cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marcus Bellon /Nevada

Marcus Bellon

WR · Nevada · Sr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

242 REC YDS · 25 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Nevada for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Nevada for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Nevada

Returning around him

  • 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (14 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Nevada · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #119 · 2026 recruiting class #88

WR · NEVADA · MOUNTAIN WEST

Marcus Bellon

  • 4
  • #18
  • 5-7 | 178 lb
  • Truckee, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 37th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#686

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

UTEP · WR

2023

UTEP · WR

2024

Nevada · WR

2025

Nevada · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
83.02022
97.02023
5222024
2422025

+192%

Up 192% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey18
Measurements5-7 | 178 lb
HometownTruckee, CA
Primary teamNevada

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#686Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1041Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marcus Bellon

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marcus Bellon

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

9.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #435 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 18th

Why it matters

#435 of 531 All FBS WRs at 9.7 yards per reception (25 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 9.7 (18th)

MODERATE · n=25 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#455 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 at Penn State — 76 ypr

Result L 11-46

The week the volume broke through — put up 76 yds at Penn State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
242Rec yards
25Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
24.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
314.6Rec yards
32Receptions
1Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 242): needs 152.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 242): needs 252.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 25): needs 11.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 25): needs 18.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Marcus Bellon already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #686 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 25 1 rec TD | #347/1110 (69th pct)
Receiving yards 242 9.7 per catch | #415/1107 (63rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 252 Total offensive yardage | #415/1107 (63rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
25 69th
YDS
242 63rd
YPR
9.7 29th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
10 48th
YPC
3.3 37th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
74 66th
PR AVG
5.7 31st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 11-46@ Penn State67612.7132Season-high 76 yds
Wk 2W 20-17vs Sacramento State25929.5043
Wk 3L 13-14vs Middle Tennessee3186.008
Wk 4L 16-31@ Western Kentucky3289.3020
Wk 6L 17-20@ Fresno State11212.0012
Wk 9L 3-24vs Boise State393.006
Wk 11L 14-51@ Utah State284.005
Wk 12W 55-10vs San José State11111.0011
Wk 13W 13-7@ Wyoming133.003
Wk 14L 17-42vs UNLV3186.0011
Total252429.7143
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UTEP5-7HC: Dana Dimel · Run-leaning
2023UTEP3-9HC: Dana Dimel · Run-leaning
2024Nevada3-10HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning
2025Nevada3-9HC: Jeff Choate · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Nevada252429.71--
2024Nevada3952213.44--
2023UTEP10979.70--
2022UTEP58316.61--
Career4 loaded seasons7994411.96--
SeasonTeam
2025Nevada310--74--
2024Nevada937--76--
2023UTEP1----24--
2022UTEP----701001
Career4 loaded seasons1347702741
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.1% 18.7% pass-game share | #114/1137 (90th pct)
Return yards 74 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 25 #347/1110 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 242 #415/1107 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.7 #782/1106 29th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 74 #78/224 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 18.7% #114/1137 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 10 #206/397 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 5 #261/346 25th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 3.3 #247/393 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 43 #385/1105 65th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 13 #47/237 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 5.7 #155/222 31st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.1% #179/1137 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.6% #256/1137 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.1% #208/1137 82nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.7% #242/1137 79th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.3% #297/1137 74th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.9% #211/1137 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.423.011.10.0
Road5g2.625.48.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.324.314.50.0
Losses7g3.024.17.60.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.038.613.90.2
Weeks 8+5g2.09.85.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

30Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (14th).

Rush yards#156 / 287 · 45th pct
10rush
Long catch#332 / 558 · 39th pct
43rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Receptions#347 / 558 · 37th pct
25rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec yards#415 / 558 · 26th pct
242rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Yards / catch#477 / 558 · 15th pct
9.7rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Marcus BellonNevadaJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 69% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 68% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 65% sim
Rush yards
45
Bellon
76
Gibson
6
III
12
Cobb
Long catch
39
Bellon
56
Gibson
16
III
58
Cobb
Rush TDs
39
Bellon
39
Gibson
39
III
39
Cobb
Receptions
37
Bellon
92
Gibson
92
III
98
Cobb
Fumbles lost
36
Bellon
6
III
6
Cobb
Rec yards
26
Bellon
74
Gibson
70
III
87
Cobb
Rec TDs
24
Bellon
7
Gibson
24
III
24
Cobb
Yards / catch
15
Bellon
15
Gibson
9
III
25
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jah'Marae Sheread’s 2020 season.

Jah'Marae Sheread

76%match

Texas State · 2020

#2

Walter Dawn Jr.

UTEP · 2020

67%
#3

Ben Ratzlaff

Western Kentucky · 2021

54%
#4

Billy Kemp

Virginia · 2022

64%
#5

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2020

52%

Matches Jah'Marae on

TD rate
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Jah'Marae on

Class year (higher)
Yards / reception (lower)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Khalil McClain’s path through Troy.

Khalil McClain

100%match

Troy · 2020

#2

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

100%
#3

Whop Philyor

Indiana · 2020

100%
#4

Lionell McConnell

Abilene Christian · 2020

99%
#5

Antwan Davis

Ball State · 2020

98%

Matches Khalil on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Hankerson's senior season at Oregon State (2025).

Anthony Hankerson

65%match

Oregon State · 2025

#2

Cam Barfield

Hawai'i · 2025

All-Mountain West
60%
#3

Kevin Davis

Miami (OH) · 2023

59%
#4

Jamaal Bell

Nevada · 2023

59%
#5

Braylon McReynolds

UL Monroe · 2025

56%

Matches Anthony on

Height

Differs from Anthony on

Weight (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Choate

Pass share

42.6%

306 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

59.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

251 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2023
Ken Wilson
Nevada
2024
Jeff Choate
Nevada
era →
2025
Jeff Choate
Nevada

Coaching transition mid-career: Ken Wilson → Jeff Choate. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTruckee, CA
Height5'7"
Weight178 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Nevada | Mountain West RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Nevada WR4 #686 #1041 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 UTEP WR4 #3972 #4497 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 UTEP WR4 #2961 #3352 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Nevada Mountain West WR 4 No. 18 | 5-7 | 178 lb | Truckee, CA
2024 Nevada Mountain West WR 4 No. 18 | 5-7 | 178 lb | Truckee, CA
2023 UTEP Conference USA WR 4 No. 18 | 5-7 | 178 lb | Truckee, CA
2022 UTEP Conference USA WR 4 No. 18 | 5-7 | 178 lb | Truckee, CA