cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Leo Blackburn /Georgia State

Leo Blackburn

WR · Georgia State · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

129 REC YDS · 14 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Georgia State

Returning around him

  • 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Georgia State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #77 · 2026 recruiting class #67

WR · GEORGIA STATE · SUN BELT

Leo Blackburn

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

15

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3000

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
81.02022
1292025

+59%

Up 59% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#341 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamGeorgia State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 341 recruit
Composite rating 0.8968 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia Tech 2021
Origin Westlake Atlanta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.8968 No. 341 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia Tech -> Georgia State 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3000Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3013Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Georgia Tech

Composite

0.8968

#341 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Leo Blackburn

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Leo Blackburn

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
129Rec yards
14Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
21.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
279.5Rec yards
30Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 129): needs 81.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 129): needs 124.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 14): needs 6.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 14): needs 9.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Leo Blackburn's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3000 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 341 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 14 2 rec TD | #496/1110 (55th pct)
Receiving yards 129 9.2 per catch | #571/1107 (49th pct)
Scrimmage yards 129 Total offensive yardage | #571/1107 (49th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
14 55th
YDS
129 49th
YPR
9.2 26th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 7-63@ Ole Miss1-3-3.000
Wk 2L 16-38vs Memphis3258.3010
Wk 3W 37-21vs Murray State33612.0121
Wk 4L 21-70@ Vanderbilt33712.3119Season-high 37 yds
Wk 7L 20-41vs App State122.002
Wk 8L 24-41@ Georgia Southern33210.7013
Total141297.0221
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Georgia Tech5-7HC: Brent Key · Balanced
2025Georgia State1-11HC: Dell McGee · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia State141299.22--
2022Georgia Tech58116.21--
Career2 loaded seasons1921011.13--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.3% 7.2% pass-game share | #673/1137 (41st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 14 #496/1110 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 129 #571/1107 49th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.2 #817/1106 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.2% #673/1137 41st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #741/1105 33rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #233/1137 80th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.0% #463/1137 59th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.5% #575/1137 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.3% #566/1137 50th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.9% #696/1137 39th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.7% #925/1137 19th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g2.321.07.40.3
Road3g2.322.06.70.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g3.036.012.01.0
Losses5g2.218.66.10.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.219.46.30.4
Weeks 8+1g3.032.010.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

15Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (3rd).

Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Yards / catch#498 / 558 · 11th pct
9.2rece
Receptions#496 / 558 · 10th pct
14rece
Long catch#532 / 558 · 4th pct
21rece
Rec yards#537 / 558 · 4th pct
129rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Leo BlackburnGeorgia StateMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 52% simAaron TurnerRice· 49% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 44% sim
Rec TDs
42
Blackburn
24
III
68
Turner
7
Gibson
Yards / catch
11
Blackburn
9
III
1
Turner
15
Gibson
Receptions
10
Blackburn
92
III
92
Turner
92
Gibson
Long catch
4
Blackburn
16
III
65
Turner
56
Gibson
Rec yards
4
Blackburn
70
III
48
Turner
74
Gibson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Reece Vander Zee’s 2025 season.

Reece Vander Zee

78%match

Iowa · 2025

#2

Tyler Griffin

UL Monroe · 2025

78%
#3

Javon Antonio

Colorado · 2023

77%
#4

Corey Gammage

Marshall · 2020

68%
#5

J.J. Sparkman

Texas Tech · 2022

72%

Matches Reece on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Reece on

Class year (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Neno Lemay’s path through Nicholls.

Neno Lemay

99%match

Nicholls · 2023

#2

T.J. Vasher

Texas Tech · 2020

97%
#3

Antwan Davis

Ball State · 2020

97%
#4

Ian Duarte

Idaho State · 2025

96%
#5

Seydou Traore

Mississippi State · 2025

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 5
92%

Matches Neno on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Grayson Barnes's junior season at West Virginia (2025).

Grayson Barnes

79%match

West Virginia · 2025

#2

Tyler Griffin

UL Monroe · 2025

79%
#3

Brad Rozner

NC State · 2023

76%
#4

Warren Thompson

Arkansas · 2022

75%
#5

Dominick Mazotti

San José State · 2022

75%

Matches Grayson on

Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume

Differs from Grayson on

Recruiting rating (higher)
TD rate (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dell McGee

Pass share

56.5%

472 pass / 363 run

Plays / game

69.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Shawn Elliott
Georgia State
2025
Dell McGee
Georgia State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Elliott → Dell McGee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia Tech WR4 #3000 #3013 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Georgia Tech WR4 #3643 #3551 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Georgia Tech WR4 #2116 #2624 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Georgia Tech WR4 #3462 #3382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Atlanta, GA
2021 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Atlanta, GA