CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Matt Corral
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
CarolinaEntering 5th NFL season
#94Rd 3 · Pick 30
CarolinaEntering 5th NFL season
QB · OLE MISS · SEC
Matt Corral
- 2
- #2
- 6-1 | 205 lb
- Ventura, CA
Heisman Heat
#5
6% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
6%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
In contention
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexR15 · POTY finalist
Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Ole Miss
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #94
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4-star | 0.9690 | No. 63 recruit | HighSchool | Ole Miss |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Ole Miss
Composite
0.9690
#63 national
NFL Draft
2022 · Rd 3, Pick 30
#94 overall · Carolina
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Matt Corral
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Matt Corral
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Matt Corral's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Ole Miss, he has 3,349 passing yards and 20 touchdown passes, but he also adds 614 rushing yards and 11 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2021 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2021 season snapshot | final
2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2021 Season · Final
2021 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
262 93rd
ATT
386 91st
CMP%
67.9% 79th
Y/A
8.7 85th
Passing Production
YDS
3,349 95th
TD
20 90th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
152 96th
YDS
614 95th
YPC
4.0 65th
TD
11 97th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Ole Miss10-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Run-leaning, fast tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ole Miss | 262 | 386 | 67.9% | 3,349 | 8.7 | 20 | 5 | 155.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 262 | 386 | 67.9% | 3,349 | 8.7 | 20 | 5 | 155.3 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ole Miss | 152 | 614 | 4.0 | 11 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 152 | 614 | 4.0 | 11 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,349 | #21/382 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 20 | #42/407 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 262 | #29/383 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 67.9% | #83/383 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.7 | #60/382 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 614 | #22/408 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.47 | #8/200 | 96th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 383 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 51.8% | #64/428 | 85th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 386 | #36/407 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 152 | #18/408 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 32 | #101/391 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 11 | #12/408 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.0 | #143/407 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 88.9% | #73/428 | 83rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 64.2% | #85/428 | 80th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 58.1% | #114/428 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 50.2% | #77/428 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 50.1% | #33/428 | 93rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 46.3% | #57/428 | 87th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.9% | #53/428 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.61 | #1/140 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 133 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2021
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
48.2%
521 pass / 560 run
Plays / game
72.1
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
330 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021
1 coach2021
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownVentura, CA
Height6'1"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOle Miss
ConferenceSEC
Joined2021
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2021)
All-SEC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | All-SEC | all_conference | Ole Miss | SEC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ole Miss | QB2 | #5 | #5 | 6.0% | 35.5% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ole Miss | SEC | QB | 2 | No. 2 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Ventura, CA |