CFB Zeitgeist Score
40
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 62nd percentile.
Makenzie McGill
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
389 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 75 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to North Texas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · North Texas
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +11 net (49 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
North Texas · Last season: 12-2 (AP #23) · Talent rank #96 · 2026 recruiting class #112
RB · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Makenzie McGill
- 2
- 5-9 | 202 lb
- Mount Vernon, TX
Heisman Heat
#1825
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
North Texas
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Makenzie McGill
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Makenzie McGill
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 7g
389Rush yards
75Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
55.6Rush yards
11Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
722.4Rush yards
139Carries
9Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 389): needs 60.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 389): needs 101.8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 389): needs 185.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 0.8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 6.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Makenzie McGill's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Texas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
75 70th
YDS
389 71st
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
4 38th
YDS
14 23rd
YPR
3.5 13th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 51-0vs Lamar | 6 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 33-30@ Western Michigan | 16 | 102 | 6.4 | 1 | 16 | Season-high 102 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 59-10vs Washington State | 9 | 67 | 7.4 | 1 | 27 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-38@ Army | 19 | 101 | 5.3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 5 | W 36-22vs South Alabama | 13 | 47 | 3.6 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 36-63vs South Florida | 7 | 31 | 4.4 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 8 | W 55-17vs UTSA | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Total | 75 | 389 | 5.0 | 5 | 27 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | 75 | 389 | 5.2 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 75 | 389 | 5.2 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 389 | #213/735 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #240/735 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 4 | #343/552 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 14 | #424/548 | 23rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.19 | #67/362 | 82nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 72 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.8% | #158/738 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 75 | #223/739 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 27 | #321/733 | 56th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 7 | #455/540 | 16th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.5 | #480/548 | 13th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 29.8% | #123/738 | 83rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 18.2% | #170/738 | 77th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 17.0% | #190/738 | 74th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.3% | #196/738 | 74th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.3% | #124/738 | 83rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.8% | #148/738 | 80th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.3% | #376/738 | 49th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 37.2 | 4.7 | 0.6 |
| Road2g | 102 | 5.8 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 59.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 |
| Losses1g | 31.0 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 58.2 | 4.5 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+1g | 40.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
40Mid-pack
Concern: rec yards (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.19High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Makenzie McGillNorth TexasChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 70% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 70% simTae MeadowsTroy· 69% sim
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Carries
Long run
Receptions
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Nelson Smith’s 2020 season.
Nelson Smith
75%match
#2
Charles Williams
80%
#3
Justice Ellison
78%
#4
Rocko Griffin
78%
#5
Marquis Crosby
78%
Matches Nelson on
Yards / carry
Height
Rush TD rate
Differs from Nelson on
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.
Asim Rose
99%match
#2
Calvin Turner
All-Mountain West
98%
#3
Trey Ragas
All-Sun Belt
96%
#4
Jutahn Mcclain
92%
#5
Isaiah Ifanse
92%
Matches Asim on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Camar Wheaton's sophomore season at SMU (2023).
Camar Wheaton
83%match
#2
Micah Kelly
78%
#3
Charles Williams
77%
#4
Duncan Brune
77%
#5
Tre Siggers
76%
Matches Camar on
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Rush TD rate
Differs from Camar on
Class year (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Eric Morris
Pass share
48.5%
475 pass / 504 run
Plays / game
69.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.9%
321 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Eric Morris
North Texas
Played his entire career under Eric Morris.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMount Vernon, TX
Height5'9"
Weight202 lb
Class2
PositionRB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorth Texas
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | North Texas | RB2 | #1825 | #1684 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | North Texas | RB2 | #4253 | #4288 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | American Athletic | RB | 2 | 5-9 | 202 lb | Mount Vernon, TX |
| 2024 | North Texas | American Athletic | RB | 2 | 5-9 | 202 lb | Mount Vernon, TX |
| 2023 | North Texas | American Athletic | RB | 2 | 5-9 | 202 lb | Mount Vernon, TX |