CFB Zeitgeist Score
46
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 90th percentile.
Kevorian Barnes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
443 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 97 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to TCU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · TCU
Returning around him
- 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24
RB · TCU · BIG 12
Kevorian Barnes
- 4
- #2
- 5-9 | 210 lb
- San Augustine, TX
Heisman Heat
#1011
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025+2669%
Up 2669% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8315 | No. 1704 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UTSA
Composite
0.8315
#1704 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kevorian Barnes
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kevorian Barnes
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 7g
443Rush yards
97Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
63.3Rush yards
14Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
822.7Rush yards
180Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 443): needs 51.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 443): needs 92.8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 443): needs 176.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.8/game over remaining 6.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kevorian Barnes's story is about how role and output meet each other. For TCU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
97 77th
YDS
443 74th
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
10 61st
YDS
48 47th
YPR
4.8 22nd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 48-14@ North Carolina | 11 | 113 | 10.3 | 1 | 75 | Season-high 113 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 42-21vs Abilene Christian | 10 | 43 | 4.3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-21vs Colorado | 16 | 48 | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 7 | L 28-41@ Kansas State | 12 | 81 | 6.8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-36vs Baylor | 25 | 106 | 4.2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-17@ West Virginia | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-20vs Iowa State | 15 | 25 | 1.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 97 | 443 | 4.8 | 3 | 75 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021UTSA12-1HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022UTSA11-3HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 443 | #190/735 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.6 | #364/735 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 10 | #217/552 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 48 | #291/548 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 24.3% | #53/738 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 97 | #173/739 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 75 | #36/733 | 95th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 12 | #365/540 | 33rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.8 | #428/548 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 48.1% | #20/738 | 97th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 32.6% | #10/738 | 99th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 27.1% | #61/738 | 92nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 25.4% | #78/738 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 17.6% | #34/738 | 96th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.2% | #138/738 | 81st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.2% | #144/738 | 81st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 55.5 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Road3g | 73.7 | 6.8 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 67.4 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Losses2g | 53.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 71.2 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 52.7 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
46Mid-pack
Elite: long run (89th). Concern: rec yards (26th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kevorian BarnesTCUBill DavisLouisiana· 77% simTae MeadowsTroy· 74% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 74% sim
Long run
Carries
Rush yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Pat Garwo III’s 2023 season.
Pat Garwo III
83%match
#2
Kevorian Barnes
83%
#3
Calvin Tyler Jr.
83%
#4
Daba Fofana
80%
#5
Re'Mahn Davis
80%
Matches Pat on
Height
Receiving share
Yards / carry
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jaquez Moore's graduate season at Duke (2025).
Jaquez Moore
74%match
#2
Reggie Love III
73%
#3
Harrison Waylee
All-MAC
68%
#4
Isaiah Jacobs
67%
#5
Roman Hemby
All-Big Ten
67%
Matches Jaquez on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Height
Differs from Jaquez on
Yards / reception (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2022era →
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU
Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Augustine, TX
Height5'9"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTCU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UTSA | RB4 | #1011 | #1483 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | UTSA | RB4 | #347 | #390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | UTSA | RB4 | #141 | #156 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | UTSA | RB4 | #1983 | #1770 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TCU | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 210 lb | San Augustine, TX |
| 2024 | UTSA | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 210 lb | San Augustine, TX |
| 2023 | UTSA | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 210 lb | San Augustine, TX |
| 2022 | UTSA | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 210 lb | San Augustine, TX |
| 2021 | UTSA | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 210 lb | San Augustine, TX |