cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marquis Gracial /Missouri

Marquis Gracial

DT · Missouri · Jr · #33

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Missouri for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Missouri for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Missouri

Returning around him

  • 20% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 6 Missouri players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (30 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Missouri · Last season: 8-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #22 · 2026 recruiting class #20

DT · MISSOURI · SEC

Marquis Gracial

  • 3
  • #33
  • 6-4 | 322 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

32

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 47th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8226

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#142 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class3
Jersey33
Measurements6-4 | 322 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 142 recruit
Composite rating 0.9422 HighSchool
Signed with Missouri 2022
Origin St. Charles St. Charles, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9422 No. 142 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8226Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8156Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Missouri

Composite

0.9422

#142 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marquis Gracial

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marquis Gracial

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
16Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 12.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 16.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marquis Gracial is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Missouri's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8226 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 142 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 8 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas210.00.00
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts110.00.00
Wk 7L 24-27vs Alabama320.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn221.00.00
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M200.50.00
Wk 12W 49-27vs Mississippi State210.00.01
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma100.50.00
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia310.00.00
Total1682.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Missouri6-7HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2023Missouri11-2HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri1682.00.01----
2024Missouri1011.50.0------
2023Missouri1--0.00.0------
2022Missouri1--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons2893.50.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.20.10.00.2
Road2g1.50.80.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g1.80.20.00.2
Losses4g2.20.20.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.20.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g1.80.50.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

32Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (21st).

Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Marquis GracialMissouriTyler MartinMassachusetts· 58% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 52% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 51% sim
Passes defended
48
Gracial
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
48
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
47
Gracial
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Vaughns
Sacks
24
Gracial
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Vaughns
QB hurries
22
Gracial
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Vaughns
Solo tackles
21
Gracial
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
96
Vaughns
Tackles
21
Gracial
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Domonique Orange’s 2023 season.

Domonique Orange

94%match

Iowa State · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 18
#2

Keeshawn Silver

Kentucky · 2023

88%
#3

Caleb Taylor

Kansas · 2021

88%
#4

Omari Thomas

Tennessee · 2023

87%
#5

Clifton Mosley Jr.

UL Monroe · 2025

86%

Matches Domonique on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Bear Alexander's senior season at Oregon (2025).

Bear Alexander

76%match

Oregon · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Justin Rogers

Auburn · 2023

73%
#3

Caden Haws

BYU · 2023

72%
#4

Jamall Hickbottom

South Alabama · 2023

70%
#5

Trevon McAlpine

Tulane · 2025

70%

Matches Bear on

Class year
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'4"
Weight322 lb
Class3
PositionDT
Jersey33

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri DT3 #8226 #8156 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri DT3 #7434 #7184 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Missouri DT3 #10851 #10759 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC DT 3 No. 33 | 6-4 | 322 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Missouri SEC DT 3 No. 33 | 6-4 | 322 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Missouri SEC DT 3 No. 33 | 6-4 | 322 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2022 Missouri SEC DT 3 No. 33 | 6-4 | 322 lb | Saint Louis, MO