Savannah State	5/5	70	0	0	14.0	93.4
Wk 2	W 24-9@ South Alabama	1/1	10	0	0	10.0	60.8
Wk 3	W 23-21vs UL Monroe	1/3	7	0	0	2.3	23.9
Wk 4	L 31-49@ Western Michigan	5/9	65	1	0	7.2	52.2
Wk 6	L 26-27@ Arkansas State	14/22	203	1	0	9.2	53.5	Season-high 203 yds
Wk 7	L 24-35@ Georgia Tech	10/17	102	1	0	6.0	63.0
Wk 8	W 22-19@ New Mexico State	7/8	101	2	1	12.6	66.5
Wk 9	L 10-34vs App State	3/6	21	0	1	3.5	2.7
Wk 10	L 27-37@ Ole Miss	7/16	134	1	1	8.4	40.8
Wk 12	L 24-30@ Georgia State	3/5	31	0	0	6.2	78.2
Wk 14	W 28-24vs Troy	10/14	127	2	0	9.1	96.6
Total		66/106	871	8	3	8.2	—

Signature game

Week 14 · 2016

W 28-24

vs Troy

127 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 96.6 · 115 rush yds (10 car) · 2 TD

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 4 at home.

With M. Flynn — 42.2 yards per punt · 5 punts · 49 long · B. Johnson III — 7 rec · 129 yds · 2 TD

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 14 · Troy · 1st and 25 · Q4 · EPA +6.71Ellison to Johnson III: a 64-yard touchdown pass.
Week 6 · Arkansas State · 2nd and 7 · Q3 · EPA +5.73Ellison to Campbell: a 63-yard touchdown pass.
Week 8 · New Mexico State · 3rd and 12 · Q4 · EPA +5.50Kevin Ellison pass complete to Wesley Fields for 42 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
Week 14 · Troy · 2nd and 9 · Q3 · EPA +5.20Kevin Ellison 54 Yd Run, (Y. Koo KICK)
Week 10 · Ole Miss · 3rd and 14 · Q1 · EPA +4.48Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 29 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
Week 4 · Western Michigan · 2nd and 10 · Q3 · EPA +4.38Kevin Ellison pass complete to Montay Crockett for 44 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

4 more plays

Week 8 · New Mexico State · 3rd and 6 · Q1 · EPA −3.82Kevin Ellison pass intercepted, touchback. Jaden Wright return for no gain
Week 8 · New Mexico State · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA +3.81Kevin Ellison run for 58 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a
Week 2 · South Alabama · 2nd and 12 · Q4 · EPA +3.38Kevin Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
Week 12 · Georgia State · 3rd and 4 · Q1 · EPA +3.33Kevin Ellison pass complete to Montay Crockett for 35 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

66/106 (62.3%) · 8 TD · 3 INT

103 of 106 attempts matched to play-by-play

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 103 passing plays (63 completions) against the box score's 106 attempts (66 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

7.6435 of 193 QBs

Sack rate

5.4%76 of 193 QBs

Rarely sacked (76 of 193 QBs) and still 35 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

57%of completions

36 comp4.0 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

21%of completions

13 comp14.2 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds

22%of completions

14 comp28.9 yds avg3 TD

Overall 62.3% completion on 106 attempts · 14 deep completions averaging 28.9 yds.

Teams and coaches

2014Georgia Southern9-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-heavy

2015Georgia Southern9-4HC: Willie Fritz · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2016Georgia Southern5-7HC: Tyson Summers · Run-heavy

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: explosive rate (87th percentile). Strength: rush yards (93rd percentile). Concern: pass yards (16th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Explosive rate#23 / 172 · 87th pct

13.6%

Success rate#53 / 172 · 69th pct

43.1%

EPA / dropback#61 / 172 · 65th pct

0.25

Sack rate#70 / 172 · 60th pct

5.5%

Interception rate#114 / 172 · 34th pct

2.9%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#13 / 167 · 93rd pct

678

Interceptions#19 / 167 · 86th pct

Rush TDs#29 / 167 · 81st pct

Yards / att#39 / 167 · 77th pct

8.2

Completion %#40 / 167 · 76th pct

62.3%

Fumbles lost#69 / 163 · 45th pct

Pass TDs#117 / 167 · 25th pct

Pass yards#141 / 167 · 16th pct

871

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

5th → 65th percentile

Success rate

25th → 69th percentile

Explosive rate

71st → 87th percentile

Sack rate

62nd → 60th percentile

Interception rate

7th → 34th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2016 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

Thin sample: 87 dropbacks

48Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks

NCAA passer rating no box-score line yet

Positive-play rate weight 24%

42.9%30th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +1.5% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.3352th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.2 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

7.1%34th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.3% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (22 of 109 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2016 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home4g	56.2	0.5	7.2	0.2
Road7g	92.3	0.9	8.5	0.3

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	76.2	0.5	8.1	0.0
Weeks 8+5g	82.8	1.0	8.0	0.6

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2016 season

Head Coach

Tyson Summers

Pass share

34.1%

264 pass / 510 run

Plays / game

64.5

12 games

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Awards

Player standing · 2016

Starter

139 carries, 106 pass attempts and 1 catch in 11 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex